
随着法国和意大利燃烧的汽车和历史建筑的图像在欧洲各地传播,匈牙利和波兰的领导人正抓住时机,不是为了平息动荡,而是为了重新定义移民辩论。
As images of burning cars and historic buildings in France and Italy ricochet across Europe, leaders in Hungary and Poland are seizing the moment, not to address the unrest, but to redefine the migration debate.
匈牙利和波兰都已在允许移民进入其国家的问题上划下红线。匈牙利在前总理维克托·欧尔班时期甚至因此被欧盟法院罚款和制裁,原因是拒绝向无限制移民敞开大门——波兰在2025年也曾面临同样的处境。
Both Hungary and Poland have laid down markers on allowing migrants into their nations. Even to the point, in Hungary’s case under former Prime Minister Viktor Orban, of being fined and sanctioned by European Union courts for refusing to open its gates to unchecked immigration — as was Poland in 2025.
欧盟统计局(Eurostat)最新可用数据显示,2025年法国有近1000万外籍出生居民,意大利约有700万。波兰约有100万外籍出生居民,而匈牙利则少于70万,其中大多数出生在其他欧盟国家;在波兰的情况下,约有一半来自乌克兰。特朗普和沃尔兹将法国骚乱与大规模移民联系起来,数千人被捕针对暴力事件,匈牙利总理彼得·马贾尔在X上发帖称:“欧洲可以依靠匈牙利。”
Eurostat’s latest available figures show that in 2025 France had almost 10 million and Italy about 7 million foreign-born residents. Poland had roughly 1 million foreign-born residents, while Hungary had less than 700,000, with most born in other EU countries and in Poland’s case about half came from Ukraine. Reacting to the violence, Hungary’s Prime Minister Péter Magyar posted on X that, "Europe can count on Hungary.
他表示:“面对这场毫无意义的破坏和无端的暴力,也许现在每个人都明白,为什么匈牙利主张采取最严格的移民方式,以及为什么我们不会在任何压力下削弱边境保护或移民政策。”
He stated that, "In the face of this senseless destruction and unjustified violence, perhaps it is now clear to everyone why Hungary advocates the strictest possible approach to migration, and why we will not weaken our border protection or immigration policy under any pressure."

波兰总理唐纳德·图斯克也表达了同样的观点,他在周日晚上写道:“波兰不会重蹈其他欧洲国家的覆辙,也不会为它们买单。”“我们正在坚决守护边境,防止非法移民,我们有自己的庇护政策(不接受申请),我们驱逐违反波兰法律的人。在安全问题上,我们将毫不留情。”
It is a sentiment echoed by Magyar’s Polish counterpart, Donald Tusk posted: "Poland will not repeat the mistakes of other European countries, nor will it pay for them," he wrote on Sunday night. "We are firmly defending the border against illegal migration, we have our own asylum policy (we do not accept applications), we deport those who break Polish law. On security issues, we will be relentless."
瑞士政治学家丹尼尔·沙茨告诉福克斯新闻数字版:“法国和其他国家焚烧的建筑物和被洗劫的商店正在成为欧洲各地的政治弹药。”“主张更严格移民政策的领导人对本国选民传递了一个直白的信息:‘这就是我们要防止的。’混乱的图片可能比一百场政策演讲更有政治分量。”
Sweden-based political scientist Daniel Schatz told Fox News Digital, "Burning buildings and looted shops in France and other countries are becoming political ammunition across Europe,". "Leaders pushing tougher immigration policies have a blunt message for voters at home: ‘This is what we intend to prevent.’Images of chaos can carry more political weight than a hundred policy speeches."

根据欧洲统计局(欧盟官方统计机构)最新可用的犯罪统计数据,2024年法国报告了304,900起警方登记的犯罪案件,是欧盟总数最高的国家之一。意大利报告了142,600起,而波兰的57,300起和匈牙利的28,600起则是欧洲最低的总数之一。与此同时,欧洲统计局2023年的“感知指标”——即报告其所在地区存在犯罪或破坏行为的人口比例——显示,法国再次位居最高,约为20%;意大利报告为14%至17%;波兰为7%至8%;匈牙利为6%至7%。
According to the latest available crime statistics from Eurostat, the European Union’s official statistical office, in 2024 France reported 304,900 police-recorded offenses, among the highest totals in the EU. Italy reported 142,600, while Poland with 57,300 and Hungary’s 28,600 were among the lowest totals in Europe. This as Eurostat’s 2023 "perception metric," or what percentage of people report crime or vandalism in their areas, showed France was again among the highest with about 20%, Italy reported 14-17%, Poland 7-8%, and Hungary at 6-7%.
法国学校骚乱加剧,专家指出左翼联盟正在助长“更广泛的对抗”“在中东欧国家,法国的骚乱与移民有关,也与移民未能适应和融入有关,”斯洛文尼亚卢布尔雅那大学社会科学学院国际关系系主任博什特扬·乌多维奇对福克斯新闻数字版表示。
"In Central and Eastern European countries, the riots in France are linked to immigration and to the issue of non-adaptation and non-integration of immigrants," Boštjan Udovič, Chair of International Relations at the University of Ljubljana’s Faculty of Social Sciences in Slovenia told Fox News Digital.

“马扎尔和图斯克正在向布鲁塞尔传递一个直白的信息,”沙茨补充道,“亲欧洲并不意味着要接受自由的移民政策……马扎尔明确将法国的骚乱呈现为他移民政策的 vindication(验证)。图斯克警告不要重复其他国家的错误,这强化了类似的政治信息。”
"Magyar and Tusk are delivering a blunt message to Brussels," Schatz added, "being pro-European does not meang up for liberal immigration policies… Magyar explicitly presents the French disorder as vindication of his migration policy. Tusk’s warning against repeating other countries’ mistakes reinforces a similar political message."
马扎尔表示,上周的欧洲理事会峰会“明确表明,绝大多数欧洲国家已经觉醒,希望摆脱过去的宽松政策。我们希望还不算太晚。”
Magyar said last week’s European Council summit "made it clear that the overwhelming majority of European countries have woken up and want to break with the permissive policies of the past.

“我们所有人都热爱的欧洲今天正面临严重困难,”匈牙利领导人说。“保护我们的大陆,使其成为世界上对我们的子孙后代最美好的地方,也是我们的责任……我完全站在法国人民一边。”意大利学校禁令揭露欧洲的同化斗争,专家警告美国可能是下一个。沙茨说,马扎尔和图斯克“无需援引波兰国王扬·索别斯基率领联军在1683年解除奥斯曼帝国对维也纳的围困——这一胜利长期被视为对基督教欧洲的防御——来把自己塑造成欧洲的守护者。燃烧的建筑为这一信息提供了生动的当代背景。”
We hope it is not too late. "The Europe we all love is in serious trouble today," the Hungarian leader said. "It is our responsibility, too, to help preserve our continent as the most wonderful place in the world for our children and grandchildren… I express my full solidarity with the French people." Schatz said Magyar and Tusk "do not need to invoke Polish King Jan Sobieski’s leadership of the allied army that broke the Ottoman siege of Vienna in 1683 — a victory long celebrated as a defense of Christian Europe — to cast themselves as Europe’s protectors. Burning buildings provide a vivid contemporary backdrop for that message."

乌多维奇对马扎尔和图斯克的立场并不感到惊讶,他指出,中东欧国家“通常将其欧盟成员身份与其身份联系起来,而这种身份主要基于单一民族。”他说,这是他们的历史的一部分,“期望那些为基于民族运动的独立而战的国家采取……多元社会的概念是不现实的。”沙茨补充道:“这正是‘一切政治都是地方性的’在跨国界上演。街道是法国的或意大利的;被呼吁的选民是匈牙利的或波兰的。”
Udovič is not surprised by Magyar and Tusk’s positions, noting that Central and Eastern European countries "usually link their EU membership to their identity, based mostly on a single nation." This is part of their history, he says, and "it would be unrealistic to expect that countries that fought for their independence based on their national movement would adopt… a concept of a multiethnic society." Schatz added, "This is ‘all politics is local’ playing out across borders.
乌多维奇指出,图斯克正进入“一种类似于选举前的运动,其中移民也将成为一个议题。”梅洛尼谴责‘流氓帮派’在意大利各地抗议活动转为暴力之后。波兰议会选举定于2027年11月举行,前总理马特乌什·莫拉维茨基——图斯克的潜在对手——正在重申其继任者的言论。“法国正在燃烧,我们必须在造成伤害之前保持清醒,”莫拉维茨基周一早上在X上发帖。
The streets are French or Italian; the voters being addressed are Hungarian or Polish." Udovič noted that Tusk is entering "a sort of pre-election campaign where migration will also be an issue." Poland’s next parliamentary election is slated for Nov. 2027, and former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, a possible Tusk opponent, is echoing his successor’s remarks. "France is burning, and we must be wise before the harm is done," Morawiecki posted to X Monday morning.

他补充说,他的新中右翼政治联盟“发展加盟”(Rozwoj Plus)“拥有一揽子全面解决方案,将使波兰不仅繁荣,而且成为世界上最安全的国家!”与此同时,“严格的移民政策在匈牙利享有广泛支持,”前总理维克托·欧尔班政府官员、现任匈牙利大西洋理事会董事会成员Á·费利克斯·德布伦蒂(Á. Félix Debrenti)对福克斯新闻数字版(Fox News Digital)表示。
He added that his new center-right political coalition, Rozwoj Plus, "has a package of comprehensive solutions that will allow Poland to be not only prosperous, but also the safest country in the world!" Meanwhile, "Strict immigration policies enjoy broad support in Hungary," former government official under the previous Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and current board member of the Hungarian Atlantic Council Á. Félix Debrenti told Fox News Digital.
他说:“马扎尔明白,放弃欧尔班在移民和边境保护方面的强硬做法可能会让他失去大量政治支持,尤其是在他所在的政党已经面临日益增长压力之际。”
He said, "Magyar understands that abandoning Orbán’s tough approach to immigration and border protection could cost him significant political support, particularly at a time when his party is already facing growing pressures."

他说:“在移民问题上采取强硬立场,能让马扎尔将公众注意力从政府面临的国内挑战转移到一个存在广泛全国共识的问题上,”德布伦蒂继续说道。“所有这一切都发生在10月23日前几天……匈牙利人在那一天纪念1956年革命以及反抗苏联压迫的自由斗争。”
He said, "Taking a strong position on immigration allows Magyar to shift public attention away from the government’s domestic challenges and onto an issue where there is a broad national consensus," Debrenti continues. "All this comes just days before Oct. 23… when Hungarians commemorate the 1956 Revolution and the fight for freedom against Soviet oppression."
谈到抗议活动,马扎尔在帖子中写道:“毫无疑问:和平合法的抗议是一回事;破坏和暴力则是另一回事。前者是基本权利;后者是严重犯罪。”
Touching on the protests, Magyar posted: "Let there be no doubt: peaceful and lawful protest is one thing; vandalism and violence are quite another. The former is a fundamental right; the latter is a serious crime."