Sabato’s Crystal Ball 这一选举预测机构将堪萨斯州参议院竞选的评级调整为“势均力敌”，原因是选民对共和党在经济问题上的表现日益不满。
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, an election handicapper, shifted the Kansas Senate race to a “toss-up” amid growing voter dissatisfaction with the GOP over the economy.
该机构在解释中表示，他们“犹豫”要不要做出这一调整，但“共和党正在为寻求连任的参议员罗杰·马歇尔（Roger Marshall，共和党-堪萨斯州）发起一场全力救援行动”，马歇尔正在竞选第二个任期，对手是民主党人亚当·汉密尔顿（Adam Hamilton）。
The group noted in its explanation they were “hesitant” to shift the race but “a full-on Republican rescue operation appears underway for” Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.), who is running for his second term against Democrat Adam Hamilton.
许多共和党策略师担心，堪萨斯州已开始背离共和党，因为与共和党参议院领导层结盟的超级政治行动委员会“参议院领导力基金”（SLF）本月早些时候已向马歇尔的连任竞选投入了 1400 万美元。
Many GOP strategists worry Kansas has shifted away from the party as the Senate Leadership Fund (SLF), a PAC aligned with Republican Senate leadership, has already dropped $14 million into Marshall’s reelection bid earlier this month.
虽然堪萨斯州自 1932 年以来未曾选出过民主党参议员，但由于围绕马歇尔的争议以及“向日葵州”选民对共和党领军人物——特朗普总统——的不满情绪日益高涨，汉密尔顿对马歇尔构成了独特挑战。
While Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, Hamilton poses a unique challenge against Marshall due to controversy surrounding the senator and the Sunflower State’s growing disapproval of the face of the GOP: President Trump.
根据 Civiqs 的总统支持率追踪器，自对伊朗战争爆发以来，特朗普的支持率持续下滑，这在一定程度上导致该州汽油和柴油价格上涨。
According to Civiqs’s presidential approval rating tracker, Trump’s approval rating has fallen steadily since the start of the war against Iran, which is partially responsible for rising gas and diesel prices in the state.
马歇尔的竞选活动近期因其处理纳税人资金的方式以及起诉数百名患者追讨医疗债务而受到批评，而汉密尔顿则因其在教会一起儿童性虐待丑闻中的处理方式而受到审视。
Marshall’s campaign was criticized recently over his handling of taxpayer funds and for suing hundreds of patients over medical debt, while Hamilton has received scrutiny over his handling of a child sexual abuse scandal at his church.
马歇尔的一名律师告诉 MS NOW 和《堪萨斯反射报》（Kansas Reflector），其官方办公室网站和竞选网站均符合竞选财务规则和参议院道德规则。马歇尔为起诉医疗患者的决定进行了辩护，称其行为得当。
An attorney for Marshall told MS NOW and the Kansas Reflector that the official office and campaign site both comply with campaign finance rules and Senate ethics rules. Marshall has defended his decision to sue medical patients, saying he acted appropriately.
汉密尔顿对《反射报》表示，对于最初的虐待举报（最终已上报给官方），他本会采取不同的处理方式，但他声明称，“在教会的调查过程中，不存在任何掩盖真相的企图”。
Hamilton told the Reflector he would have handled the initial reports of abuse, which were ultimately reported to officials, differently but stated that “there was no attempt at a cover-up” during the church’s investigation.
作为中期选举冲刺行动的一部分，特朗普将前往堪萨斯州，为他在 2016 年、2020 年和 2024 年均大获全胜的这个州的基本盘选民注入活力。
As part of his midterm blitz, Trump is heading to Kansas to energize his voter base in a state he won handedly in 2016, 2020 and 2024.
萨巴托水晶球网站将密苏里州、内布拉斯加州和新罕布什尔州的参议院选情调整为更有利于民主党，因为共和党正面临艰难的中期选举环境。
Other Senate races that Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted in Democrats favor were in Missouri, Nebraska and New Hampshire as the GOP weathers a rocky midterm environment.
然而，在明尼苏达州的空缺参议员席位争夺中，民主党处于守势，因为萨巴托水晶球网站将该选情调整为更有利于共和党。
Democrats are on the defensive, however, in Minnesota’s open Senate race as Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted the race in the GOP’s favor.
最新民调显示，民主党籍副州长佩吉·弗拉纳根仅以4个百分点的优势领先其共和党对手、前NFL边线记者米歇尔·塔福亚，这一差距处于民调的误差范围内。与此同时，在同一民调中，塔福亚在无党派选民中领先弗拉纳根。
New polling shows Democrat Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan led her GOP opponent, former NFL sideline reporter Michele Tafoya, by only 4-points, which was within the poll’s margin of error. Tafoya, meanwhile, led Flanagan among independents in the same poll.