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事实核查:特朗普称关税带来了更多美国汽车工厂。他的数据有误FACT FOCUS: Trump says tariffs have brought more US auto factories. His numbers are off.

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2022年10月19日,在南卡罗来纳州格里尔市的宝马斯帕坦堡工厂,装配线上的汽车。 (美联社照片/肖恩·雷福德,档案)Cars are pictured on the assembly line at the BMW Spartanburg plant in Greer, S.C., October 19, 2022. (AP Photo/Sean Rayford, File)

ALEXA ST. JOHN 底特律 —— 随着中期选举临近,唐纳德·特朗普总统正在全国各地奔走,为共和党候选人拉票助选。他大肆宣扬自己的经济议程,并将行业增长归功于共和党支持的关税政策——包括他所说的全国各地涌现的更多汽车制造厂。

ALEXA ST. JOHN DETROIT — As President Donald Trump travels the country to rally support for Republican candidates ahead of the midterm elections, he is touting his economic agenda and crediting GOP-backed tariffs with industry growth — including what he says are more vehicle manufacturing plants all over the country.

本周早些时候,他在巴尔的摩一家造船厂发表讲话时,将汽车制造商从至少五个国家被吸引回美国归功于其政府,并描绘了一幅历史性工厂建设的图景,称此前几十年根本没有建过任何工厂。

Speaking at a Baltimore shipyard earlier this week, he credited his administration with drawing automakers back from at least five countries and painted a picture of historic plant construction after decades where there had been none at all.

但尽管特朗普在推动汽车制造回流美国和促成行业内交易方面取得了一些成功,但他所说的大部分内容都被夸大或并不属实。以下是对事实的详细核查。

But while Trump has found some success in boosting car manufacturing to the U.S. and forging deals within the industry, much of what he said was overblown or untrue. Here’s a closer look at the facts.

特朗普,周二称:“我们在这个国家44年没建过汽车厂。现在我们建造的汽车厂比历史上任何时候都多。” 事实核查:美国44年没建过汽车工厂的说法不属实。美国目前建造的汽车制造厂数量也并非历史最多。

TRUMP, on Tuesday: “We didn’t build a car plant for 44 years in this country. Now we’re building more car plants than we ever have in history.”THE FACTS: It is not true that a vehicle factory has not been built in the U.S. in 44 years. The U.S. is also not currently building more auto manufacturing plants than it ever has.

根据制造商历史、公开记录和行业组织“Autos Drive America”的数据,过去四十年间,美国已开设了二十多家主要的新车辆组装厂。其他工厂则被收购、改装或改造。

More than two dozen major new vehicle assembly plants opened in the United States during the past four decades, based on the manufacturer histories, public records and data from industry group Autos Drive America. Others have been bought, retooled or repurposed.

也就是说,特朗普执政期间,美国确实出现了一些重大的汽车制造业动向。

That said, the U.S. has seen some significant automotive manufacturing movement under Trump.

在特朗普的第二个任期内,Rivian在佐治亚州破土动工建设第二家工厂,现代汽车集团美国Metaplant工厂也在那里开业。当时,特朗普赞扬了现代汽车,并将这一消息吹捧为“关税非常有力奏效的明确证明”。在他的第一个任期内,马自达和丰田宣布在阿拉巴马州亨茨维尔建设一座大型合资车辆工厂,沃尔沃首家美国工厂在南卡罗来纳州开业。

So far in Trump’s second term, Rivian broke ground on a second factory in Georgia, and the Hyundai Motor Group Metaplant America opened there, too. At the time, Trump praised Hyundai and touted the news as “a clear demonstration that tariffs very strongly work.”In his first term, Mazda and Toyota announced a mammoth joint vehicle facility in Huntsville, Alabama and Volvo’s first U.S. plant opened in South Carolina.

专家表示,特朗普任内的这些发展,总体上与过去至少二十年的趋势一致。

The developments under Trump broadly align with what’s been happening over at least the last two decades, experts say.

“我们一直在这里大量生产人们购买的汽车。如果你在美国买一辆本田,它更有可能是在美国制造的。这在特朗普之前很久就已经是事实了,”密歇根大学经济学副教授约书亚·豪斯曼表示。“过去几十年里,汽车工厂一直在定期建设。”白宫提供了一份项目清单,总投资额超过500亿美元,政府将其归功于总统的贸易议程。

“We’ve always made lots and lots of the cars that people are buying here. If you buy a Honda in the U.S., it’s more likely that that was made in the U.S. That was true long before Trump,” said Joshua Hausman, University of Michigan associate professor of economics. “There have been car factories built regularly over the past few decades.”The White House provided a list of projects that total more than $50 billion in investments by automakers, which the administration credits to the president’s trade agenda.

其中包括丰田100亿美元的投资,据称用于全国范围内的运营——该车企尚未确认这将用于新建工厂——以及Stellantis计划投资130亿美元扩大其在美国的版图。据称福特汽车公司、通用汽车和梅赛德斯-奔驰也将在各自项目中投资约150亿美元。

Among them are a $10 billion investment from Toyota said to be for operations across the country — the automaker has not confirmed it will be for adding plants — and plans by Stellantis to invest $13 billion in expanding its U.S. footprint. Ford Motor Co ., General Motors and Mercedes-Benz are said to be investing some $15 billion in projects of their own.

“总统成功开启了一场制造业复兴,数万亿美元的投资涌入我国,”白宫发言人泰勒·罗杰斯表示,并将这些投资归功于特朗普的“美国优先”贸易议程。

“The President successfully launched a manufacturing renaissance with trillions of dollars in investments pouring into our country,” said White House spokesperson Taylor Rogers, crediting the investment to Trump’s America First Trade Agenda.

但并非特朗普任内的所有消息都专门针对全新的整车组装,行业专家指出,特朗普的成就与拜登政府及其他政府的成就差别不大。

But not all of the news under Trump has specifically been for all-new vehicle assembly, and Trump’s accomplishments don’t differ much from President Joe Biden’s administration and others, industry experts noted.

正如特朗普时期一样,拜登任内美国也见证了新建和改造汽车工厂的开业。电动汽车制造商Rivian重启了伊利诺伊州诺默尔市前三菱工厂,Lucid在亚利桑那州卡萨格兰德开设了工厂。

As with Trump, the U.S. saw the opening of both new and retrofitted auto plants under Biden. EV manufacturers Rivian reopened a former Mitsubishi plant in Normal, Ill. and Lucid opened a plant in Casa Grande, Ariz .

特斯拉在德克萨斯州奥斯汀开设了全新的超级工厂。福特在密歇根州迪尔伯恩开设了鲁日电动汽车中心,并在田纳西州斯坦顿开工建设BlueOval City,这是一个用于电动汽车和电池的综合体。

Tesla opened an all-new Gigafactory in Austin, Texas . Ford opened the Rouge Electric Vehicle Center in Dearborn, Michigan, and began construction on BlueOval City, a complex for EVs and batteries, in Stanton, Tennessee.

通用汽车宣布计划投资70亿美元在密歇根州建设电动汽车和电池工厂,越南车企VinFast表示将在北卡罗来纳州建设电动汽车工厂。

GM announced its plans to pour $7 billion into EV and battery plants in Michigan, and Vietnamese automaker VinFast said it would build an EV plant in North Carolina .

截至今年,美国汽车制造商协会统计,美国共有51家轻型车组装厂在运营,较五年前的52家仅略有减少。

As of this year, Autos Drive America counted 51 total light vehicle assembly plants operating in the U.S., down just slightly from 52 five years earlier.

特朗普:“我们的汽车工业正在回归。它们正在离开加拿大、墨西哥、日本、德国、韩国。” 事实核查:许多外资车企已在美国扎根数十年。

TRUMP: “Our car industry is coming back. They’re leaving Canada, they’re leaving Mexico, they’re leaving Japan and Germany, South Korea. ” THE FACTS: Many foreign automakers have been part of the industry in the U.S. for decades.

大众汽车于20世纪70年代末开始在美国组装车辆;本田、日产、丰田及多家欧洲制造商于20世纪80年代相继跟进——这大致符合特朗普本周早些时候提到的44年时间跨度。这些公司如今每年在美国生产并销售数百万辆汽车。

Volkswagen began assembling vehicles in the U.S. in the late 1970s; Honda, Nissan, Toyota and various European manufacturers followed suit in the 1980s — around the 44 year timeframe that Trump referred to earlier this week. These companies now make and sell millions of vehicles in the U.S. each year.

美国车辆制造业及汽车组装岗位的萎缩,恰逢本土车企市场份额被外资公司蚕食之时。

American vehicle manufacturing and auto assembly jobs began to decline at the same time as domestic automakers lost market share to those foreign-owned companies.

美国汽车业的困境在布什政府时期的2008年金融危机中全面爆发。美国车企陷入困境,而外资车企及其车辆需求却持续增长。美国进口车增加,海外产能扩张。

The U.S. industry’s woes came to a head during the 2008 financial crisis under the Bush administration. American companies faltered while foreign automakers, and demand for their vehicles, grew. The nation saw more imported vehicles and increased production abroad.

在奥巴马政府时期,通用汽车不得不接受救助以避免破产。2008年后的几年里,美国车业有所复苏,特朗普和拜登执政期间均是如此。

Under President Barack Obama’s administration, GM had to be bailed out from bankruptcy. In the years following 2008, the American industry recovered some, both under Trump and Biden .

拜登的政策大力推动对燃油效率更高及电动汽车的投资,但许多曾经雄心勃勃的计划,因特朗普的政策和消费者需求疲软而被大幅缩减。直到伊朗战争推高油价,才重新激发了对清洁能源车辆的兴趣。

Biden’s policies led to a major push for investment in more fuel-efficient and electric vehicles, though many of those once-ambitious plans have since been dialed back as a result of Trump’s policies and slow consumer demand. That is, until the war in Iran sent gas prices soaring and juiced interest in cleaner vehicles .

特朗普:“这全归功于我最爱的词——关税。” 事实核查:专家表示,将美国新增汽车制造投资单纯归功于关税,并不那么简单。

TRUMP: “It’s all because of my favorite word tariffs.”THE FACTS: Experts said it’s not as simple as crediting new auto manufacturing investment in the U.S. to tariffs.

“当前的关税浪潮已经导致生产转移,但并未引发新一轮组装工厂的潮涌,”AutoForecast Solutions公司副总裁Sam Fiorani表示。“汽车制造商的投资着眼于长期,而非基于单一政府的短期决策。”Hausman指出,建造一座工厂需要很长时间。

“The current wave of tariffs has led to relocation of production, but they have not resulted in a tsunami of new assembly plants,” said Sam Fiorani, vice president at AutoForecast Solutions. “Vehicle manufacturers invest for the long-haul and not based on one administration’s short-term decisions.”Building a factory takes a long time, Hausman said.

“当人们认为六个月后关税可能会降低,或者在下一届总统任期内关税可能会被取消时,并没有特别的理由认为这会促使汽车制造商新建工厂,”他说。

“When people think there’s a good chance that six months from now the tariffs will be reduced, or in the next presidential administration, the tariffs will be eliminated, there’s no particular reason to think that would lead car manufacturers to build new factories,” he said.

一些专家认为,特朗普政府的政策已经阻碍了行业的投资。即使关税激励了部分企业加强在美国的运营,但它们也在推高汽车价格方面发挥了作用。

Some experts say the Trump administration’s policies have hobbled industry investment. Even if tariffs have incentivized parts of the industry to shore up U.S. operations, they also play a role in driving up vehicle prices.

特朗普的关税不仅影响从国外进口的汽车,也影响在美国制造汽车所需的一些关键材料,例如钢铁和铝。

Trump’s tariffs impact not only vehicles coming from abroad, but also some of the key supplies necessary to build vehicles in the U.S., such as steel and aluminum .

汽车制造商必须计算,海外生产所面临的关税成本是否高于在美国本土生产汽车,同时还要应对国内制造成本上升的问题。

Automakers have to calculate whether the tariffs from offshore production outweigh producing vehicles in the U.S. while having to navigate increased costs of manufacturing goods here.

“全球汽车产业对价格极为敏感,必须根据如何使最终产品在全球范围内具备竞争力来选择零部件供应商和组装工厂的位置,”Fiorani说。“关税正在打乱此前用于生产今日汽车的计算方式,并使原本经济的选择变得过于昂贵,从而推高了汽车价格。”Alexa St. John是美联社的气候记者。可在X上关注她:@alexa_stjohn。可通过ast.john@ap.org与她联系。在此处查找美联社事实核查内容:

“The global automotive industry is very price sensitive and requires sourcing components and locating assembly facilities based on making the end product globally competitive,” Fiorani said. “Tariffs are disrupting the equations used to get to today’s vehicles and making them more expensive by making the affordable choices too expensive to use.”Alexa St. John is an Associated Press climate reporter. Follow her on X: @alexa_stjohn . Reach her at ast.john@ap.org. Find AP Fact Checks here:.