字号·· | 护眼
彭博社

Firmus的失误给排队中的数据中心IPO蒙上阴影Firmus Misfire Casts Shadow on Data Center IPOs in the Pipeline

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

支持的数据中心企业Firmus Grid Ltd.原定于澳大利亚上市,但如今预计将推迟,这一消息对其他拟议的上市计划而言是一个不祥之兆。此前,多家人工智能基础设施公司的首次公开募股表现均令人失望。

The expected postponement of Nvidia Corp.-backed data center company Firmus Grid Ltd.’s Australian IPO is an ominous sign for other proposed listings, coming after a string of disappointing debuts for artificial intelligence infrastructure firms.

据彭博新闻社报道,Firmus正考虑暂停其最高可达55亿美元的IPO计划,转而寻求通过私募方式筹集更多资金。此前,部分投资者指出该交易的定价策略过于激进。

Firmus’ looming decision to pause its IPO of as much as $5.5 billion and instead consider raising more money privately came after some investors flagged the pricing strategy for the deal as aggressive, Bloomberg News reported.

过去一个月,美国10年期国债收益率大幅上升,这对利率敏感的板块造成了不利影响。Roundhill Investments的首席执行官戴夫·马扎表示,投资者常将这些公司与所谓的“新云”企业相提并论,例如CoreWeave Inc.和Nebius Group NV,而这些公司正是杠杆率最高、波动性最大的人工智能股票之一。

A sharp rise in US Treasury 10-year bond yields in the past month hasn’t helped the rate-sensitive group. The so-called neoclouds that investors are comparing many of these companies to, such as CoreWeave Inc. and Nebius Group NV, are among the most leveraged and volatile AI stocks, said Dave Mazza, chief executive officer of Roundhill Investments.

马扎说:“目前市场看空情绪正盛,因为资本成本已失控,长期久期的股票正受到冲击,因此短期内的市场形势十分严峻。”

“The bear case is having a moment, because the cost of capital has become unhinged and equities with long duration are taking a hit, so the set up in the short term is challenging,” said Mazza.

在公开向美国证券交易委员会提交文件后,已有数家公司放慢了上市步伐。根据规定,公司在启动正式的IPO营销前需等待15天。尽管人工智能云计算提供商Nscale Ltd.以及软银集团(SoftBank Group Corp.)支持的人工智能数据中心和电力基础设施开发商SB Energy Inc.已于上月申请在美国上市,但它们尚未开始各自交易的营销工作。

Several companies have already dragged their feet after publicly filing their paperwork with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, which requires that companies wait 15 days before kicking off formal IPO marketing. Though AI cloud computing provider Nscale Ltd. and SoftBank Group Corp.-backed AI data center and power infrastructure developer SB Energy Inc. filed for US listings last month, they have yet to start marketing their respective deals.

总部位于新加坡的DayOne Data Centers Ltd.本周早些时候已公开申请在美国上市,按照时间表,该公司最早可在10月21日正式向投资者推介。

Singapore-based DayOne Data Centers Ltd. filed publicly for a US IPO earlier this week, and can begin formally pitching to investors on Oct. 21 based on the calendar.

据熟悉相关事务的人士透露,所有这些公司都在寻找合适的上市时机,而投资者则在等待前沿人工智能实验室Anthropic PBC可能于11月进行的巨额IPO。

All are looking to find an opening while investors await the potential mega-listing of frontier AI lab Anthropic PBC as early as November, people familiar with the matter have said.

“我们之所以喜欢这些公司名字,背后的关键逻辑在于,它们能够比传统云服务提供商更快地启动计算能力。但这些公司的股价相对于销售额的倍数非常高,因此需要举债来支持业务扩张,”Mazza说道。他管理的主动型ETF包括Roundhill Neocloud ETF。

“The thesis behind why we like these names is they are able to turn on compute more rapidly than the traditional cloud service providers, but these companies are trading at very high multiples to sales and they need to raise debt to fund their businesses,” said Mazza, whose active ETFs include the Roundhill Neocloud ETF.

“如果你是Nscale,而看到Firmus的情况,这并不会让你对定价自己的IPO更有信心,”他补充道。Nscale的一名代表拒绝发表评论。

“If you are Nscale and you see Firmus, it is not a confidence-building sign to price your IPO,” he said. A representative for Nscale declined to comment.

Roundhill Neocloud ETF周四下跌7.2%,其持仓包括Nebius、Coreweave和IREN Ltd.。

The Roundhill Neocloud ETF, whose holdings include Nebius, Coreweave and IREN Ltd., fell 7.2% on Thursday.

根据彭博社整理的数据(不包括空白支票公司和其他金融工具),那些希望抓住AI相关支出激增机遇或参与其中的公司促成了两笔巨额交易,推动今年美国IPO的加权平均回报率达到了15%。

Companies looking to capture the surge of AI-related spending, or participate in it, have produced the pair of megadeals that have pushed the weighted average return for US IPOs this year to 15%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg that excludes blank-check firms and other financial vehicles.

SpaceX的股价自IPO以来已上涨19%。该公司创纪录的862亿美元上市交易,重点强调其未来与AI相关的业务。韩国内存芯片制造商SK Hynix Inc.的美国存托凭证自上市以来也上涨了14%。

Shares of SpaceX, whose record-setting $86.2 billion listing was pitched with a heavy emphasis on its future AI-related business, are up 19% since the IPO, and South Korean memory chipmaker SK Hynix Inc.’s American depositary shares are up 14% since the listing.

相比之下,数据中心企业Csquare Inc.和Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.在最近上市之后,股价均下跌了超过15%。

Data center firms Csquare Inc. and Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc., by contrast, have fallen more than 15% each following their recent debuts.

今年上市的一些所谓“铲子股”公司表现同样不佳。这些公司让投资者能够参与AI相关领域(如数据中心的加热、冷却和通风系统,或维持其运行的电力设备)的活动。

Several so-called pick and shovels companies, which offer exposure to activity in AI-adjacent sectors such as the heating, cooling and ventilation systems in data centers or the power equipment used to keep them running, have also performed poorly after going public this year.

尽管如此,Bloomberg Intelligence预测,到2032年,生成式AI的支出将达到2.3万亿美元,其中仅AI智能体部署就将达到约2860亿美元。随着AI使用量的增长,许多投资者仍然认为数据中心对计算能力的需求将持续上升。

Still, Bloomberg Intelligence predicts spending on generative AI will reach $2.3 trillion by 2032, including about $286 billion on AI agent deployments alone. With the increase in AI usage that implies, many investors still see demand for computing power from data centers continuing to grow.

“目前市场上确实在大量筹集股权和债务资金,但我们认为这样做是值得的,”Ingalls & Snyder公司的高级投资组合策略师Tim Ghriskey表示。

“There’s definitely a lot of equity and debt being raised out there but we believe that’s worth doing,” said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls & Snyder.

“我们认为数据中心存在巨大的积压需求,而且我认为这种需求不会停止。虽然前路不会一帆风顺,但未来仍有巨大的增长空间。”

“We believe there’s a huge amount of pent-up demand for data centers and I don’t think that’s going to stop. It’s not all going to be smooth sailing but there is a lot of growth ahead.”