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站在普京一边是巨大的错误Siding With Putin Is a Huge Mistake

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特朗普和普京走下台阶Trump and Putin descend the stairs

美国应该毫不犹豫地站在乌克兰一边,对抗俄罗斯。作者:大卫·J·克雷默、约翰·赫斯特、威廉·泰勒特朗普总统周五晚间宣布的一项不可解释的决定——放宽对俄罗斯的部分制裁——实际上是在为克里姆林宫的邪恶势力开绿灯。此举实际上使得以已故共和党参议员林赛·格雷厄姆命名的立法失效,该立法曾在众议院和参议院以两党压倒性多数通过,并由总统签署成为法律。

The United States should stand unequivocally with Ukraine against Russia. By David J. Kramer, John Herbst, William Taylor President Trump’s inexplicable decision to waive some sanctions on Russia, announced late Friday, essentially gives a pass to the forces of evil in the Kremlin. The move effectively nullifies legislation that was named after the late Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, passed by huge bipartisan majorities in both the House and Senate, and signed by the president.

这一决定是该政府长期系列举措中的最新一项,旨在通过错误的尝试来安抚或迎合俄罗斯,以促使其进入谈判。俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京将这些天真的让步收入囊中,但仍拒绝进行谈判。

This decision is the latest in a long series that this administration has taken to appease or accommodate the Russians in misguided attempts to get them to negotiate. Russian President Vladimir Putin pockets these naive offerings and still refuses to talk.

调查显示,大多数美国人站在乌克兰一边,支持其抵御俄罗斯的行动;他们认为普京是一个危险的威胁,不应被信任;并且希望看到美国向乌克兰提供更多援助。

Surveys show that most Americans stand with Ukraine as it defends itself against Russia, view Putin as a dangerous threat who shouldn’t be trusted, and want to see the United States offer more assistance to Ukraine.

近年来,鲜有战争如此次冲突般黑白分明:俄罗斯是入侵乌克兰、没有正当理由的罪魁祸首;而乌克兰则在捍卫其自由、主权和领土完整。

Few wars in recent history have been so black-and-white: Russia is the guilty party that invaded Ukraine for no good reason. Ukraine is, for its part, defending its freedom, sovereignty, and territorial integrity.

然而,大量错误信息和虚假信息正在流传,模糊了人们的认知。为了应对虚假叙事的问题,对比俄罗斯和普京与乌克兰及其总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基是很有用的。

And yet there is much misinformation and disinformation circulating that blurs the picture. To address the problem of phony narratives, it is useful to contrast Russia and Putin with Ukraine and its president, Volodymyr Zelensky.

普京于1999年8月掌权,当时他的前任鲍里斯·叶利钦任命他为总理和他首选的继任者;叶利钦当年年底辞职,并任命普京为代总统,距离下一次总统选举还有三个月。普京曾利用其担任总理期间,在1999年对车臣人使用残暴武力。泽连斯基于2019年成为乌克兰领导人,当时他在一次经国内和国际观察员认证的自由公正选举中以压倒性优势获胜。普京在其两个多十年的执政期间从未赢得过一次合法选举。

Putin came to power in August 1999, when his predecessor, Boris Yeltsin, designated him prime minister and his preferred successor; Yeltsin resigned from office at the end of that year and named Putin acting president, three months before the next presidential election. Putin had used his time as prime minister to deploy brutal force against the Chechens in 1999. Zelensky became the leader of Ukraine in 2019, when he won by a landslide in a free and fair election certified by domestic and international observers. Putin hasn’t won a legitimate election throughout his two-plus decades in power.

普京是一个残忍的独裁者,他杀害自己的公民以及邻国的公民。他把自己的军队当作炮灰。泽连斯基是一位民主选举产生的领导人,由于乌克兰无法在戒严法下可信地举行选举,其任期已被延长,戒严法是在俄罗斯于2022年全面入侵后宣布的。

Putin is a murderous dictator who kills his own citizens as well as those of his neighbors. He treats his troops as cannon fodder. Zelensky is a democratically elected leader whose term has been extended because Ukraine cannot credibly conduct elections under martial law, which was declared after Russia invaded on a full scale in 2022.

在普京统治下,俄罗斯军队故意袭击平民区域,包括医院、公寓楼和学校。他们还试图摧毁能源设施和供水系统,以冻结乌克兰人并迫使他们屈服。泽连斯基和乌克兰军队则专注于袭击为普京战争提供资金的俄罗斯能源设施,但总体上尽量减少平民伤亡。

Under Putin, Russian forces deliberately target civilian areas, including hospitals, apartment buildings, and schools. They also seek to destroy energy facilities and water supplies to freeze out Ukrainians and force them into submission. Zelensky and Ukrainian forces focus on Russian energy facilities that provide Putin with funding for his war campaign, but generally seek to minimize civilian casualties.

普京于2014年首次对乌克兰发动战争,当时他非法吞并克里米亚,随后进入乌克兰的顿巴斯地区。当年泽连斯基甚至还未从政,因此他不应对战争的爆发负责。

Putin first started the war against Ukraine in 2014, when he illegally annexed Crimea and then moved into Ukraine’s Donbas region. Zelensky wasn’t even in politics that year, so he can’t be blamed for starting the war.

普京拒绝结束战争,进行严肃谈判,甚至不考虑停火。泽连斯基和乌克兰表现出 tremendous 意愿进行谈判,冻结当前战况,并通过外交手段解决俄罗斯占领领土的地位问题,而不承认俄罗斯的控制权。

Putin refuses to end the war, enter serious negotiations, or even entertain a cease-fire. Zelensky and Ukraine have shown tremendous willingness to negotiate, freeze the fighting at its current stage, and sort out the status of Russian-occupied land through diplomacy, without conferring recognition of Russian control.

普京一直无视特朗普为结束战争所作的反复努力,包括最近的能源停火声明,继续袭击乌克兰能源目标。泽连斯基曾暂停对俄罗斯炼油厂的报复性打击三天,但在俄罗斯持续轰炸乌克兰后解除了这一暂停。

Putin has ignored Trump’s repeated efforts to end the war, including the recent energy-cease-fire announcement, by continuing to strike Ukrainian energy targets. Zelensky had suspended retaliatory strikes against Russian refineries for three days but lifted that pause after Russia kept bombing Ukraine.

普京曾试图通过2022年的全面入侵推翻泽连斯基政府,以夺取乌克兰大片领土并使该国沦为俄罗斯统治下的附庸。泽连斯基和乌克兰人民只是希望和平生活,并行使决定自身独立未来的权利。

Putin sought to topple the Zelensky government through his full-scale invasion, in 2022, to take over massive amounts of Ukrainian territory and to subjugate the country under Russian rule. Zelensky and the people of Ukraine simply have sought to live in peace and exercise their right to determine their independent future.

普京希望挑战和削弱民主国家及其将它们联系在一起的机构,如北约和欧盟。乌克兰希望加入这些机构,并在欧亚大西洋共同体中以正式成员身份占据其应有的位置。

Putin wishes to challenge and undermine democratic nations and the institutions that bring them together, such as NATO and the European Union. Ukraine seeks to join these institutions and assume its rightful place as a full member of the Euro-Atlantic community.

普京支持伊朗对抗美国,既提供旨在瞄准和杀死美国人的情报,也提供武器系统以助其实现这一目标。泽连斯基和乌克兰向美国及其中东盟友提供了反无人机能力,并分享了如何对抗伊朗“沙赫德”无人机的见解——这种无人机曾被用于袭击乌克兰。

Putin supports Iran against the United States, providing both intelligence aimed to target and kill Americans as well as weapons systems to help that cause. Zelensky and Ukraine offered the United States and its allies in the Middle East anti-drone capabilities and insights on how to fight the Iranian Shahed drones, which have been used against Ukraine.

普京依赖被贩运到俄罗斯战场一方的朝鲜人及其他人员。对他和朝鲜领导人金正恩而言,伤亡仅仅是一个统计数字。泽连斯基从未要求西方派遣军队前往乌克兰作战,但他确实寻求西方的援助,以抵御规模远大于乌克兰的俄罗斯军队。

Putin relies on North Koreans and others who have been trafficked into Russia’s side of the war. Casualties are merely a statistic for him and for North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong Un. Zelensky has never asked the West to send its troops to fight on Ukraine’s side, but he does seek Western assistance to defend against the much larger Russian military.

普京依赖中国对俄罗斯能源的采购以及双用途技术的提供来支撑其战争。乌克兰则寻求西方的支持。

Putin depends on China’s purchases of Russian energy and provision of dual-use technology to back his war. Ukraine looks to the West for its support.

普京和俄罗斯是CRINK的关键组成部分——这一由中国、俄罗斯、伊朗和朝鲜的威权政权组成的集团试图削弱和威胁西方。乌克兰则是抵御这一危险联盟主要部分的堡垒。

Putin and Russia are key parts of CRINK, the grouping of the authoritarian regimes in China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea that seek to weaken and threaten the West. Ukraine is the bulwark against a major part of this dangerous alignment.

普京和俄罗斯军队对欧洲和美国发动了挑衅,几乎在挑衅与西方开战。这些挑衅包括严重侵犯北约领空;对欧洲机场和航班的无人机攻击和干扰;在西方领土上的暗杀和未遂杀人事件;网络攻击;以及选举干扰。乌克兰位于俄罗斯和欧洲之间,正为自己的自由以及欧洲的安全与稳定而战。

Putin and Russian forces have launched provocations against Europe and the United States, almost daring war with the West. These have included major violations of NATO airspace; drone attacks and interference with European airports and flights; assassinations and attempted killings on Western soil; cyberattacks; and election interference. Ukraine stands between Russia and Europe, fighting for its freedom as well as the safety and security of the continent.

普京主持着世界上最腐败的政权之一。他已经摧毁了法治和契约神圣性,使俄罗斯成为一个极不适宜开展商业活动的地方,包括能源领域。虽然乌克兰也面临自身的腐败问题,但它积极寻求应对这一问题,同时鼓励并急需西方投资。根据透明国际的腐败指数,俄罗斯在182个国家中排名第157位,而乌克兰排名第104位。普京已经摧毁了俄罗斯的公民社会;乌克兰的公民社会充满活力,并定期揭露腐败。

Putin oversees one of the most corrupt regimes in the world. He has obliterated rule of law and sanctity of contracts, making Russia a highly inhospitable place to do business, including in the energy sector. Ukraine, while experiencing its own problem of corruption, actively seeks to confront that problem while encouraging and desperately needing Western investment. Russia ranks 157th out of 182 nations in Transparency International’s corruption index, while Ukraine ranks 104th. Putin has destroyed Russian civil society; Ukrainian civil society is vibrant and calls out corruption on a regular basis.

这一切对美国和欧洲意味着什么?首先,他们应该毫不犹豫地站在乌克兰一边,对抗俄罗斯。如果西方得出结论认为,在这样一场黑白分明的战争中,我们的政策和立场最多只是摇摆不定,那么历史将对西方作出不利的评价。

What does all of this mean for the United States and Europe? For starters, they should stand unequivocally with Ukraine against Russia. History will reflect poorly on the West if it concludes that our policy and position were wishy-washy at best in a war so clearly black-and-white.

他们应该向乌克兰提供其所需的军事援助,以帮助其自卫、挽救俄罗斯轰炸造成的生命损失、收复俄罗斯非法占领的领土并赢得战争。这场战争对俄罗斯来说是一场彻底的灾难;超过150万人死亡或受伤,冲突造成了严重的经济压力。在某个时候,俄罗斯可能会达到临界点;西方应该帮助加速这一进程,因为这可能是让普京结束他发动的战争的唯一途径。

They should provide the military assistance that Ukraine needs to defend itself, save lives from Russian bombardment, regain territory that Russia illegally occupies, and win the war. The war has been an unmitigated disaster for Russia; more than 1.5 million have been killed or wounded, and the conflict has caused severe economic strain. At some point, Russia might reach a breaking point; the West should help accelerate that process, because that may be the only way to get Putin to end the war he started.

欧洲应在财政上支持乌克兰,以帮助抵消乌克兰因被迫增加军费开支和重建而产生的成本。为此,欧洲应最终从冻结转向没收西方金融机构中约3000亿美元的俄罗斯资产,这些资产主要位于比利时的Euroclear。这些资金在俄罗斯对乌克兰所为之后永远不应被其收回,将为乌克兰提供重要的财政援助,并缓解西方可能承担的负担。

Europe should support Ukraine financially to help offset the costs of Ukraine’s forced increased military spending and reconstruction. To do this, Europe should finally move from freezing to seizing the roughly $300 billion in Russian assets that are in Western financial institutions, mostly in Belgium’s Euroclear. These funds, which Russia should never recover after what it has done to Ukraine, would provide a major financial assist to Ukraine and allay the potential burden on the West.

应对普京和俄罗斯——即战争的发动者——施加并加大结束战争的压力,而不是对乌克兰施压。这意味着严格落实制裁,包括加强对俄罗斯影子舰队的制裁执行,该舰队通过能源出口获取收入,且不应与俄罗斯开展任何削弱制裁压力、为其战争努力提供融资的商业交易。这还意味着关闭允许西方制造的对俄罗斯武器至关重要的零部件漏洞制裁的漏洞。

Pressure to end the war should be applied and increased on Putin and Russia, the ones who started it—not Ukraine. This means a serious tightening of sanctions implementation, including stronger enforcement against Russia’s shadow fleet that generates energy-export income, and no business deals with Russia that ease the sanctions pressure and provide financing for its war effort. It means ending loopholes that allow Western-made parts essential for Russian weapons to slip through the sanctions.

美国还应提高对进口俄罗斯能源的国家——尤其是中国和印度——的成本。西方也不应与普京和俄罗斯签署能源或任何其他协议,正如特朗普政府于10月9日就柴油所宣布的那样。这些举动在莫斯科被解读为软弱的表现,并强化普京认为自己正在获胜且能够熬过西方对乌克兰支持的想法。

The United States should also raise the costs on countries—especially China and India—that import Russian energy. And the West should not sign energy or any other deals with Putin and Russia, as the Trump administration announced on October 9 regarding diesel. Such efforts are read in Moscow as weakness and reinforce Putin’s thinking that he is winning and can outlast the West’s support for Ukraine.

西方应停止邀请普京参加各种会议,例如今年由美国主办的二十国集团峰会。他因对乌克兰发动战争罪而被国际刑事法院起诉(具体是绑架乌克兰儿童,尽管他罪行远不止此)。他是自二战以来欧洲大陆面临的最严重安全危机的责任方。他应被孤立,并被视为他本人所是的弃徒和威胁,而不应受到红毯般的待遇。

The West should stop inviting Putin to various meetings, such as the G20 gathering hosted this year by the United States. He has been indicted by the International Criminal Court for war crimes against Ukraine (specifically the abduction of Ukrainian children, though he is guilty of much more). He is responsible for the worst security crisis on the European continent since World War II. He needs to be isolated and treated as the pariah and threat that he is, not welcomed with red-carpet treatment.

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