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一项新的美联社-NORC民调发现,大多数美国人认为人工智能发展过快Most Americans think artificial intelligence is developing too fast, a new AP-NORC poll finds

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2026年10月5日,在纽约市议会就人工智能安全举行听证会之前,一小群支持限制人工智能的人士在市政厅前举着标语牌。(美联社照片/塞思·韦尼格,资料图)A small group of people supporting restrictions on artificial intelligence hold up signs in front of City Hall before a New York City Council hearing on artificial intelligence safety in New York, Oct. 5, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig, file)

一项新的AP-NORC民调显示,大多数美国人认为人工智能发展速度过快。而绝大多数美国成年人表示,政府确保人工智能始终处于人类控制之下,以及保护美国工人的安全非常重要。

A new AP-NORC poll finds that most Americans think artificial intelligence is developing too fast. And the vast majority of U.S. adults say it's highly important for the government to ensure that AI stays under human control and that U.S. workers are protected.

BARBARA ORTUTAY, LINLEY SANDERS WASHINGTON — 关于人工智能的担忧跨越了党派界限,绝大多数美国人表示,美国政府应该优先确保人工智能始终处于人类控制之下,并保护工人。

BARBARA ORTUTAY, LINLEY SANDERS WASHINGTON — Worries around artificial intelligence cross party lines, with the vast majority of Americans saying the U.S. government should prioritize keeping AI under human control and protecting workers.

一旦强大的人工智能模型可能逃脱人类控制并危害 humanity,这种风险曾是科幻小说的内容,但现在正日益成为一个更加紧迫的关注问题。甚至是开发前沿人工智能模型的公司领导们也呼吁减缓发展速度,以便政府监管能够赶上。唐纳德·特朗普总统由于担心中国在这项技术上获得优势,反对减缓人工智能发展的速度。随着中期选举的临近,为人工智能项目提供动力的数据中心也在主要政治竞选中占据重要地位。

The risk that powerful AI models could evade human control and hurt humanity, once the stuff of science fiction, has been emerging as a more pressing concern. Even leaders of the companies that are developing frontier AI models are calling for a slowdown so that government regulation can catch up. President Donald Trump has pushed back against slowing down AI development because of concerns that China will gain an advantage with the technology. Data centers powering AI projects have also taken a prominent role in major political races as the midterm elections approach.

约80%的美国成年人表示,政府确保人工智能始终处于人类控制之下非常重要或非常重要,而他们也同样希望政府优先保护国家的劳动力。大多数美国成年人还认为,最小化环境危害和促进美国经济增长非常重要。约一半的人对此表示赞同,略少一些的人则认为这与竞争中国有关。

About 8 in 10 U.S. adults say it’s “extremely” or “very” important for the U.S. government to ensure that AI stays under human control, and they are about as likely to want the government to prioritize protecting the country’s workforce. Most U.S. adults also think minimizing environmental harm and growing the U.S. economy are highly important. About half say this about promoting technological innovation, and slightly fewer say that about competing with China.

人们对人工智能发展速度的担忧是跨党派的,但很少有美国人认为任何主要政党在处理人工智能问题上占有优势。共和党人特朗普在处理这一问题上的评分也很低,67%的美国成年人对他在人工智能问题上的表现表示不满。

There’s bipartisan concern about the speed of AI’s development, but few Americans think either major political party has an advantage in handling artificial intelligence. Trump, a Republican, also gets a low rating on his handling of the issue, with 67% of U.S. adults disapproving of his performance on AI.

来自犹他州塞内特的初中科学教师斯蒂芬妮·斯图尔特表示,她对总统反对人工智能监管的立场感到 frustrated。

Stephanie Stewart, a junior-high science teacher in Sunset, Utah, said she is frustrated by the president’s opposition to AI regulation.

“除了让这些公司为所欲做之外,我们没有办法处理这个问题,我们不会对它们进行监管,”斯图尔特(53岁)说。

“There is no handling of the issue except for we’re just going to allow these companies to do whatever they want, and we’re not going to regulate them,” said Stewart, 53.

大多数人认为保护工人应该是政府的优先事项。住在明尼苏达州乡村的奥尔登的卡车司机罗恩·西奥达什表示,他对人工智能最担心的是失去工作——包括他自己的工作。

Most say protecting workers should be a priority for the government Ron Theusch, a truck driver who lives in rural Alden, Minnesota, said his No. 1 concern with AI is the potential loss of jobs — including his own.

“我可以想象到一条24小时不停运行的自动驾驶卡车队在I-35上来来往往往,装卸货物。我真的可以想象到这一幕,”西奥达什(58岁)说。

“I can just see a train of self-driving trucks 24/7, just running up and down I-35, loading and unloading. I can just see that happening,” said Theusch, 58.

民意调查发现,大多数民主党人和共和党人都认为保护工人和将人工智能置于人类控制之下很重要。

Most Democrats and Republicans agree on the importance of protecting workers and keeping AI under human control, the poll found.

“有一部电影叫《终结者》,里面机器人回来杀了所有人,”西奥达什说。“人们能理解这一点……我不知道这会怎么发展。我真的没有什么办法能控制它,你知道的。它会不断进化。”在人工智能的其他优先事项方面,人们的意见分歧较大。共和党人比民主党人更认为发展美国经济和与像中国这样的其他国家竞争非常重要。而民主党人则更认为尽量减少环境危害至少“非常”重要。

“There was a movie called ‘Terminator,’ where the robots came back and killed everybody,” Theusch said. “People relate to that ... I don’t know where it’s going to land. I really don’t have anything I can do to control it, you know. It’s going to evolve.”There’s less consensus about the importance of other priorities when it comes to AI. Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say it’s highly important to grow the U.S. economy and to compete with other countries like China. Democrats, on the other hand, are more likely to say it’s at least “very” important to minimize environmental harm.

“我不明白为什么,因为他们做事也和我们一样好,我们不能更人性化、更人道一些,而只能说‘好吧,他们在做,所以我们也必须做’,”斯图尔特说,谈及美国与中国的竞争。

“I don’t understand how, because they’re doing something as well as us, that we can’t be more human about it and more humane about it than just to say, ‘Well, they’re doing it, so we have to do it,’” Stewart said of U.S. competition with China.

民意调查还发现,虽然约三分之二的民主党人认为人工智能发展“太快了”,但只有约一半的共和党人有同样的担忧。60岁以下的人比60岁以上的人表达出更高的担忧程度。

And while about three-quarters of Democrats say AI is developing “too fast,” only about half of Republicans share that worry. People under 30 years old also express higher levels of concern than people 60 or older, the survey found.

“我想我有着所有普通人都会有的顾虑,对吧?我觉得人工智能在某些应用场景中确实很出色,但我也担心它会被过度使用,甚至导致人际联系减少。它还可能让人变得懒惰,因为信息直接呈现在面前,人们无需再费心去自行研究,”新墨西哥州阿尔伯克基市62岁的共和党人凯莉·奥普说道。

“I think I have all the normal concerns, right? I think it’s wonderful for certain applications, but I also feel like it will be overused and can create a lack of personal connections. It can make people lazy because information is just given to them without really having to research things on their own,” said Kelly Opp, a 62-year-old Republican in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

“就像其他事物一样,一旦开始发展,就会自行快速推进。不过我认为这种发展势头还会持续下去。所以发展速度倒不会让我困扰,”她补充道。

“Like everything else, once you get that ball rolling, it progresses fast on its own, but I think that it will continue to keep progressing. So the speed doesn’t really bother me,” she said.

作为教师,斯图尔特经常借助人工智能来辅助工作,比如编写作业或设计测试题。但她对人工智能对儿童的影响深感担忧。

Americans have little confidence in Democrats or Republicans on AI As a teacher, Stewart regularly uses AI to help with her work, including with creating assignments or assisting with tests. But she is deeply concerned about AI’s effects on children.

“我们必须保护孩子,保护青少年,还要保护他们的隐私……我们得想办法做点什么才行,”她说。

“You’ve got to protect kids. You’ve got to protect teens. You’ve got to protect privacy ... we need to try to do something,” she said.

在人工智能治理问题上,美国民众对民主党和共和党的信任度都偏低。调查显示,约四成美国人表示在人工智能领域既不信任民主党也不信任共和党;近两成民众对两党持同等信任态度,其余民众则分别倾向于信任其中一方。

Americans have little trust in either party when it comes to the handling of AI issues. About 4 in 10 Americans say they don’t trust either the Democratic Party or the Republican Party on AI, according to the poll, while nearly 2 in 10 trust both parties equally, and the rest are split between trusting the Republicans and the Democrats.

即便是认同某一党派的民众,对其处理该问题的能力也持保留态度。仅有约半数共和党人和民主党人认为自己的党派更有能力应对人工智能带来的挑战,而各自阵营中约三成民众则认为两党都无能为力。

Even people who identify with the parties are ambivalent about their ability to handle the issue. Only about half of Republicans and Democrats say their party is better equipped to handle AI issues, and roughly 3 in 10 in each case say neither party is.

“我属于温和派,觉得两党各有优点,”斯图尔特说道。“目前华盛顿的那些政客只顾着为自己谋利,根本不会为民众着想。所以,我不认为民主党能做得更好。或许他们会大力宣传人工智能的好处。但在看到任何切实举措之前,我只会觉得:‘算了,你们都只是在坐而论道罢了。’” 奥尔图泰于加利福尼亚州奥克兰报道。

“I am kind of moderate. And I see that there’s good on both sides,” said Stewart. “Anyone back in Washington is weak on doing anything for anyone but themselves right now. So, no, I don’t think the Democrats would do a better job per se. Maybe they would definitely tout it. But until I see anything coming from anyone, I’m going to be like, ‘Yeah, no. You’re all just sitting there.’”Ortutay reported from Oakland, Calif.

美国公共舆论研究中心(AP-NORC)对2140名成年人进行的民意调查于9月24日至28日完成,调查样本来自NORC基于概率抽样的“AmeriSpeak”调查员小组,该小组旨在反映美国人口的整体特征。全体成年人的抽样误差幅度为±2.9个百分点。

The AP-NORC poll of 2,140 adults was conducted Sept. 24-28 using a sample drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for adults overall is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.