俄亥俄州沃伦市，10月14日——十年前，共和党人唐纳德·特朗普成功拉走了那些长期以来一直支持民主党的工人阶级选民和工会成员；如今，在11月3日的美国大选中，民主党和劳工领袖们看到了重新赢得这些选民支持的机会。
WARREN, Ohio, Oct 14 - A decade after Republican Donald Trump peeled away working-class and union voters who had long been a cornerstone of Democratic support in Ohio, Democrats and labor leaders see an opening to win back some of them in the November 3 US elections.
如今，特朗普已进入第二个任期的中期，但他对蓝领工人的吸引力似乎正在减弱——不断上涨的物价、伊朗战争以及人们对他的言论的担忧，促使部分选民重新考虑自己的投票选择。
Now midway through his second term, the president's magic appears to be losing at least some of its luster with blue-collar men and women as rising prices, the Iran war and concerns about his rhetoric prompt some voters to reconsider their support.
2016年，当特朗普获得工人阶级选民的强烈支持时，俄亥俄州作为“摇摆州”的地位开始发生变化；这些选民觉得自己的经济诉求得到了重视，从而使俄亥俄州变成了一个坚定的共和党支持者。从1964年到2020年，俄亥俄州在连续14次总统选举中都投票给了共和党候选人；直到2020年，民主党人乔·拜登在全国范围内获胜，但俄亥俄州仍选择了特朗普。
The state's reputation as a leading swing state began to fade in 2016 when Trump won strong support from working-class voters who felt their economic concerns were being heard, helping turn Ohio into a reliably Republican state. Almost overnight, Ohio became rock-solid Republican. Ohio voted for the eventual winner in 14 straight presidential elections from 1964 until 2020 when Democrat Joe Biden won nationally but Ohio backed Trump.
如果俄亥俄州选民的立场转向民主党，这可能会对选举结果产生重大影响——这不仅关系到共和党是否能在特朗普执政的最后两年继续控制国会，还可能赋予民主党人在推动其政策议程方面的更多话语权。
A shift in Ohio toward Democrats could matter in elections that will help determine whether Republicans retain control of Congress during Trump's final two years in office or hand new leverage to Democrats over his agenda.
在俄亥俄州，竞争异常激烈：共和党人正在争夺参议院席位和州长职位；其中两场众议院选举的胜负难以预料。其中一场选举在俄亥俄州西北部，目前由民主党人掌控；另一场则在东北部，目前由共和党人占据优势。
The stakes are high in Ohio, where Republicans are defending a US Senate seat and the governor's office. Two House races are rated "toss-ups." One, in northwestern Ohio, has long been held by a Democrat and the other, in northeastern Ohio, is Republican-held.
虽然特朗普本人并未参加这次选举，但他仍敦促支持者们像他仍在参选一样积极行动。不过，这种策略最终是会帮助还是阻碍共和党候选人的竞选，还有待观察。
Trump is not on the ballot this time but has told supporters to act as if he is. It remains to be seen whether that could end up helping or hindering Republicans running in tough races.
共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯特德正与民主党前参议员谢罗德·布朗展开激烈竞争；民主党人艾米·阿克顿则正在挑战共和党人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米，争夺州长职位。周一，特朗普在扬斯敦与赫斯特德和拉马斯瓦米一同开展竞选活动，试图激发共和党选民的热情。“天知道，我们当初绝对没有投票给他……”保罗·林戈德（Paul Ringold），48岁，担任钢铁运输司机，同时也是位于沃伦市的“和平神与基督教会”（Shalom Church of God and Christ）以黑人为主的会众的牧师，他的犹豫不决正是民主党希望借以在工薪阶层选民中取得突破的不确定因素。
Republican Senator Jon Husted is in a tight competition with Democratic former Senator Sherrod Brown, while Democrat Amy Acton is challenging Republican Vivek Ramaswamy for an open governor's seat. Trump campaigned with Husted and Ramaswamy in Youngstown on Monday to try to energize the Republican base. 'GOD KNOWS WE DIDN'T VOTE FOR THIS' Paul Ringold, a 48-year-old steel hauler and pastor of the mostly Black congregation at the Shalom Church of God and Christ in the city of Warren, embodies the uncertainty that Democrats hope could help them make inroads with working-class voters.
林戈德在2016年投票支持特朗普当总统，2020年投票支持民主党人乔·拜登，2024年又再次投票支持特朗普，但他表示对今年美国参议院、州长及其他公职的支持人选仍未决定。“我在荒野中寻找归宿，”他说。
Ringold voted for Trump for president in 2016, Democrat Joe Biden in 2020 and Trump again in 2024, but said he remains undecided about whom to support for the US Senate, governor and other offices this year. "I'm in the wilderness trying to find a place," he said.
林戈德称，燃油和食品价格上涨以及特朗普的好斗作风让他对这位曾经强烈支持的总统所做的一些决定产生了怀疑。“上帝知道我们并没有投票支持这个，”他在谈及通胀时说。
Ringold said rising fuel and food prices and Trump's combative style have left him questioning some of the choices made by a president he once strongly supported. "God knows we didn't vote for this," he said of inflation.
与路透社采访的其他选民一样，林戈德也提到了特朗普的言论。“我希望他能收敛一下那种言辞……那种老纽约式的、直白的‘我抓住你了，傻瓜’的形象，”他说。提前投票有利于民主党在上周开始的俄亥俄州提前投票中，民主党的积极性似乎高于共和党。
Like several voters interviewed by Reuters, Ringold also cited Trump's rhetoric. "I wish he would just tone down that rhetoric ... that old New York in-your-face 'I got you sucker'" persona, he said. EARLY TURNOUT FAVORS DEMOCRATS In early voting that began in Ohio last week, Democrats appeared to be more motivated than Republicans.
根据县数据，特伦布尔县（Trumbull County）——沃伦市及众多蓝领岗位的所在地——在前三天的投票中，民主党人有1,224人投票，共和党人559人，未登记党派的选民453人，投票率相对强劲。
In Trumbull County, home to the city of Warren and many blue-collar jobs, a strong turnout during the first three days brought 1,224 Democrats to the polls, 559 Republicans and 453 with no known political affiliation, according to county data.
俄亥俄州的右倾智库哈德逊研究所（Hudson Institute）高级研究员保罗·斯拉奇（Paul Sracic）表示，“如果工薪阶层选民真的在从特朗普那里转向，布朗（Brown）对他们来说是一个安全的落脚点”，因为这位前参议员拥有民粹主义的执政记录。
Paul Sracic, an Ohio-based senior fellow with the right-of-center Hudson Institute, said "working-class voters, if they are moving at all away from Trump, Brown is a safe landing spot for them" because of the former senator's populist record.
“特朗普在基本上把社会议题聚焦在我们的选民身上，做得相当好，”美国钢铁工人工会（United Steelworkers）官员何塞·阿罗约（Jose Arroyo）说，他负责该工会的合同谈判和劳资关系事务。
"Trump has done a good job of basically focusing on social issues with our guys," said Jose Arroyo, a United Steelworkers official who engages in contract negotiations and labor relations for the sprawling labor union.
特朗普“似乎在抓住工人阶层的不满情绪。养老金消失，工厂关闭，他们一直依赖的生计消失。”他表示，问题在于过度关注热点社会议题，忽视了能够“改善工人生活”的推进政策，而这些政策实际上可以成为法律。
Trump "seemed to latch on sort of to the dissatisfaction of where the working man has gone. Pensions go away. Plants close. Livelihoods they've always known disappear." The problem, he said, is that focusing primarily on hot-button social issues ignores advancing policies that would "improve the lives of working people" and actually turn them into law.
美国劳工统计局数据显示，1990年扬斯敦-沃伦地区的制造业岗位为5万，到了2026年降至约2万。
The 50,000 manufacturing jobs in 1990 in the Youngstown-Warren area fell to about 20,000 in 2026, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
近年来，长期是钢铁和汽车产业重镇的马霍宁谷吸引了一些新制造厂。阿罗约表示，伊朗战争推动了国内石油产业勘探，增加了对钢材制造设备的需求。但他也承认，战争导致了消费者物价上涨。NLRB“被拆解”2025年1月特朗普开始第二任期后，立即解雇了美国全国劳动关系委员会的两名民主党官员，使该机构缺乏法定人数，无法采取行动。这种瘫痪状态持续了近一年。
In recent years, the Mahoning Valley, long a powerhouse of the steel and automotive industries, has attracted a few new manufacturing plants. Arroyo said the Iran war has boosted domestic oil industry exploration, creating more demand for equipment made of steel. But he acknowledged that the war had also brought higher consumer prices. NLRB 'DISMANTLING' When Trump began his second term in January 2025, he promptly fired two Democratic officials at the National Labor Relations Board and left the agency without the quorum required to take actions. That paralysis lasted for nearly a year.
俄亥俄州美国劳工联合会-产业组织（AFL‑CIO）主席蒂姆·伯加称，特朗普对NLRB的“拆解”阻碍了工会组织工作，使争议不公平劳动行为和与企业争取工作合同变得更加困难。
Ohio AFL-CIO President Tim Burga cited what he called Trump's "dismantling" of the NLRB as having hindered union organizing efforts and made it harder to contest unfair labor practices and secure work contracts with companies.
伯加说：“在我有生之年，首次在拜登政府时期，我们走上了制定国家工业政策的道路，”但特朗普政府把其中大部分政策撤回。拜登政府和国会通过了刺激清洁能源和半导体等行业投资的项目。他还表示，特朗普与加拿大的贸易争端同样对劳动者没有帮助。
"We were on a path for the first time in my lifetime, under the Biden administration, for having a national industrial policy," Burga said, but the Trump administration rolled much of it back. Biden and Congress enacted programs to spur investment in such industries as clean energy and semiconductors. Trump's trade battles with Canada also were unhelpful to labor, he said.
俄亥俄州的选民意见依然分歧严重。75岁的比尔·卡拉汉（Bill Callahan）自称是来自科特兰（Cortland）的民主党人，他表示，一些曾经支持特朗普的亲戚现在又开始转向支持民主党，因为他们“不喜欢政客们从他们的口袋里拿钱”。卡拉汉曾在通用电气（General Electric）工作，现在在科特兰从事兼职仓库管理工作。他说，2016年他曾考虑投票给特朗普，但出于道德方面的考虑而放弃了这个想法。
OHIO VOTERS REMAIN DIVIDED Bill Callahan, 75, a self-described Democrat from Cortland, said some relatives who once backed Trump "are traveling back" toward Democrats because "they don't like (politicians) taking money out of their pockets." A part-time warehouse worker from Cortland after a career at General Electric, he said he considered voting for Trump in 2016 but was put off by ethical concerns.
路透社采访的其他人也表示，价格上涨并不足以改变他们的投票立场。
Others interviewed by Reuters said higher prices were not enough to change their vote.
乔·斯卡拉比诺（Joe Scarabino）与妻子凯瑟琳（Kathryn）在科特兰附近共同经营一家渔具店。他们表示，面对燃油成本的上涨，他们选择提高送货费用而非产品价格，但这导致顾客数量减少，也影响了小型企业的经营。乔·斯卡拉比诺说：“我们认为，我们的基督教价值观比燃油价格更重要。”这对夫妇拒绝透露他们支持哪一方候选人。
Joe Scarabino, who co-owns a bait-and-tackle business with his wife Kathryn near Cortland, said the couple responded to higher fuel costs by raising delivery charges rather than product prices, thus having an impact on fewer customers and small business owners. "We believe our Christian values are more than gas prices," he said. The couple declined to say who they support.
67岁的查克·伯恩斯（Chuck Burns）来自韦尔斯维尔（Wellsville），他曾在一座燃煤发电厂工作，现在已退休。他认为特朗普在打击非法移民方面取得了显著成效，并且他的退休投资也因此获得了增值。“特朗普做得很好……他很有魄力，”伯恩斯评价道。他还赞扬了特朗普在边境实施的移民限制政策，并表示自拜登执政以来，他的退休储蓄价值有所上升。
Retired coal-fired power plant worker Chuck Burns, 67, of Wellsville, credited Trump with reducing illegal immigration and boosting the value of his retirement investments. "He's done a good job ... he's got balls," Burns said. Burns praised Trump's immigration restrictions at the southern border and said his retirement savings have increased in value since Biden left office. Asked what issues worry him in this election season, Burns said, "It's just that Democrats – it's unbelievable some of the stuff that they want to do."
当被问及这次选举季让他担忧的问题时，伯恩斯说：“就是民主党人……他们的一些想法简直令人难以置信。”当被要求进一步解释时，他提到了跨性别者相关的问题，他说：“那些人有自己的想法，这没什么问题，那是他们自己的事情；民主党人没有权利把我们的孩子卷入这些事情中。”
Asked to explain, Burns raised transgender issues. "Those poor people, they feel that way, that's fine, that's their business," he said. "They (Democrats) don't need to incorporate our young kids into that stuff." REUTERS