半数或更多美国人认为每一项家庭开支都“负担不起”。距离关键的中期选举还有两周多一点，根据ABC新闻/华盛顿邮报/Ipsos通过Ipsos KnowledgePanel进行的民意调查，创纪录比例的美国人不赞成唐纳德·特朗普总统，大约7成人表示汽油负担不起，认为国家正朝着错误的方向发展。
Half or more Americans call every household purchase measured "unaffordable." Just over two-weeks out from consequential midterm elections, a record share of Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump, about 7 in 10 say gasoline is unaffordable and that the country is headed in the wrong direction, according to an ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll conducted using Ipsos’ KnowledgePanel.
中期选举 在国会选区选举中，以8个百分点的优势，可能的选民支持民主党候选人而非共和党候选人，支持率分别为52%对44%。这一优势在所有登记选民中仍保持8个百分点，支持率为50%对42%，相比7月华盛顿邮报-Ipsos民意调查有所改善，当时民主党仅以3个百分点领先共和党。
Midterms By an 8-percentage point margin, likely voters support the Democratic candidate in congressional district elections over the Republican candidate, 52% to 44%. That margin remains 8 points among registered voters overall, 50% to 42%, an improvement from a July Washington Post-Ipsos poll for Democrats, when just 3 points separated the Democrats from the Republicans.
尽管众议院的控制权最终将取决于全国各个国会选区中个别候选人的投票结果，但泛指众议院的问题仍是一个有用的晴雨表。例如，在上次中期选举之前，2022年秋季的ABC新闻/华盛顿邮报/Ipsos民意调查发现登记选民几乎持平，而共和党随后赢得了国会。在2018年秋季的民意调查中，民主党在登记选民中领先共和党11个百分点，随后在当年赢得了众议院。
Although control of the House will ultimately be determined in votes for individual candidates in individual congressional districts across the county, the generic House question is a useful barometer. For example, before the last midterms, a fall 2022 ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll found registered voters nearly split and Republicans went on to win Congress. In a fall 2018 poll, Democrats had an 11-point lead over Republicans among registered voters and Democrats went on to win the House that year.
压倒性比例的党派支持者支持各自党派的候选人——98%的民主党可能选民和96%的共和党可能选民各自支持其党派候选人。
Overwhelming shares of partisans support their party’s candidates – 98% of Democratic likely voters and 96% of Republican likely voters each support their party candidates.
民主党正在巩固其在独立可能选民中的领先优势，这些选民以21个百分点的优势支持民主党候选人，支持率分别为56%对35%。
Democrats are bolstering their lead among independent likely voters, who support Democratic candidates by a 21-point margin, 56% to 35%.
民主党还受益于其支持者热情更高的事实。更多民主党选民（72%）表示他们绝对肯定会去投票，而共和党选民为65%；更多民主党选民表示他们“极度”或“非常”密切关注中期选举，比例为44%，而共和党选民为31%。
Democrats are also benefiting from the fact that there’s more enthusiasm from their supporters. More Democratic voters (72%) than Republican voters (65%) say they are absolutely certain to vote and more Democratic voters are following the midterms “extremely” or “very” closely than Republican voters – 44% to 31%.
大约十分之九的可能选民中，有大约一半强烈反对特朗普的人计划在其国会选区投票支持民主党候选人。而赞成特朗普的可能选民中，超过十分之九计划投票支持共和党。但大约十分之一持有些反对特朗普态度的选民，以58%对34%的双位数优势支持共和党候选人而非民主党候选人。
About 9 in 10 of the roughly half of likely voters who strongly disapprove of Trump plan to vote for the Democratic candidate in their congressional district. And over 9 in 10 of the likely voters who approve of Trump plan to vote for Republicans. But the roughly 1 in 10 voters who somewhat disapprove of Trump support the Republican candidate over the Democratic one by a double-digit margin, 58% to 34%.
经济方面，最新民调显示，一半或更多美国人认为所有被测量的家庭购买类别“负担不起”，其中71%的人认为汽油负担不起，较2月份的28%有所上升——伊朗战争推高燃油成本之前，这一比例为28%。截至2026年迄今，全国平均汽油价格已连续158天超过每加仑4美元，创下历史新高。
The economy Half or more Americans call every household purchase category measured “unaffordable” in the latest poll, including 71% who now call gasoline unaffordable, up from 28% who said the same in February, before the war in Iran drove up fuel costs. The national average gas price has topped $4 a gallon for a record 158 days in 2026 so far.
越来越多的美国人也认为医疗保健负担不起（65%，较2月份的56%上升），以及家庭能源和公用事业费用（57%，较2月份的45%上升）和租金或房贷（50%，较2月份的37%上升）。
An increasing share of Americans also call healthcare unaffordable (65%, up from 56% in February) along with home energy and utility costs (57%, up from 45%) and rent or mortgage (50%, up from 37%).
还有60%的人认为日常杂货负担不起，这一比例较2月份的45%有所上升，但低于7月份的66%。
And 60% call groceries unaffordable, also up from February (45%) but less than July (66%).
越来越多的美国人也认为相对奢侈的消费项目负担不起。61%的美国多数人认为外出就餐负担不起，较2月份的49%有所上升。更高比例的69%的人认为一周的假期负担不起，较2月份的60%上升。还有80%的人认为新车负担不起，较2月份的74%上升。
Growing shares of Americans call relative luxuries unaffordable, too. A 61% majority of Americans call going out to dinner unaffordable, up from 49% in February. Even more, 69%, say a weeklong vacation is unaffordable, up from 60%. And 80% call a new car unaffordable, up from 74% in February.
总体而言，75%的美国人对国家经济持，其中35%称其为“糟糕”。大约一半，即48%，的人表示他们“不如特朗普就任总统时那样富裕”，这一比例超过了他两个总统任期内的水平。
In all, 75% of Americans rate the nation’s economy negatively, including 35% who call it poor. Roughly half, 48%, say they are “not as well off” as they were when Trump became president, a high over both of his presidential terms.
对经济持的可能选民，在无党派投票中支持民主党超过共和党72个百分点。认为自己“不如从前富裕”的可能选民，支持民主党超过共和党60个百分点。
Likely voters who rate the economy poorly support Democrats over Republicans in the generic ballot by 72 points. Likely voters who say they are not as well off support Democrats over Republicans by 60 points.
除了经济问题，美国人对国家发展方向也感到不满：72%的人认为国家正朝着错误的方向发展；只有26%的人认为国家正朝着正确的方向发展。
Beyond just the economy, Americans are unhappy with the direction the country is moving in: 72% say things in the country are headed in the wrong direction; just 26% say things are heading in the right direction.
特朗普的低支持率对其政党前景不利，因为中期选举往往是对总统的公投。ABC新闻/华盛顿邮报/益普索民调显示，特朗普的支持率已降至个人历史新低33%，甚至低于2021年1月6日美国国会大厦袭击事件后的38%。如今，66%的美国人不支持他，创下其两个任期的最高纪录。
President Trump Trump’s weak approval ratings do not bode well for his party given that midterms are often a referendum vote on the president. And Trump’s approval rating has reached a record personal low of 33% percent in the ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll, lower even than after the Jan. 6, 2021, attacks on the U.S. Capitol when 38% approved. Today, 66% of Americans disapprove, a record high over both terms.
根据民调，超过半数美国人，即52%，强烈反对特朗普，这一比例与他在1月6日袭击事件后的强烈反对率持平，也是他第二个任期的最高纪录。
Just over half of Americans, 52%, strongly disapprove of Trump, matching his strong disapproval rating after the Jan. 6 attack, and a record high for his second term, according to the poll.
在其两个任期内，只有22%的独立选民支持特朗普，创下历史新低；而76%的独立选民不支持他，创下历史新高，其中58%强烈不支持，同样是两个任期的最高纪录。
Over both of his terms, a record-low 22% of independents approve of Trump and a record-high 76% disapprove, including 58% who strongly disapprove – another record high over both of Trump’s terms.
在共和党人中，79%支持特朗普，相比7月《华盛顿邮报》/益普索民调仅略有下降，但相比他第二个任期初期的88%显著下降。此外，只有39%的共和党人强烈支持特朗普，创下历史新低，而2025年2月这一比例仍为63%。如今，21%的共和党人不支持他，较2025年2月的12%有所上升。这包括近半数非MAGA共和党人（47%），他们目前表示不支持特朗普。
Among Republicans, 79% approve, down just slightly from a July Post-Ipsos poll but down significantly from 88% near the beginning of his second term. And a record-low 39% strongly approve of Trump, down from 63% in February 2025. Today, 21% of Republicans disapprove, up from 12% in February 2025. That includes nearly half of non-MAGA Republicans (47%) who disapprove today.
MAGA共和党人中，55%强烈支持总统，但这一比例较2025年2月的65%有所下降。大约十分之六的共和党人自认为是MAGA运动的支持者，这一比例如今与2025年2月持平。
A majority of MAGA Republicans strongly approve of the president, 55%, but that’s down from 65% in February. About 6 in 10 Republicans consider themselves supporters of the MAGA movement, both now and in February.
在所有登记选民中，特朗普的总体支持率略高：37%支持，63%不支持。
Among registered voters overall, Trump’s overall approval rating is slightly better: 37% approve and 63% disapprove.
多数美国人也对特朗普处理每一项议题的方式表示不满意，且在许多议题上，他的支持率处于或接近历史低点。
Majorities of Americans also disapprove of how Trump is handling every issue measured, and for many issues, Trump is at or near record-low approvals.
他表现最差的议题是处理美国的生活成本——这或许是2026年中期选举的核心议题——其支持率与此前ABC/邮报/益普索4月民调时相近。如今，只有21%的人支持他在这方面的表现，而77%的人不支持。
His worst issue is handling the cost of living in the U.S. -- perhaps the defining issue for the 2026 midterms -- and his ratings are similarly low to what they were in the ABC/Post/Ipsos poll in April. Now, just 21% approve while 77% disapprove.
特朗普在处理通胀问题上的支持率同样偏低：23%的人表示赞同，75%的人表示不赞同，这一差距比4月份更糟，当时有27%的人赞同，72%的人不赞同。
Trump has similarly low ratings on handling inflation: 23% approve and 75% disapprove, a worse margin than in April when 27% approved and 72% disapproved.
在整体经济问题上，28%的人赞同特朗普的处理方式，70%的人不赞同，这是他两个任期内的最低支持率和最高不支持率。在7月《华盛顿邮报»-益普索民调中，33%的人赞同，65%的人不赞同。他对经济的处理在2020年1月达到最高支持率56%。
On the economy overall, 28% approve of how Trump is handling things and 70% disapprove, a record-low approval and a record-high disapproval over both of Trump’s terms. In a July Post-Ipsos poll, 33% approved and 65% disapproved. His approval rating on the economy peaked at 56% in January 2020.
在伊朗问题上，27%的人赞同特朗普的处理方式，70%的人不赞同，与7月《华盛顿邮报»-益普索民调的结果基本持平。65%的美国人认为美国对伊朗使用武力是一个错误。
On Iran, 27% approve of how Trump is handling the situation and 70% disapprove, virtually the same as in a July Post-Ipsos poll. A 65% majority of Americans say it was a mistake for the U.S. to use military force against Iran.
在与美国盟国关系方面，30%的人赞同特朗普的处理方式，68%的人不赞同。58%的美国人认为美国应该要么减少对以色列的军事支持（25%），要么完全终止这种支持（33%）。
On relations with U.S. allies, 30% approve of how Trump is handling things and 68% disapprove. A 58% majority of Americans say the U.S. should either reduce military support to Israel (25%) or end it completely (33%).
特朗普在移民问题上的表现相对较好：38%的人赞同，61%的人不赞同，相比他在7月的移民问题支持率略有下降。56%的美国人认为特朗普在驱逐无证移民方面“走得太远”，15%的人认为他“力度不够”，28%的人认为他的处理“恰到好处”。
Trump’s best issue is immigration, where 38% approve and 61% disapprove, slightly down from his July approval ratings on the issue. A 56% majority of Americans say Trump is “going too far” in deporting undocumented immigrants while 15% say he is “not going far enough” and 28% say he’s handling it about right.
在特朗普对军队的管理方面，35%的人赞同，63%的人不赞同。
On how Trump is managing the military, 35% approve and 63% disapprove.
大约三分之二的美国人认为，自上任以来，特朗普已经“超越了总统的职权”；大约三分之一的人认为他一直在职权范围内行事。
About two-thirds of Americans say since taking office, Trump has “gone beyond his authority as president;” about a third say he has acted within his authority.
多数美国人认为特朗普“不致力于”尊重国会的权威（68%）、保护新闻自由（67%）、尊重法院的权威（66%）、确保自由公平的选举（61%）或保护言论自由（61%）。认为特朗普不致力于保护新闻自由、自由公平选举和言论自由的美国人比例均较去年10月有所上升。
Majorities of Americans say Trump is “not committed” to respecting the authority of Congress (68%), protecting freedom of the press (67%), respecting the authority of the courts (66%), free and fair elections (61%) or protecting freedom of speech (61%). Shares of Americans saying that Trump is not committed to protecting freedom of the press, free and fair elections and freedom of speech are all up from last October.
66%的美国人表示特朗普正利用总统职位为自己谋利，这一比例创历史新高，较2月的62%和2025年9月的56%有所上升。民主党人（94%）和独立人士（73%）的大多数，以及略高于四分之一的共和党人（27%）表示特朗普正利用总统职位为自己谋利。
A record-high 66% of Americans say Trump is using the presidency to enrich himself, up from 62% in February and 56% in September 2025. Majorities of Democrats (94%) and independents (73%) along with just over a quarter of Republicans (27%) say Trump is using the presidency to enrich himself.
美国人的大多数也认为，特朗普推动将自己的名字刻在肯尼迪中心是“不恰当”的（80%，其中59%的人认为是“完全不恰当”），这一观点在各党派群体中均占多数。即便是57%的共和党人也认为这是不恰当的。
Wide majorities of Americans also say that it is “inappropriate” for Trump to push to have his name put on the Kennedy Center (80%, including 59% who say it is “totally inappropriate”), including majorities across partisan groups. Even 57% of Republicans say it is inappropriate.
而在联邦政府为推广特朗普及其政策的电视广告买单的问题上，74%的美国人认为这是不恰当的，其中55%的人认为是“完全不恰当”。特朗普曾表示他将从政治筹款账户中支付广告费用，但这些广告仍继续播放，并带有“由美国政府付费”的字样。一名联邦法官已下令政府资助的广告停止播放。
And when it comes to the federal government paying for TV ads promoting Trump and his policies, 74% say it is inappropriate, including 55% who say it is totally inappropriate. Trump has said he would pay for the ads from political fundraising coffers, but the ads continued to air with a line saying they were "paid for by the U.S. government." A federal judge has ordered the government-funded ads to stop running.
大约十分之六的美国人认为特朗普过度专注于华盛顿特区的建设项目（59%）；仅有11%的人认为他关注得太少，27%的人认为他关注程度“恰到好处”。
About 6 in 10 Americans say Trump is focused too much on building projects in D.C. (59%); just 11% said he’s focused too little and 27% say he’s focused “the right amount” on building projects.
大多数共和党及倾向共和党的独立人士表示，该党应继续跟随特朗普的领导（61%），而37%的人认为该党应转向不同方向。
Most Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say the party should follow Trump’s leadership going forward (61%), with 37% saying the party should go in a different direction.
在广泛差距下，美国人更倾向于让下届国会由民主党控制，以制衡特朗普（59%），而非由共和党控制以支持特朗普的议程（35%）。
By a wide margin, Americans prefer that the next Congress be controlled by Democrats, to act as a check on Trump (59%) than by Republicans, to support Trump’s agenda (35%).
在处理关键议题和党派好感度方面，美国人在本次民调测量的12个议题中，有10个议题上更信任民主党而非共和党。
Trust to handle key issues and party favorability Americans trust Democrats over Republicans to handle 10 out of 12 issues measured in this poll.
美国成年人对民主党在处理医疗保健问题上的信任度高于共和党，领先23个百分点；在处理教育、生活成本和通胀问题上的信任度也高于共和党，领先14个百分点 — — 这些领先幅度均高于近期水平。美国人对民主党在处理伊朗局势上的信任度高于共和党，领先11个百分点；在减少政府腐败和跨性别议题上的信任度高于共和党，领先9个百分点。
U.S. adults trust Democrats over Republicans by 23 points to handle healthcare and by 14 points to handle education, the cost of living and inflation – all by wider margins than they have recently. Americans trust Democrats over Republicans by 11 points to handle the situation with Iran, by 9 points to handle reducing corruption in the government and transgender issues.
美国人认为民主党在更好处理经济方面的信任度高于共和党，领先9个百分点 — — 这是自2022年以来他们在该问题上的最大领先优势；此前他们与共和党基本持平，或处于劣势。美国成年人认为民主党在处理税收问题以及以色列和加沙局势上的信任度高于共和党，领先7个百分点。公众在是否相信民主党或共和党能更好处理移民问题上大致持平。
Americans trust Democrats by 9 points to better handle the economy, the largest margin they’ve had on the issue since 2022 – previously they’ve been about tied with Republicans or were at a deficit to them. Adults trust Democrats over Republicans by 7 points to handle taxes along with the situation with Israel and Gaza. The public is roughly divided on whether they trust Democrats or Republicans to do a better job handling immigration.
美国人认为共和党比民主党更能处理仅有一个问题 — — 犯罪，他们更倾向于共和党，领先5个百分点。尽管如此，这仍是民主党近年来的最高水平，因为他们在此问题上早在四年前就一直落后于共和党，且差距达到双位数。
Americans trust Republicans more than Democrats to handle just one issue, crime, for which they prefer Republicans by a 5-point margin. Still, that’s a recent high mark for Democrats, who have trailed Republicans on the issue by double digits dating back four years.
美国人对民主党和共和党都持负面看法，但民主党党的不利程度仅为10个百分点（44% favorables，54%不利），而共和党的不利程度更高，达到28个百分点（35% favorables，63%不利）。
Americans feel negative toward both the Democratic and Republican parties, but while the Democratic Party is just 10 points underwater on favorability (44% favorable and 54% unfavorable), the Republican Party is worse at 28 points underwater (35% favorable and 63% unfavorable).
“双重厌恶者” — — 即对两党都持不利态度的人群，占选民的约20% — — 在无记名投票中更倾向于支持民主党候选人而非共和党候选人，领先26个百分点（58%对32%）。这一群体自2016年以来一直是选举中的关键摇摆群体。
Double haters, those who are unfavorable toward both parties, who make up about 2 in 10 voters, favor the Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate in the generic ballot by 26 percentage points, 58% to 32%. This has been a key swing group in previous elections dating back to 2016.
更多美国人认为特朗普和共和党“过于极端” — — 分别为66%和55% — — 而认为民主党“过于极端”的比例为36%。
More Americans call Trump and the Republican Party “too extreme” – 66% and 55%, respectively – than the Democratic Party (36%).
MAGA运动的不利程度达到41个百分点， favorables为28%，不利为69%。在共和党内部，70%持 favorables态度，28%持不利态度。
The MAGA movement is underwater by 41 percentage points, with 28% favorable and 69% unfavorable. Among Republicans, 70% are favorable and 28% are unfavorable.
民主社会主义在美国民众中的支持率落后22个百分点，37%的美国人持有利好态度，59%持不利好态度。在民主党人中，70%对民主社会主义持有利好态度，27%持不利好态度。
Democratic socialism is underwater by 22 points, 37% of Americans are favorable and 59% are unfavorable. Among Democrats, 70% have a favorable view of democratic socialism and 27% are unfavorable.
计划以不同方式投票的可能选民在投票偏好上存在差异。计划在选举日亲自到投票站投票的选民占选民总数的约4成，他们支持共和党多于民主党，领先11个百分点。
Likely voters who plan to vote in different ways have different vote preferences. Voters who plan to vote in person on Election Day make up about 4 in 10 voters and support Republicans over Democrats by 11 points.
但其他计划投票方式的选民则呈现民主党优势：计划或已经通过邮寄方式提前投票的选民占选民总数的略低于3成，他们支持民主党多于共和党，领先26个百分点。大约四分之一的可能选民计划在投票站提前投票或已经完成提前投票，他们支持民主党，领先14个百分点。此外，大约十分之一的选民计划或已经在选举日前递交选票，他们支持民主党多于共和党，领先幅度高达50个百分点。完整结果和详细方法论请参见PDF。
But the other ways voters plan to vote have a Democratic advantage: Those who plan to – or who have already voted early by mail – who make up just under 3 in 10 voters, support Democrats over Republicans by 26 points. About a quarter of likely voters plan to vote early at a polling place or already have, and they favor Democrats by 14 points. And about 1 in 10 voters plan to or have dropped off a ballot before Election Day and they support Democrats over Republicans by a wide 50-point margin. See PDF for full results and detailed methodology.
方法论：此次ABC新闻/华盛顿邮报/Ipsos民意调查于2026年10月9日至13日通过基于概率的Ipsos KnowledgePanel进行，受访者为2,545名美国成年人，其中包括2,032名已登记且可能投票的选民，总体误差范围为正负2个百分点，在已登记且可能投票的选民中为正负2.2个百分点。所有已登记选民均被分配了投票概率，以得出可能投票者的结果。其他大多数子群体的误差范围更大。
Methodology: This ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll was conducted via the probability-based Ipsos KnowledgePanel Oct. 9-13, 2026, among 2,545 U.S. adults including 2,032 registered and likely voters and has an error margin of +/- 2 percentage points overall and +/- 2.2 points among registered and likely voters. All registered voters were assigned a probability of voting to produce likely voter results. Error margins among most other subgroups are larger.
如需加入ABC新闻的民意调查发送名单，请发送邮件至ABCNEWS.Polls@abc.com。
Email ABCNEWS. Polls@abc.com to be added to ABC News’ polling distribution list.
更多ABC新闻民意调查可访问abcnews.com查询。媒体联系人：Jeannie Kedas和Van Scott。之前的发布：绝大多数美国人反对直播纳赛尔·哈桑的处决：ABC/Post/Ipsos民意调查
More ABC News polls can be found at abcnews.com. Media contacts: Jeannie Kedas and Van Scott. Previous releases: Wide majority of Americans oppose livestreaming Nidal Hasan’s execution: ABC/Post/Ipsos poll