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中国证监会主席吴清讲话前,市场对股市支持政策的期望升温Hopes for stock support rise in China ahead of CSRC head Wu Qing’s speech

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中国投资者正为下周证监会负责人的讲话做准备,以寻找北京将如何进一步加大对国家股市支持的线索,因为其最近的举措对提振市场情绪几乎没有作用。

Chinese investors are gearing up for a speech next week by the chief of the securities watchdog for clues on how Beijing will ramp up support for the country’s stock market after its latest efforts did little to bolster sentiment.

中国证券监督管理委员会(CSRC)主席吴清将于周一在北京金融街论坛上发表主题演讲。其他顶级金融监管机构负责人,包括央行行长潘功胜,也将在为期四天的会议上发表讲话。

Wu Qing, chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), is due to deliver a keynote speech at the Financial Street Forum in Beijing on Monday. Other top financial regulators including central bank governor Pan Gongsheng will also address the four-day conference.

在CSRC最近的谈多股票行动未能重振信心之后,投资者将密切审视吴清的讲话。市场普遍猜测,若情绪进一步恶化,监管部门将推出更多措施来支撑股票。CSRC上周末与市场参与者举行了座谈会,吴清在会上暗示将推出稳市措施,并强调中国经济的韧性。

Investors will closely scrutinise Wu’s speech after the CSRC’s recent efforts to talk up stocks fell short of reviving confidence. Speculation is rife that regulators will come up with more measures to prop up stocks if sentiment worsens. The CSRC convened a symposium with market participants over the weekend, with Wu signalling market-stabilising measures and touting the resilience of China’s economy.

根据包括慧辰资产管理在内的投资者透露,目前正在考虑的可能措施包括直接国有买入、鼓励上市公司进行更多回购、引导长期资本入市以及放慢首次公开发行(IPO)的审批速度。

Possible measures on the table included direct state buying, encouragement of more buy-backs by listed companies, guidance for entry of long-term capital and slower approvals of initial public offerings (IPOs), according to investors including Huichen Asset Management.

“若股市进一步下跌,CSRC极有可能采取更多行动来为股市设底,”上海基金管理公司基金经理戴明表示。“最直接的干预方式是国有买入,放慢IPO节奏也是可能的。”受全球科技股情绪恶化和国内需求疲弱的影响,A股市场承受压力。本周,沪深300指数接近14个月来的最低水平,而以芯片为主题的科创板50指数跌至自4月以来的最低点。

“The CSRC will very probably do more to put a floor under the stock market, should stocks fall further,” said Dai Ming, a fund manager at the Shanghai-based asset-management firm. “The most direct way to intervene is state buying, and slowing the pace of IPOs is possible as well.”Mainland equities have taken a pounding amid deteriorating sentiment on global technology stocks and China’s weak domestic demand. This week, the CSI 300 Index traded close to its lowest level in 14 months, and a gauge of the 50 biggest stocks on the chip-centric Star Market fell to a nadir not seen since April.

最近的一次国家干预要追溯到今年7月,当时中国的两家国有买家买入了至少600亿元(合90亿美元)的股票,以遏制由全球人工智能投资暴跌引发的股市下跌。随着人工智能基础设施建设需求强劲的更多证据出现,股市随后趋于稳定。

The latest state intervention dates back to July, when China’s two state buyers bought at least 60 billion yuan (US$9 billion) of stocks to arrest a decline triggered by a rout on artificial intelligence bets globally. Stocks stabilised afterwards alongside more evidence of strong demand for AI buildout.

汇丰晋信基金管理公司的基金经理李学伟(音)表示,最近的抛售更多与仓位配置和全球长期债券收益率的回升有关,而不是与国内经济基本面有关。

The recent sell-offs were more related to positioning and an uptick in global longer-dated bonds than to the domestic economic fundamentals, according to Li Xuewei, a fund manager at HSBC Jintrust Fund Management.

他指出,公用事业、银行和其他高股息股票的上涨证明,此轮下跌并非由系统性风险引起。

He pointed to the gains in utilities, banks and other dividend stocks as evidence that the decline was not caused by a systemic risk.

李学伟表示:“中国科技股的回调更多是因为市场情绪和仓位配置的变化。在情绪平复、仓位完成再平衡之后,我们可能会迎来一个修复窗口。”

“The pullback in Chinese technology stocks is more about changes of sentiment and positioning,” Li said. “We may see a repair window after sentiment calms and the positioning reaches a rebalance.”

2026年9月28日,人们站在上海外滩一块显示股市数据的屏幕前。图片来源:EPAPeople stand in front of a screen displaying stock data on the Bund in Shanghai on September 28, 2026. Photo: EPA

作为中国资产管理规模至少达到100亿元的头部对冲基金公司之一,希瓦资产管理公司猛烈抨击国内保险公司引发了市场波动。创始人梁宏在最近致客户的一信中指责大型保险公司在7月追逐人工智能投资后,为了将损失降到最低,在上个月大规模减持了科技股。

Shiva Capital Group, one of China’s biggest hedge fund firms with at least 10 billion yuan of assets under management, lambasted domestic insurers for causing the market swings. In a recent letter to clients, founder Liang Hong accused big insurance firms of massively cutting holdings of technology stocks last month to minimise losses after chasing the AI bets in July.

与此同时,去杠杆进程仍在继续,对股市形成了进一步抑制。根据中国证券金融股份有限公司的数据,周一内地交易所通过借款买入股票的融资余额在过去两个月内下降了5%,降至2.52万亿元。

Meanwhile, deleveraging was still under way, putting further restraint on stocks. The outstanding balance of stocks bought with borrowed money on the mainland’s exchanges dropped 5 per cent over the past two months to 2.52 trillion yuan on Monday, according to the data from China Securities Finance.

财通证券认为,中国证监会持续推进市场稳定机制最终将克服这些挑战。该机构表示,自国务院于2024年发布勾勒资本市场长期蓝图的纲领性文件以来,上市公司回购和分红的总额已超过7万亿元。

The CSRC’s persistent push for market-stabilising mechanisms would eventually override these challenges, according to Chasing Securities. The combined value of buy-backs and dividend payouts by listed companies exceeded 7 trillion yuan since the State Council issued a high-stakes document outlining a long-term blueprint for the capital market in 2024, it said.

“市场在短期内会受到情绪甚至投机的影响,”该券商分析员袁闯说。“但从长期来看,它将反映公司的内在价值。在波动加大的背景下,投资者应坚持价值投资。”

“The market is subject to the fallout of sentiment and even speculation in the short term,” said Yuan Chuang, an analyst at the brokerage. “But in the long run, it will reflect companies’ intrinsic values. Investors should stick to value investing against the backdrop of bigger volatility.”