伊琳娜·安格尔 据一项备受关注的调查显示，英国企业正寻求在两年多来首次增加招聘，这表明劳动力市场正在迎来转机。
British businesses are looking to hire more workers for the first time in over two years, according to a closely watched survey suggesting the labor market is turning a corner.
招聘与就业联合会（REC）和毕马威（KPMG）发布的报告显示，追踪私营部门空缺职位的指数上月首次自2024年7月以来突破关键的50水平。在整个经济领域，随着企业试图填补从会计、制冷到人工智能开发和法律等各个领域的短缺，被安置到永久职位的人数连续第二个月上升。
An index tracking private-sector vacancies was above the key 50 level last month for the first time since July 2024, the report by the Recruitment and Employment Confederation and KPMG showed. Across the economy, the number of people placed in permanent jobs rose for a second month as firms sought to fill shortages in areas from accountancy and refrigeration to AI development and law.
招聘与就业联合会临时首席执行官马克辛·布莱尔表示，这是“我们可能看到劳动力市场真正动能正在积聚”的迹象。该报告为英国首相安迪·伯纳姆在本月底其政府首次预算案发布前带来了一些积极消息。它表明，在英国今年强劲的经济表现之后，在经历了导致青年失业率上升并使工人陷入僵局的招聘低迷期后，就业岗位的创造终于开始显现。
Maxine Bligh, REC’s interim chief executive, said it’s a sign that “we could see genuine momentum building across the labor market.”The report provides some positive news for Prime Minister Andy Burnham ahead of his administration’s first budget later this month. It indicates that Britain’s strong economic performance this year is finally starting to generate jobs, after a hiring slump that has pushed up youth unemployment and kept workers stuck in place.
尽管英国经济增长速度快于欧洲同行，但受更高就业成本和人工智能的影响，企业今年已裁减了近10万个岗位。
While the UK economy is growing faster than European peers, firms have cut almost 100,000 payrolls this year amid higher employment costs and artificial intelligence.
招聘与就业联合会的数据将增强英国央行政策制定者立即加息的论据。自伊朗战争爆发以来，英国央行一直维持利率不变，理由是疲软的劳动力市场将抑制工资压力，但人们越来越担心高昂的能源成本可能会在整个经济中产生连锁反应。
REC’s figures will bolster the case of Bank of England policymakers calling for an immediate interest-rate increase. The BOE has kept rates unchanged since the start of the Iran war, arguing that a soft labor market will keep wage pressures in check, but fears are growing that elevated energy costs could cascade through the economy.
然而，KPMG集团首席执行官兼英国高级合伙人Jon Holt表示，经济复苏仍然“脆弱”。他补充道：“在一些行业，由于求职者数量增加，这或许可以被视为雇主市场。”私营部门需求的上升被公共部门职位空缺的再次下降所抵消。尽管信息技术和工程等行业有所增长，但零售、酒店服务和秘书类职位的招聘需求却大幅下降。起薪的上涨速度有所放缓，反映出求职者数量日益增多以及控制成本的努力。
However, Jon Holt, group chief executive and UK senior partner at KPMG, said the recovery remains “fragile.”He added: “In some sectors it could be seen as an employer’s market as the number of people looking for roles increases.”The rise in private-sector demand was offset by another drop in public-sector vacancies. And while sectors like IT and engineering grew, postings fell sharply for retail, hospitality and secretarial roles. Starting salaries rose at a slower pace, reflecting a growing number of candidates and efforts to keep costs in check.
工党将于10月28日公布的预算将是雇主面临的关键时刻，因为消费者和企业正承受着成本上升的压力，同时市场猜测财政大臣John Healey可能会提高税收以填补公共财政的缺口。企业也在为最低工资可能再次大幅上调的可能性做准备。
Labour’s budget on Oct. 28 will be a key moment for employers, with consumers and businesses under pressure from rising costs and speculation mounting that Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey will raise taxes to plug a hole in the public finances. Firms are also bracing for the possibility of another large increase in the minimum wage.
Holt表示，企业希望“税收政策更具确定性，并感受到政府愿意创造有利条件，将这种初步形成的信心转化为投资，并最终创造就业岗位。”
Businesses want “greater certainty in tax policy and a sense that the government is willing to create the right conditions to turn this emerging confidence into investment and ultimately jobs,” Holt said.