小麦价格在9月暴跌12.7%，至每蒲式耳6.75美元，为自2024年6月以来的最大月度跌幅，此前价格曾触及月内高点7.95美元，原因是俄罗斯与乌克兰潜在和平协议、有利天气条件以及需求下降成为焦点。
Wheat prices plummeted by 12.7% in September to $6.75 per bushel, the sharpest monthly decline since June 2024, after reaching an intramonth peak of $7.95, as a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, favorable weather conditions, and declining demand came to the fore.
气候和地缘政治发展影响了小麦的供需，但该商品仍以比年初初始价值高约35%的水平收盘，此前其在1月曾降至每蒲式耳5美元的水平。
Climate and geopolitical developments influenced wheat's supply and demand, but the commodity still ended the month around 35% above its initial value at the start of the year, having concluded January at the $5-a-bushel level.
期货和商品市场专家扎费尔·埃尔格曾向安纳多卢通讯社表示，此前的价格上涨曾受到影响黑海谷物出口的供应风险支撑，但随着美俄关系积极发展，市场动态最近出现了下行转变。
Zafer Ergezen, a futures and commodity markets expert, told Anadolu that earlier price rallies were supported by supply risks affecting Black Sea grain exports, but recent market dynamics shifted downward as US-Russia relations developed positively.
“随着厄尔尼诺现象的影响弱于预期，美国小麦出口短期走弱以及对全球经济增长放缓的担忧成为拉低小麦价格的主要因素之一，”他说。
“Along with the El Nino effect being weaker than expected, a short-term weakening of US wheat exports and concerns over a global economic growth slowdown are among the main drivers pulling wheat prices down,” he said.
随着俄罗斯和乌克兰小麦价格下跌，美国小麦相较于欧洲小麦保持较高价位，导致对美国生产的小麦需求下降。
With the prices of Russian and Ukrainian wheat falling, US wheat remained expensive relative to European wheat, decreasing demand for wheat produced in the US.
“由于美元走强，美国小麦价格偏高，推高了小麦的美元成本，这是使欧洲小麦更具吸引力的因素之一，”他补充道。
“American wheat was expensive due to the stronger dollar, driving up the dollar cost of wheat, which is among the factors that made European wheat more attractive,” he added.