
企业本月已推迟超过 50 亿美元的美国和欧洲债务发行,因为投资者对利率上升、通胀反弹以及人工智能热潮可能出现裂痕的担忧日益加剧。
Companies have postponed more than $5 billion in US and European debt sales this month as investors grow increasingly alarmed about rising interest rates, resurgent inflation, and potential cracks in the artificial-intelligence boom.
债券和贷款发行的推迟至少涉及七家公司,标志着今年最大规模的推迟潮。仅在上周,音视频设备销售商 AVI-SPL Inc. 放弃了在美国杠杆贷款市场筹集 6.9 亿美元的计划,Mesirow Financial 推迟了出售由曼哈顿中城一座办公楼抵押贷款支持的 1.75 亿美元债券。
The bond and loan sale delays have come from at least seven companies and mark the biggest spate of postponements this year. Just in the last week, AVI-SPL Inc., a seller of audio-visual equipment, abandoned its plan to raise $690 million in the US leveraged-loan market and Mesirow Financial postponed the sale of $175 million of bonds backed by the mortgage on a midtown Manhattan office tower.
此前,Bridge Investment Group 一项 11.9 亿美元的抵押贷款债务凭证发行在本月初被搁置,该房地产公司去年被 Apollo Global Management Inc. 收购。房利美上周推迟出售超过 4.4 亿美元的与公寓楼抵押贷款挂钩的债券,因为无法在其寻求的价格上激起需求。在欧洲,电信网络建设和维护商 Circet 推迟了一项 30 亿欧元(约合 33.7 亿美元)的债务再融资,原定以欧元和美元计价。
That came after a $1.19 billion sale of collateralized loan obligations for Bridge Investment Group — a real estate company that was taken over by Apollo Global Management Inc. last year — was shelved earlier this month. Freddie Mac last week postponed the sale of more than $440 million of bonds tied to apartment-building mortgages after it couldn’t drum up demand at the price it was seeking. In Europe, Circet, a builder and maintainer of telecom networks, postponed a €3 billion ($3.37 billion) debt refinancing, slated to be in euros and dollars.
美国垃圾债发行量在 9 月总计 510 亿美元,本月迄今已暴跌至约 70 亿美元,因为企业对投资者要求的更高收益率望而却步。尽管如此,市场通常仍对高质量、结构简单的交易敞开,这从沃尔玛和金佰利周一分别发行优级票据、合计约 80 亿美元的交易中可见一斑。
The volume of US junk-bond sales, which totaled $51 billion in September, has tumbled to about $7 billion so far this month as companies balk at the higher yields being demanded by investors. Still, the market is usually open for higher quality, straightforward deals, as evidenced by both Walmart Inc. and Kimberly-Clark Corp.’s selling high-grade notes on Monday, in separate sales totaling about $8 billion.
“最大的因素是利率,”资金管理公司ICG美国流动性信贷主管David Saitowitz表示,“仅这一点就足以让信贷市场降温。”许多债券发行推迟发生在住宅和商业抵押债券市场,那里收益率上升对债券价格的影响尤为显著。摩根士丹利本月在发行一笔与堪萨斯城数据中心挂钩的3.01亿美元商业地产债券时难以吸引需求。
“The biggest thing is rates,” said David Saitowitz, the head of US liquid credit at ICG, a money-management firm. “That alone is enough to put a cooling effect on the credit markets.”Many of the debt sale postponements have been happening in the residential and commercial mortgage bond market, where rising yields can have a particularly big impact on bond prices. Morgan Stanley this month has struggled to attract demand for a $301 million commercial real estate bond tied to a data center in Kansas City.
在企业债券市场,根据彭博汇编的数据,B级垃圾债收益率——即低于投资级四至六个评级档位的债券——周二触及8.39%,刷新18个月高位;而评级更弱的CCC级证券收益率飙升至15.7%,创四年新高。
In the corporate bond market, yields for the B tier of junk notes — which is rated four to six notches below investment grade — hit a fresh 18-month high of 8.39% on Tuesday, while those on weaker CCC rated securities soared to a four-year high of 15.7%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
收益率的飙升反映了这场持续数月的抛售规模,自特朗普总统的伊朗战争推高油价、重燃通胀并助推美联储自2023年以来首次加息以来,全球债券市场已被彻底颠覆。
The jumps reflect the scale of the months-long selloff that has upended bond markets globally since President Donald Trump’s Iran war pushed up oil prices, rekindled inflation and helped drive the Federal Reserve to start raising rates for the first time since 2023.
自疫情以来,市场曾因对债务困境加剧的担忧而周期性动荡,但每次都在担忧被证明为时过早后得到缓解。然而,收益率的急剧跃升正制造另一场严峻考验,因为它推高了已陷入困境公司的利息支出。
Markets have been rattled by worries about rising distress periodically since the pandemic, only to recover when the fears turned out to be premature. But the sharp jump in yields is creating another big test as it drives up the interest bills of already struggling companies.
“从地缘政治冲突到利率上升,杠杆融资市场面临了很多冲击,但表现相当有韧性,”穆迪评级美国杠杆融资主管约翰·普查拉(John Puchalla)表示。“但利率上升确实会给高杠杆借款人带来更大压力。”这促使投资者要求更高补偿以抵消风险。其背后是对CoreWeave Inc.等公司的潜在担忧,这些公司大举借贷投资数据中心和其他人工智能基础设施。
“There’s been a lot thrown at the leveraged finance markets from geopolitical conflicts to rising interest rates, and it’s been pretty resilient,” said John Puchalla, the head of US Leveraged Finance at Moody’s Ratings. “But an increase in rates does put more stress on highly-leveraged borrowers.”That’s driving investors to demand higher compensation to offset the risks. Behind that has been simmering worries about companies like CoreWeave Inc. that have borrowed heavily to invest in data centers and other AI infrastructure.
周二,Meta Platforms Inc.和Oracle Corp.发行债务的信用风险感知指标触及历史新高,这两家公司处于人工智能建设热潮的核心,反映出市场担忧该技术是否能盈利到足以证明巨额投资的合理性。
On Tuesday, measures of perceived credit risk on debt issued by Meta Platforms Inc. and Oracle Corp., two companies at the center of the AI buildout, hit a record high, reflecting concerns about whether the technology will be profitable enough to justify the massive investments.
在市场困境中,公司不得不更慎重地考虑融资渠道。由医生持股的放射科诊所Radiology Partners Inc.撤回了一项4.85亿美元的杠杆贷款发行计划,原本旨在为收购提供资金,目前改计划发行垃圾债。
Amid the difficulties in markets, companies have had to think harder about where to borrow. Radiology Partners Inc., a physician-owned radiology practice, pulled a $485 million leveraged loan offering to help fund an acquisition, and is planning to sell junk bonds instead now.
Castlelake副联席首席投资官以赛亚·托巴克(Isaiah Toback)表示,他近期看到的风险回避是一种健康的调整。“在真正的动荡发生前,你正在给气袋放掉一些气,”他说。
Isaiah Toback, the deputy co-chief investment officer at Castlelake, said he sees the recent pullback from risk as a healthy adjustment. “You’re letting some air out of the bag before there’s a real disruption,” he said.