明尼苏达州副州长佩吉·弗拉纳根（民主党）在该州美国参议院竞选的最新民意调查中领先于她的共和党对手、前NFL边线记者米歇尔·塔福亚。
Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D) leads her GOP opponent, former NFL sideline reporter Michele Tafoya, in a new poll on the state’s U.S. Senate race.
明尼苏达星论坛报/KARE 11明尼苏达州民意调查显示，47%的受访者支持弗拉纳根，43%支持塔福亚，9%未决定，少于1%选择其他人选。4个百分点的差距在该民调的误差范围内。
The Minnesota Star Tribune/KARE 11 Minnesota poll found 47 percent of respondents supported Flanagan, while 43 percent backed Tafoya, 9 percent were undecided and less than 1 percent picked someone else. The 4-point gap is within the poll’s margin of error.
在传统上倾向民主党的蓝州中，塔福亚在无党派选民中领先，获得38%的支持，而弗拉纳根为32%；29%未决定，1%选择其他候选人。
Tafoya led among independents in the typically blue state with 38 percent support, compared with 32 percent for Flanagan; 29 percent were undecided, and 1 percent picked another candidate.
弗拉纳根的无党派支持者告诉《星论坛报》，他们支持她而非塔福亚，是因为他们反对特朗普总统，特别是针对“都会区行动”（Operation Metro Surge）——即明尼阿波利斯的致命移民突袭，以及他对伊朗的战争。民调显示，38%的明尼苏达州居民赞同特朗普总统的表现，58%不赞同，4%不确定。
Flanagan’s independent supporters told the Star Tribune they supported her over Tafoya because of their opposition to President Trump, particularly for Operation Metro Surge, the deadly immigration raids in Minneapolis, and his war in Iran. The poll found 38 percent of Minnesotans approved of Trump’s performance as president, while 58 disapproved and 4 percent were unsure.
国土安全部在明尼苏达州的移民打击行动引发了该州的大规模抗议，此前美国公民瑞尼·古德和亚历克斯·普雷蒂在两起独立事件中被联邦移民官员致命枪杀。
The Department of Homeland Security’s immigration crackdown in Minnesota set off massive protests in the state following the deaths of U.S. citizens Renee Good and Alex Pretti, who were fatally shot by federal immigration officers in separate incidents.
塔福亚的无党派支持者则聚焦于弗拉纳根在明尼苏达州臭名昭著的福利欺诈丑闻中的领导表现。自2022年以来，超过98人因司法部对广泛洗钱计划的全面调查而被起诉。
Independent supporters of Tafoya focused on Flanagan’s leadership during Minnesota’s infamous welfare fraud scandal. Since 2022, more than 98 people have been charged in the Department of Justice’s sweeping probe of the widespread money-laundering scheme.
副州长已谴责该欺诈行为，明尼苏达州州长蒂姆·沃尔兹（民主党）今年早些时候对十余项医疗补助服务发起了审计。
The lieutenant governor has condemned the fraud, and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) launched an audit into more than a dozen Medicaid services earlier this year.
塔福亚在男性、未接受大学教育的选民以及50至64岁年龄段的受访者中领先。这位前体育评论员在更农村的北明尼苏达和南明尼苏达地区受访者中领先弗拉纳根17个百分点。
Tafoya led in the poll among men, voters without a college degree and those aged 50 to 64 years old. The former sportscaster led Flanagan by 17 points among respondents in more rural Northern Minnesota and Southern Minnesota.
弗拉纳根在18至49岁受访者、女性以及拥有大学学历的受访者中领先。她在明尼苏达州人口最多的两个县获得的支持率比塔福亚高出37个百分点。
Flanagan led among respondents aged 18 to 49 years old, women and those with a college degree. She received more support than Tafoya in Minnesota’s two most populous counties by 37 points.
弗拉纳根和塔福亚正在竞争以取代即将离任的参议员蒂娜·史密斯（D-明尼苏达州），该民主党议员去年宣布将退出国会。
Flanagan and Tafoya are competing to replace outgoing Sen. Tina Smith (D-Minn.) after the Democratic lawmaker announced her retirement from Congress last year.
《库克政治报告》将该空缺席位评为“可能由民主党赢得”。然而，多项民调反复显示塔福亚的支持率处于可争夺范围之内。
The Cook Political Report rates the open seat “likely Democrat.”However, polls have repeatedly shown Tafoya within striking distance.
在民主党初选中败给弗拉纳根的众议员安吉·克雷格（明尼苏达州）将在未来几天开始为副州长职位展开竞选。
Rep. Angie Craig (Minn.), who lost to Flanagan in the Democratic primary, will begin campaigning for the lieutenant governor in the coming days.
根据美国贸易代表办公室的数据，明尼苏达州也预计将受到特朗普与加拿大持续进行的对等关税冲突的严重影响，因为2025年该州最大的出口市场是加拿大。去年该州总出口额的24%——即56亿美元——流向了加拿大。
Minnesota is also expected to be impacted heavily by Trump’s ongoing tit-for-tat tariff conflict with Canada, as the state’s largest export market in 2025 was Canada, according to the U.S. Trade Representative’s Office. Some 24 percent of the state’s total exported goods — or $5.6 billion — was sent to Canada last year.
明尼苏达星 tribune/KARE 11明尼苏达州民调于10月5日至7日对800名明尼苏达州可能投票者进行。该民调的抽样误差范围为3.5个百分点。
The Minnesota Star Tribune/KARE 11 Minnesota poll was conducted from Oct. 5 to 7 among 800 Minnesota likely voters. The poll’s margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.