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特朗普将在密西西比州举行集会Trump to hold rally in Mississippi

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特朗普总统定于下周一在密西西比州举行集会,考虑到该州一贯可靠的共和党历史,这是一个值得注意的临期中期选举活动安排。此次访问引发担忧,即即便是更深红的共和党大本营在距离选举几周时也已处于争夺之中。

President Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Mississippi next Monday, a notable choice for a last-minute midterm event given the state’s reliably Republican history. The visit is raising alarm that even redder GOP strongholds are in play weeks out from the election.

共和党全国委员会(RNC)周三宣布,特朗普将于下周一在密西西比州科林斯的十字路口竞技场发表演讲,距离11月中期选举仅一周。参议员辛迪·海德-史密斯(共和党)与民主党人斯科特·科洛姆之间的参议院竞选在最近几周变得出人意料地激烈,多家非党派选举评级机构已将该竞选的评级从“稳固”或“安全”共和党调整为“倾向共和党”。

The Republican National Committee (RNC) announced on Wednesday that Trump is speaking at the Crossroads Arena in Corinth, Miss. next Monday, just a week out from the November midterms. The Senate race between Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) and Democrat Scott Colom has turned unexpectedly competitive in recent weeks, with several nonpartisan election handicappers shifting their ratings of the race from “solid" or "safe" Republican to “likely Republican.”

特朗普的低支持率以及政府与加拿大的关税战和伊朗战争导致的高昂生活成本,正在损害选民的钱包,这已开始让本周期更多可靠的共和党大本营陷入争夺。Decision Desk HQ 预测,民主党夺回众议院的概率为78%,翻转参议院的概率为56%。

Trump’s low approval ratings and high cost of living expenses driven by the administration’s tariff war with Canada and war in Iran, which are pinching voters’ pocketbooks, have started to put more reliably Republican strongholds in play this cycle. Decision Desk HQ forecasts a 78 percent probability that Democrats retake the House and a 56 percent chance of flipping the Senate.

特朗普最近已在堪萨斯州和北卡罗来纳州举行过集会,并定于周三在南卡罗来纳州发表演讲。近期活动凸显了共和党的担忧,即即便在共和党州的支持基础,也可能在11月选择留在家中不投票或分裂选票。

Trump has recently held rallies in Kansas and North Carolina, and he is scheduled to speak at one in South Carolina on Wednesday. The recent events underscore Republican concerns that even their bases of support in GOP states may stay home this November or split their ticket.

根据《The Downballot》的数据,此次密西西比州活动举办地所在的密西西比州第1国会选区,在上届大选中以37个百分点的优势支持特朗普。

The Mississippi event is taking place in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District, which went for the president by 37 points, according to The Downballot.

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