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捷克核心通胀加速,央行考虑再次加息Czech Core Inflation Quickens as Central Bank Mulls Another Hike

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捷克核心通胀在9月加速超过央行预期,政策制定者将讨论是否在今年第二次加息。

Czech core inflation accelerated more than the central bank expected in September as policymakers are set to debate whether to raise interest rates for a second time this year.

央行周二表示,密切关注的核心通胀指标(剔除食品和能源等波动较大项目)升至3.1%,而央行此前对当月的预测为2.9%。央行补充称,市场服务价格和商品价格均略有上升,但未就潜在政策影响发表评论。

The closely watched core gauge, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, rose to 3.1%, compared with the central bank’s 2.9% forecast for the month, the bank said on Tuesday. Both market services prices and goods prices quickened “slightly,” it added, without commenting on the potential policy implications.

捷克国家银行在过去两次会议上将基准利率维持在6月份上调25个基点后的水平不变。但上个月会议纪要显示,若国内压力保持强劲且高能源价格持续,政策制定者可能会“略微进一步”收紧货币条件。

The Czech National Bank left the benchmark interest rate unchanged at the past two meetings after a quarter-point increase in June. But the minutes of last month’s discussions revealed policymakers may tighten monetary conditions “slightly further” if domestic pressures remained strong and high energy prices persisted.

官员表示,他们将在11月5日的下次会议上决定是提高借贷成本还是维持不变。

Officials have said they will decide between lifting borrowing costs or holding them at the next meeting on Nov. 5.

“核心通胀持续位于容忍范围3%上限附近,加上农业成本上升、工资增长稳健、财政政策宽松以及地缘政治紧张局势,提高了在11月将关键利率上调至4%的可能性,”布拉格瑞银分析师特蕾莎·克尔切克在数据发布前表示。更多来自CNB关于通胀的声明:

“Persistent core inflation near the 3% upper bound of the tolerance range, in combination with rising agriculture costs, solid wage growth, looser fiscal policy and geopolitical tensions are boosting the likelihood of an increase in the key interest rate to 4% in November,” Tereza Krcek, a Raiffeisenbank analyst in Prague, said before the data release. More from the CNB statement on inflation: