字号·· | 护眼
法国国际广播电台

坏警察,更坏的警察?欧盟对联合国气候峰会的期望降温Bad Cop, worse Cop? EU tempers hopes for UN climate summit

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

2026年2月11日,在埃尔比斯坦,采矿车辆正在一座褐煤矿中开采煤炭,背景中可以看到埃尔比斯坦热电厂。© Ozan KOSE / AFP/FileMining vehicles extract coal from a lignite coal mine, as the Elbistan thermal power plant, is seen in the background in Elbistan on 11 February 2026. © Ozan KOSE / AFP/File

布鲁塞尔——去年在巴西,欧盟对达成更雄心勃勃协议的希望落空,因此对于下月在土耳其举行的《联合国气候变化框架公约》第31次缔约方大会(Cop31),欧盟已降低了预期。

Brussels – After having its hopes dashed for a more ambitious deal last year in Brazil, the European Union is setting its sights low for next month's Cop31 climate summit in Turkey.

联合国在安塔利亚举行的此次会议被布鲁塞尔定位为更侧重于“执行”而非重大声明,重点将放在推动整个经济体系以电力替代化石燃料的努力上。

The UN gathering in Antalya is being framed by Brussels as more about "implementation" than major announcements, with a focus on efforts to replace fossil fuels with electricity throughout the economy.

一位欧洲委员会官员在接受法新社采访时透露:“带着过高的期望而来却最终失望而归,将是适得其反的。”该官员获准匿名讨论内部思路。

"It would be counterproductive to arrive with overly high expectations and end up disappointed," a European Commission official, granted anonymity to discuss internal thinking, told AFP.

欧盟27个成员国的环境部长将于下周一在卢森堡举行会议,正式确定欧盟的共同立场。

Environment ministers from the EU's 27 nations will formally set the bloc's common position at a meeting next Monday in Luxembourg.

目前担任欧盟轮值主席国的爱尔兰已提前发布了针对Cop31的欧洲传播策略。

Ireland, which holds the EU's rotating presidency, has in advance circulated a European communication strategy for Cop31.

一份法新社看到的文件指出:“在以往的缔约方大会前,将重点放在单一重大突破上是可理解的目标,但地缘政治的变化要求我们进行调整,并采用新的战略方法。”

"Focusing on a single major breakthrough has been an understandable objective ahead of previous Cops but the alteration in geopolitics requires a readjustment and renewed strategic approach," the document seen by AFP says.

“如果将期望设定在这一框架下,那么未能实现这样的突破,事后可能会被解读为失败的证据。”研究指出,气候变化正在导致童婚和青少年怀孕问题加剧。全球面临逆风随着气候怀疑论者唐纳德·特朗普将美国退出谈判,国际社会应对全球变暖的努力已遭受重创。

"If expectations are framed in those terms, the absence of such a breakthrough could subsequently be presented as evidence of failure." Climate change driving child marriages and teen pregnancies, study finds Global headwinds With climate sceptic Donald Trump withdrawing the United States from the negotiations, international efforts to combat global warming had already taken a battering.

但现在形势看起来更加不容乐观:能源价格飙升使主要石油和天然气生产商处于强势地位,使其更不愿意讨论逐步淘汰化石燃料的问题。

But now the situation looks even less promising as surging energy prices have put major oil and gas producers in a position of strength that makes them less likely to want to discuss phasing out fossil fuels.

欧盟坚称自己仍是全球气候行动的领导者,也是该领域主要的国际捐助方。

The EU insists it remains the global leader on climate action and is the principal international donor in the field.

然而,由于欧盟内部多个国家正面临预算压力,爱尔兰主席国为安塔利亚会议制定的策略文件明确表示,目前各方几乎没有意愿采取更多行动。

But with numerous countries in the bloc facing strains on their budget, the Irish presidency's strategy document for Antalya makes clear there is little will to go much further at the moment.

文件称:“虽然我们愿意就如何履行现有的财政承诺展开讨论,但并没有意愿提供新的资金。”

"While we are open to engaging on how to deliver on existing finance commitments, there is no appetite for new financing," the document says.

此次采取更为低调的做法,是因为该集团此前在多次《联合国气候变化框架公约》(Cop)峰会上因过于天真而受到内部批评,且在没有说服其他主要大国跟进的情况下就行动过度。

The more low-key approach this time around, comes after the bloc faced internal criticism for being too naive at previous Cop summits and going too far without convincing other major powers to follow suit.

法国一直呼吁欧盟采取更具“交易性”的做法,尤其是对印度,主张将资金提供与具体的气候承诺挂钩。

France has regularly called for the EU to be more "transactional", particularly with India, making financing dependent on concrete climate commitments.

在巴西举行的上一届Cop峰会上,欧盟未能提及逐步淘汰化石燃料,这让欧洲各国深感失望,他们不希望重蹈覆辙。一位联合国官员告诉法新社:“那是一次非常糟糕的经历。”

Europeans were left deeply frustrated at the last Cop in Brazil, which concluded without a mention of phasing out fossil fuels – and don't want a repeat. "It was a very bad experience," a UN official told AFP.

这位官员表示,这一次“他们不想承担任何风险”,并采取了“非常防御性”的立场。

This time around "they do not want to take any risks" and are adopting a "very defensive" stance, the official said.

法国正努力应对农业气候适应的资金短缺问题,损失不断加剧,“警示灯正在闪烁橙色”。尽管欧盟仍试图将自己塑造成全球先驱,但它在参加此次Cop会议之前,刚刚放宽了自己的环境立法。

France struggles to fund farm climate adaptation as losses mount 'Flashing orange' While the EU still stakes its claim as a global trailblazer – it is arriving at the Cop having recently watered down its own environmental legislation.

由于难以与中国和美国竞争,布鲁塞尔近年来一直在推行越来越亲商的政策。

As it struggles to compete with China and the United States, Brussels has been on an increasingly business-friendly push.

最近的例子是,欧盟委员会上个月提议将一项针对甲烷——一种污染性极强的温室气体——的法规实施时间推迟一年,从2027年延至2028年。

The most recent example last month was the commission proposing to postpone the implementation of a law targeting methane – an extremely polluting greenhouse gas – by one year, from 2027 to 2028.

该法规旨在强制进口碳氢化合物的公司监测并报告其供应链相关的甲烷排放,尤其遭到华盛顿的反对。

This legislation, aimed at forcing companies importing hydrocarbons to monitor and report methane emissions associated with their supplies, was opposed in particular by Washington.

欧盟的这一倒退举措对环境组织以及联合国都造成了沉重打击。今年6月,联合国曾发起一项“全球行动呼吁”,以应对甲烷问题——它是仅次于二氧化碳的第二大气候变暖成因。

This backward step from the EU was a major blow for environmental organisations, as well as to the UN, which in June launched a "call for global action" against methane, the second-largest contributor to climate change after CO2.

这位联合国官员表示,在欧洲层面,气候问题的“所有警示灯都在闪烁橙色”。但欧盟气候委员沃普克·赫克斯特拉则持不同看法。

At the European level "all the warning lights are flashing orange" on climate issues, the UN official said. Not so, argues the European climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra.

“欧盟将继续坚持气候行动路线,并将在《联合国气候变化框架公约》第二十九次缔约方大会(COP)上继续保持领导地位,”他说。

"The EU is staying the course on climate action and will continue to show leadership at Cop," he said. "Clean electrification needs to be at the heart of the discussion.

“清洁电气化必须成为讨论的核心。我们还需要加快《巴黎协定》的落实。”首先,欧盟各国需要决定是否支持土耳其的一项倡议,该倡议旨在设定一个非约束性目标,要求各国到2035年使其能源消耗中35%来自电力。

We also need to accelerate implementation of the Paris Agreement." For starters, EU countries will need to decide whether to back a Turkish initiative aiming to set a non-binding target for countries to reach 35 percent of electricity in their energy consumption by 2035.