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法国世界报

欧洲如何转变应对俄罗斯混合威胁的方式How Europe is shifting its approach to Russia's hybrid threats

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乌克兰战争的影响正日益直接地波及欧洲本土,政治挑战正叠加在基辅盟友原有的安全和军事问题之上。10月10日星期六,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普呼吁更换乌克兰总统,这凸显了如何应对莫斯科的混合战术并遏制当前升级的问题。

The repercussions of the war in Ukraine are becoming increasingly direct on European soil, as political challenges for Kyiv's allies are added to preexisting security and military ones. On Saturday, October 10, US President Donald Trump called for a change of president in Ukraine, bringing to the fore questions of how to respond to Moscow's hybrid tactics and stem the current escalation.

“混合战争”一词在公共辩论中逐渐确立,用来描述归因于莫斯科的安全事件激增,自2022年以来,此类事件在欧洲已超过150起,严重程度各不相同。在军事圈内,分析师更倾向于使用“混合威胁”或“混合机动”这一表述,因为将一国对另一国的行为称为“战争”可能对所需应对类型产生严重影响。在大多数欧洲国家,战争状态也是一种特殊的法律地位,需要议会批准。

The term "hybrid war" has gradually taken hold in public debate to describe the surge in security incidents attributed to Moscow, which now number to more than 150 of varying severity across Europe since 2022. In military circles, analysts prefer to speak of "hybrid threats" or "hybrid maneuvers," since considering that a state is waging "war" against another can have serious implications on the type of response needed. In most European countries, a state of war is also a specific legal status that requires parliamentary approval.

在此背景下,北约武装部队司令亚历克斯·格林克维奇于10月12日星期一在华沙的国际安全论坛上发表了正式讲话。格林克维奇阐述了他所谓的“胜利理论”,以击败对联盟的武装攻击。混合战争问题也将出现在欧盟外交部长们每月会议的议程中,该会议定于星期一在卢森堡举行。

It's in this context that NATO armed forces commander Alexus Grynkewich delivered a formal address on Monday, October 12, in Warsaw, during an international security forum. Grynkewich elaborated what he called his "theory of victory" to defeat an armed attack on the alliance. The issue of hybrid warfare is also on the agenda of the monthly meeting of EU foreign ministers, scheduled to take place in Luxembourg on Monday.