美国中期选举将于11月3日星期二举行，结果预计将于11月4日中午公布。选民将选出众议院全部435名议员、100名参议员中的35名以及36名州长。许多州已经开始提前投票，德克萨斯州和佛罗里达州棕榈滩县的选票已于周一开启。
The US midterm elections take place on Tuesday, November 3, and results are expected from midday on November 4. Voters will pick all 435 members of the House of Representatives, 35 of the 100 senators and 36 state governors. Early voting has started in many states, and ballots were opened on Monday in Texas and Florida’s Palm Beach County.
多位印度裔美国候选人正在参选，分别来自德克萨斯州、佛罗里达州、亚利桑那州、俄亥俄州、纽约州和洛杉矶。有些人正在竞选众议院或州议会席位，其他人则竞选州长、司法部长和市长。此次选举是美国总统唐纳德·特朗普任期内在2028年大选开始前的最后一次重要考验。
Several Indian-American candidates are in the race, in Texas, Florida, Arizona, Ohio, New York and Los Angeles. Some are running for the House or the state Legislature, and others for governor, attorney general and mayor. The vote is the last big test of US President Donald Trump’s term before the 2028 race begins.
中期选举的时间及其意义 中期选举在美国总统四年任期的中途举行。选民选出地方代表、众议院多数议员和州长，选举结果决定哪个党派主导国会。
When the midterms take place and what is at stake The midterms are held halfway through a president’s four-year term. Voters choose their local representatives, many senators and governors, and the result decides which party leads Congress.
目前共和党控制国会两院。众议院共和党以一席之优势领先（219席对214席，另有两席空缺），共和党在100名参议员中占53席。民主党需要赢得51席才能夺回参议院控制权。
Republicans now control both chambers. The House has a one-seat Republican majority (219 seats to 214, with two vacant seats), and Republicans hold 53 of the 100 Senate seats. Democrats need 51 seats to take the Senate.
《纽约时报》的民调平均值显示，特朗普的支持率约为37%。该报补充说，库克政治报告和其他机构预计民主党将夺回众议院，而参议院形势更为胶着。在过去80年里，总统所属党派在20次中期选举中有18次失利。
The New York Times average of polls puts Trump’s approval rating at about 37 per cent. It added that the Cook Political Report and other groups expect Democrats to win back the House, while the Senate is closer. In the last 80 years, the president’s party has lost seats in 18 of 20 midterms.
播客制作人蒂姆·沃特金表示，结果“将改变美国的权力平衡”。他还说，如果共和党惨败，民主党将能够在本届任期内前所未有地质询特朗普。
Podcast producer Tim Watkin said the result “will change the balance of power in America”. If Republicans lose badly, he said, Democrats will be able to question Trump as never before in this term.
德克萨斯州和佛罗里达州的印度裔美国候选人 德克萨斯州第47选区：民主党候选人普佳·塞西正在参选。据《每日邮报》报道，若她获胜，将成为德克萨斯州议会首位印度裔美国人和印度教徒。
Indian-American candidates in Texas and Florida Texas, House district 47: Democrat Pooja Sethi is in the race. A win would make her the first Hindu and the first Indian-American in the Texas Legislature, Mid-day said.
德克萨斯州，第66选区：民主党人桑迪普·斯里瓦斯塔瓦面对共和党人马特·沙欣，后者担任众议院选举委员会主席，并在2024年获得61.1%的选票。斯里瓦斯塔瓦的任务更艰巨。他在2024年的国会选举中败给共和党人基思·塞尔夫，得票率为37.5%，而塞尔夫获得62.5%。
Texas, House district 66: Democrat Sandeep Srivastava faces Republican Matt Shaheen, who chairs the House Elections Committee and won 61.1 per cent of the vote in 2024. Srivastava has a harder task. He lost a 2024 congressional race to Republican Keith Self, 62.5 per cent to 37.5 per cent.
佛罗里达州，第22选区：民主党人皮娅·丹迪亚正面对共和党人凯西·阿斯卡，两人竞争激烈，形势胶着。库克政治报告和萨巴托的水晶球将其评为摇摆选区，而《内部选举》则认为该选区倾向共和党。预测也存在分歧。PollingForecast给丹迪亚56%的胜算，而Call the Map给阿斯卡54%的胜算。棕榈滩县的提前投票将持续至11月1日，设有28个投票点。
Florida, 22nd district: Democrat Pia Dandiya is up against Republican Casey Askar, and the race is close to a dead heat. Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it a toss-up, while Inside Elections says it tilts Republican. Forecasts split, too. PollingForecast gives Dandiya a 56 per cent chance, and Call the Map gives Askar a 54 per cent chance. Early voting in Palm Beach County runs until November 1 at 28 sites.
亚利桑那州，俄亥俄州，纽约州和洛杉矶 亚利桑那州，第1选区：民主党人阿米什·沙赫面对共和党人杰伊·费利。10月15日，《内部选举》将该选区从摇摆调整为倾向民主党。库克将其评为倾向民主党，而萨巴托则称其为摇摆选区。
Arizona, Ohio, New York and Los Angeles Arizona, 1st District: Democrat Amish Shah faces Republican Jay Feely. On October 15, Inside Elections moved the race from toss-up to tilt Democrat. Cook rates it lean Democrat, and Sabato calls it a toss-up.
俄亥俄州，州长：共和党人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米正在与民主党人艾米·阿克顿竞争，提前投票已经开始。阿克顿拒绝与他辩论，并告诉《维迪克特报》她“不会站在舞台上”与他同台。拉马斯瓦米告诉该报他“感到震惊”。
Ohio, governor: Republican Vivek Ramaswamy is running against Democrat Amy Acton, and early voting is underway. Acton has refused to debate him and told The Vindicator she would “never stand on a stage” with him. Ramaswamy told the paper he “was shocked”.
纽约州，司法部长：共和党人萨里塔·科马蒂雷迪正在挑战司法部长莱蒂西亚·詹姆斯。她自己的竞选团队委托的一项民意调查，由《》报道，显示詹姆斯以50.7%对44.7%领先。最后一次独立民意调查由锡耶纳大学在9月进行，结果显示詹姆斯以52%对39%领先。提前投票将于10月24日开始。
New York, attorney general: Republican Saritha Komatireddy is challenging Attorney General Letitia James. A poll ordered by her own campaign, reported by the put James ahead 50.7 to 44.7. The last independent poll, by Siena in September, had James ahead 52 to 39. Early voting begins on October 24.
洛杉矶，市长：尼蒂娅·拉曼正在挑战市长卡伦·巴斯。洛杉矶县的投票中心将于10月24日开放。竞选中的外部资金在两场最接近的众议院竞选中，外部团体的支出很高：佛罗里达州，丹迪亚：不回头政治行动委员会（No Going Back PAC）已花费约380万美元反对她。支持她的团体，包括进步投票项目、LCV胜利基金和众议院多数党政治行动委员会，已花费超过56万美元。
Los Angeles, mayor: Nithya Raman is challenging Mayor Karen Bass. Vote centres in Los Angeles County open on October 24. Outside money in the races Spending from outside groups is high in the two House races that are closest: Florida, Dandiya: The No Going Back PAC has spent about $3.8 million against her. Groups that back her, including Progressive Turnout Project, LCV Victory Fund and House Majority PAC, have spent more than $560,000.
亚利桑那州，沙阿：针对他的支出约为760万美元，其中安全与可负担性政治行动委员会（Safety & Affordability PAC）贡献了376万美元。
Arizona, Shah: About $7.6 million has been spent against him, led by $3.76 million from Safety & Affordability PAC.
捐助者：针对沙阿和丹迪亚的超级政治行动委员会未公布其捐助者。两者均于9月转为月度申报，其首份报告（覆盖截至9月30日的捐助者）将于10月20日提交。
Donors: The super PACs that target Shah and Dandiya have not named their donors. Both moved to monthly filing in September, and their first reports, covering donors up to September 30, are due on October 20.