本周末，特朗普总统将在肯塔基州举办一场集会，作为其中期选举宣传攻势的一部分。此次集会旨在支持获得特朗普支持的共和党候选人埃德·加尔雷因，后者正竞选即将退休的共和党众议员托马斯·马西在肯塔基州第四选区的议席。
President Trump is set to host a Kentucky rally this weekend as part of his midterm blitz. The event is in support of Trump-endorsed GOP candidate Ed Gallrein, who is running for Rep. Thomas Massie’s (R-K.Y.) congressional seat.
据共和党全国委员会介绍，集会定于周六在肯塔基州高地高地镇举行。自2002年以来，该地区在众议院选举中始终倾向于共和党。马西在共和党初选中败给了加尔雷因，后者将于下个月迎战民主党候选人梅丽莎·斯特兰奇。
The rally is scheduled for Saturday in Highland Heights, a town in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District that has voted red for the House since 2002, according to the Republican National Committee. Massie lost in the GOP primary to Gallrein, who faces Democrat Melissa Strange next month.
由于《爱泼斯坦档案》的披露以及伊朗战争问题，马西逐渐与特朗普产生分歧。今年9月，马西曾放言称“总统的报应将在选举日到来”。此次集会举办地位于俄亥俄州边界附近，属于辛辛那提的媒体覆盖区域。这是共和党为保住弱势候选人席位而发起的攻势中，特朗普第三次造访该地区。
Massie became an adversary of Trump’s over the release of the Epstein files and the Iran war. He said in September, the president’s “comeuppance will happen on Election Day.”The rally’s site, near the border of Ohio, falls within Cincinnati’s media market. It marks the third visit by Trump to the region as the GOP seeks to defend vulnerable candidates.
尽管特朗普在历次总统选举中均赢得了俄亥俄州的支持——2024年更是以超过11个百分点的优势胜出——但这个传统上倾向共和党的州，其州长席位仍有可能易主。
Though Trump carried Ohio in each of his presidential bids — winning it by more than 11 percentage points in 2024 — the red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion has the potential to flip.
根据美国有线电视新闻网最新民调，民主党人艾米·阿克顿目前以8个百分点的优势领先共和党人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米。而《国会山报》合作方Decision Desk HQ的民调综合数据显示，阿克顿仅领先约4个百分点，目前这场竞选仍难分伯仲。
Democrat Amy Acton leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by 8 percentage points, according to a new CNN poll. Decision Desk HQ’s, a partner of The Hill, polling averages now show Acton up roughly 4 points, rating the race a toss-up.
特朗普及其盟友希望通过在这些倾向共和党或摇摆不定的选区展开密集宣传，进一步激发核心选民的投票热情。迄今为止，特朗普已在代顿和扬斯敦等地举办过集会。上周，副总统万斯也前往俄亥俄州利马市，为共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯特造势。
Trump and his allies hope this campaign blitz in red and purple districts will help to energize base voters. His stops in Ohio so far have included rallies in Dayton and Youngstown. Vice President Vance traveled last week to Lima for Sen. Jon Husted (R-Ohio).
赫斯特是被任命接替万斯原参议院席位的议员，今年他将与前参议员、民主党人谢罗德·布朗争夺完整任期。眼下，由于伊朗战争等因素导致汽油与食品价格持续上涨，选民不满情绪日益高涨，共和党整体处于守势。
Husted — who was appointed to fill Vance’s old Senate seat — is seeking his first full term against former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) in a year where the GOP is on the defensive amid growing voter dissatisfaction over rising gas and grocery prices, partially because of the ongoing war in Iran.
上月底发布的萨福克大学民调显示，在这位前参议员与赫斯特德的支持率对比中，前者以47%对44%略占上风。而美国有线电视新闻网与SSRS在10月份开展的民调则显示，布朗以49%对43%的优势领先于对手。
A Suffolk University poll released late last month showed the former senator leading Husted 47 percent to 44 percent amonged voters, while a CNN/SSRS poll released in October showed Brown leading 49 percent to 43 percent amonged voters.