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困境中的洛杉矶:市长凯伦·巴斯对抗获民主社会主义者支持的拉曼,力争取连任In struggling LA, Mayor Karen Bass fights for 2nd term against democratic socialist-backed Raman

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洛杉矶市长凯伦·巴斯于2026年10月19日星期一在洛杉矶举行的一场竞选活动上对来宾微笑。(美联社照片/阿曼达·比列加斯)Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass smiles at guests during a campaign event on Monday, Oct. 19, 2026, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Amanda Villegas)

迈克尔·R·布鲁德 洛杉矶——对选民罗伊·朗斯来说,洛杉矶多年来光彩已失。尽管投入了数十亿美元,流浪者危机仍在持续。市政厅的预算不断膨胀,支持预算的税收也随之上升。

MICHAEL R. BLOOD LOS ANGELES — To voter Roy Lyons, Los Angeles has been losing luster for years. A homeless crisis endures despite billions of dollars of spending. City Hall’s budget keeps swelling — as do the taxes needed to support it.

这位来自谢尔曼奥克斯社区的退休保险经纪人在思考即将到来的市长选举时,倾向于不受欢迎的在任市长凯伦·巴斯,而不是她的进步派民主党同僚、鲜为人知的议员尼蒂亚·拉曼——后者得到美国民主社会主义者的支持。拉曼曾在支持巴斯后改变主意,亲自参选。两者都未能让他对未来充满信心。

As the retired insurance broker from the Sherman Oaks neighborhood ponders his pick in the upcoming mayoral election, he’s leaning toward the unpopular incumbent, Mayor Karen Bass, over her fellow progressive Democrat Nithya Raman, a little-known city council member who is backed by the Democratic Socialists of America . She endorsed Bass before changing her mind and entering the race. Neither choice gives him confidence about the future.

“这就是我们能做到的最好吗?”朗斯在最近的候选人论坛上提问,他是一名民主党人。“我觉得两位都不出彩。”如果巴斯在11月3日的选举中获胜,那将是因为她能够说服像朗斯这样的选民,在她的首个任期因致命的帕利塞德斯大火而陷入困境后,给她第二次机会。该大火发生时巴斯正身在国外,导致消防部门措手不及。

“Is this the best we can do?” asked Lyons, a Democrat, who attended a recent candidate forum. “I don’t think either one shines.”If Bass wins the Nov. 3 election, it will be because she was able to persuade voters like Lyons to give her a second chance after a rough first term that included the deadly Palisades Fire , which ignited when she was out of the country and caught the fire department unprepared.

根据选票追踪公司Political Data Inc.的数据,邮寄投票进行近三周后,仅有5%的选票被退回。

Nearly three weeks into mail voting, only 5% of ballots have been returned, according to ballot tracking firm Political Data Inc.

近日在晴朗的下午,金·汉森在斯图迪奥城社区投递选票时表示,他投给拉曼是他认为的“最不糟糕”的选择。

On a recent sunny afternoon as he dropped of his ballot in the Studio City neighborhood, Kim Hansen said his vote for Raman represented what he considered the “least worst” option.

“我两个都不喜欢,”汉森说,他是一名未登记党籍的钢琴手。“我仍然希望有真正优秀的人可以投票支持。”随着城市面临诸多城市病,这场竞选正如火如荼。七月发布的最新数据显示,洛杉矶的无家可归人数上升,这对巴斯不利。居民正面对租金和住房成本上升、公共事业费用增加以及道路和人行道破损等问题。

“I don’t like either of them,” said Hansen, a piano player who isn’t registered with a party. “I still wish there was somebody really good to vote for.”The campaign is unfolding as the city contends with myriad urban ailments. In the latest data released in July, homelessness increased in the city, dealing a setback to Bass. Residents are dealing with climbing rent and housing costs, rising utility bills and buckled streets and sidewalks.

好莱坞工作岗位多年来一直外流至拍摄成本更低的地区,餐饮业则因倒闭潮不断加剧而遭受重创。8月,候选人曾就对流动摊贩与实体餐厅的支持问题展开交锋。与此同时,2028年奥运会迫在眉睫,引发外界对洛杉矶将以何种城市形象面向世界的疑问。

Hollywood jobs have been fleeing for years for cheaper filming locales, and the restaurant industry has been shaken by mounting closures. In August, the candidates sparred over their support for street food vendors versus brick-and-mortar restaurants. Meanwhile, the 2028 Olympics are on the horizon, raising questions about the public face the city will present to the world.

核心争点在于:选民是希望继续支持现任市长,还是转向政治左翼、支持拉曼,效仿纽约选出民主社会主义者马姆达尼(Zohran Mamdani)担任市长的做法。

At issue is whether voters want to stick with the mayor or pivot to the political left with Raman and follow New York’s lead, where democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani was elected mayor.

巴斯代表民主党建制派,获得加州州长纽森、前副总统贺锦丽、前众议院议长佩洛西的背书,以及几乎所有市议会成员的支持,其中包括几位与民主社会主义者关系密切的议员。她曾在州议会和联邦国会任职,于2022年当选市长,2020年曾被列入前总统拜登竞选搭档的考察名单。

Bass represents the Democratic establishment as she’s backed by Gov. Gavin Newsom, former Vice President Kamala Harris and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, along with nearly every member of the city council, including several aligned with the democratic socialists. She served in the state legislature and Congress before becoming mayor in 2022 and was under consideration to be former President Joe Biden’s running mate in 2020.

拉曼获得倡导团体和政治组织的显著支持,包括由佛蒙特州参议员桑德斯创立的“我们的革命”,以及“塞拉俱乐部”。她鲜有知名本地政要背书。她曾与前州长施瓦辛格举行一次广受关注的私人会晤,后者并未参与竞选,这暗示她正试图扩大支持圈层。

Raman has picked up notable support from advocacy and political groups, including Our Revolution, which was founded by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, and the Sierra Club. She’s thin on endorsements from prominent local politicians. She landed a widely publicized private meeting with former Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who is not involved in the race, that hinted at her efforts to broaden her circle.

一个未知数是:在初选中落败的共和党人斯宾塞·普拉特(Spencer Pratt)——这位前真人秀明星在太平洋帕利塞兹大火中失去家园——的支持者在选举日会投向何方。

One of the unknowns is where supporters of Republican Spencer Pratt — a former reality personality who lost his home in the Palisades Fire and was defeated in the primary — might turn on Election Day.

巴斯在6月初选中仅获得34%的微弱得票率——意味着三分之二的选民选择了其他人。拉曼这是首次竞选全市范围公职。虽然她代表变革与代际更迭——她45岁,巴斯73岁——但她有时难以清晰界定这种变革的具体内涵。

Bass won a meager 34% of the vote in the June primary — meaning two out of three voters picked someone else. Raman is in her first run for citywide office. While she represents change and a generational shift — she is 45, Bass, 73 — she has struggled at times to define what that would mean.

在最近的一场辩论中,两人互相进行了尖锐的抨击,拉曼主张变革,巴斯则辩称,如果拉曼的“极端”观点得逞,城市将面临风险,指的是她在警察招聘和无家可归者问题上的立场。

At a recent debate, the two traded scathing criticism, with Raman pressing her case for change and Bass arguing the city would be at risk with Raman’s “extreme” views, referring to her positions on police hiring and homelessness.

“我们承担不起再有四年的衰退、管理不善和借口了,”拉曼说。巴斯对竞争对手说:“你还没准备好登上大舞台。”一种不祥的预感甚至蔓延到了市政厅。市议员特雷西·帕克最近表示,她将投票给巴斯,但不背书巴斯。她警告说,拉曼会让城市倒退。

“We cannot afford another four years of decline, of mismanagement, of excuses,” Raman said. Bass told her rival: “You are not ready for prime time.”A sense of foreboding has even crept into City Hall. Council member Traci Park said recently that she was voting for — but not endorsing — Bass. She warned that Raman would take the city backward.

“我对两位候选人的领导力和效能都有深深的担忧,”帕克说,她是一名民主党人,其选区包括太平洋帕利塞兹火灾烧毁区域。

“I have deep concerns about the leadership and effectiveness of both candidates,” said Park, a Democrat whose district includes the Palisades burn area.

在这座以对地方政治漠不关心著称的城市——媒体倾向于聚焦犯罪、体育和好莱坞,而非市政厅——市长竞选被国会控制权的全国角逐、两场战争以及对通胀和食品杂货价格的焦虑所掩盖。洛杉矶市长——一个与市议会分享权力的职位——从未拥有过纽约或芝加哥同行那样的影响力。而且该职位有着成为前任者政治坟墓的历史,他们曾因冲击更高职位受挫而感到沮丧。

In a city known to shrug at local politics — the media tend to showcase crime, sports and Hollywood rather than City Hall — the race has been overshadowed by the national fight for Congress, two wars and anxiety over inflation and grocery prices. The LA mayor — a position that shares power with the city council — has never had the clout of counterparts in New York or Chicago. And the office has a history of being a political graveyard for its former occupants who have been frustrated in efforts to reach higher office.

“这是一个很难担任任何现任职务的时期,因为人们对政府回应其需求的方式感到非常幻灭,”总部设在洛杉矶的民主党顾问比尔·伯顿说。“我认为这场竞选五五开,但我也认为存在一种明显的缺乏热情。”四年前,巴斯击败了亿万富翁、由共和党转为民主党的里克·卡鲁索,后者曾承诺扩充警察部门并更加重视公共安全。在初选中,犯罪是普拉特的主要竞选纲领之一。现在轮到巴斯在警察工会的支持下强调公共安全了。

“This is a hard time to be an incumbent anything, because people are so disillusioned with how government is responding to their needs,” said LA-based Democratic consultant Bill Burton. “I think this race is a coin flip, but I also think that there is a palpable lack of enthusiasm.”Four years ago, Bass defeated billionaire Republican-turned-Democrat Rick Caruso, who had promised to expand the police department and place a stronger emphasis on public safety. In the primary, crime was a major plank for Pratt. Now it’s Bass who is stressing public safety with backing from the police union.

巴斯主张增加警察招聘,而拉曼表示她打算更换警察局长,理由是联邦移民突袭行动导致市民与警方之间的信任破裂。拉曼曾于2020年在社交媒体上发布“削减警费”,但最近表示洛杉矶警察局的人员编制应维持在目前水平。

Bass has pushed to hire more police, while Raman said she intends to replace the police chief because of broken trust with citizens stemming from federal immigration raids. Raman once posted “defund the police” on social media in 2020, but more recently said staffing at the Los Angeles Police Department should remain at its current level.

这场竞选也具有历史标志性:两位有色人种女性角逐市长这一城市最高职位。巴斯是首位担任该职位的黑人女性,而拉曼可能成为首位担任该职位的南亚裔女性。

The race also has historical markers: two women of color facing off for the city’s top job. Bass is the first Black woman to hold the post, and Raman could be the first South Asian woman in the job.

在制片城,大学生贝娅特丽丝·戴维斯自称“反资本主义者”,支持桑德斯,但对两位市长候选人都提不起兴趣。她投了拉曼一票,但表示拉曼与马姆达尼相比相形见绌,后者愿意“表明立场、直言不讳”。

In Studio City, college student Beatrix Davis described herself as an “anti-capitalist” who supports Sanders, but was uninspired by either choice for mayor. She went with Raman, but said she pales in comparison to Mamdani who is willing to “take a stand and speak his mind.”

“她不是我的绝对首选,”她谈到拉曼时说,但补充道,“巴斯无能。”

“I wasn’t all in for her,” she said of Raman, but added, “Bass is incompetent.”

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