唐纳德·特朗普的支持率在周三发布的两项民意调查中跌至新低。在距离中期选举仅剩几周的时间里，他对民生问题的处理方式以及他在伊朗问题上的立场仍然广受批评（即这些做法并未获得公众的支持）。
Donald Trump’s approval rating hit new lows in a pair of polls released on Wednesday, as his handling of the cost of living and the war in Iran remain broadly unpopular in the weeks before the midterms.
这些由《纽约时报》和CNN进行的民意调查提供了选举日前的最后几份选民情绪数据。调查结果显示，共和党在11月大选前扭转局势的时间已经所剩无几。
The surveys, released by The New York Times and CNN, offer some of the last snapshots of voter sentiment less than two weeks before Election Day. And they suggest Republicans have little time left to turn the tide ahead of November.
在《纽约时报》的民意调查中，仅有36%的潜在选民对特朗普的表现表示赞同，而59%的选民表示反对；这是该报与锡耶纳大学联合开展的所有调查中，特朗普支持率最低的一次。在CNN/SSRS的民意调查中，特朗普的支持率进一步下降至32%，比2018年中期选举前的支持率低了7个百分点；那次选举中民主党赢得了41个席位，重新控制了众议院。
Just 36% of likely voters approve of the president’s performance, while 59% disapprove in the Times poll, his lowest approval rating in any survey the paper has run with Siena University across his two terms. Trump’s approval rating dipped to 32% in CNN/SSRS’s polling, 7 points lower than the last reading before the 2018 midterm elections, when the Democrats netted 41 seats and regained control of the House.
特朗普的不受欢迎程度也影响了他在关键选民群体中的支持率——包括男性选民、年轻选民以及西班牙裔选民。在那些没有大学学位的白人选民中（这一群体曾是特朗普和共和党的主要支持者），有48%的人对他的工作表现表示赞同，而46%的人表示反对。
The president’s unpopularity has also cut into gains he made among key demographics in the 2024 election, including men, younger voters and Hispanic voters. Among white voters without a college degree, a key voting bloc for Trump and the Republican Party, 48% approve of his job performance versus 46% who disapprove in the Times survey.
白宫发言人戴维斯·英格尔在一份声明中表示：“特朗普总统无疑是共和党的领袖、最佳代言人，也是最出色的激励者；他致力于维持共和党在国会的多数席位。选择非常明确：要么继续坚持特朗普那些符合常识的施政方针，要么接受民主党的极端自由主义政策及其阻挠行为。”
“President Trump is the unequivocal leader, best messenger, and unmatched motivator for the Republican Party, and he is committed to maintaining Republican majorities in Congress," White House spokesperson Davis Ingle said in a statement. "The choice has never been more clear: doubling down on President Trump’s winning, commonsense agenda or the Democrats’ extreme liberal policies and obstruction.”
与此同时，在这两项民意调查中，民主党在国会选举中的支持率均明显领先于共和党。
Davis Ingle The bottoming out of the president’s popularity coincides with Democrats staking out a notable lead in the generic congressional ballot in both surveys.
在《纽约时报》针对全国潜在选民进行的民意调查中，民主党的支持率比共和党候选人高出52%（52%对41%）；在CNN的民意调查中，民主党在已登记选民中的支持率也以10个百分点的优势领先共和党（49%对39%），这是自2020年大选前夕以来民主党在该项调查中取得的最大优势。
Democrats have a 52% to 41% advantage over Republican candidates in the Times poll of likely voters nationwide. They similarly hold a 10-point lead over the GOP among registered voters, 49% to 39%, in CNN’s polling, the party’s largest advantage in that poll since right before the 2020 election.
尽管民主党更有可能重新掌控众议院，但参议院的控制权争夺仍处于胶着状态——多项民意调查显示，两党在多个关键选区中的竞争非常激烈。
Still, while the Democrats are favored to retake the House, the fight over control of the Senate remains in a dead heat, as polling shows the two parties neck-and-neck in several key races.
特朗普将于周三前往南卡罗来纳州，预计将与共和党参议员达琳·格雷厄姆（Darline Graham）共同举行集会。格雷厄姆将在这个极度保守的州接替她已故的兄弟担任参议员，而她的竞选竞争比共和党人预期的要激烈得多。副总统J.D.万斯则将返回他的家乡俄亥俄州——在那里，共和党人正在为争夺参议院席位和州长职位而努力。
Trump is due in South Carolina on Wednesday, where he is expected to rally with Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.), whose election to succeed her late brother in the deep-red state has become more competitive than Republicans would like. And Vice President JD Vance is traveling to his home state of Ohio, where Republicans are busy defending a Senate seat and the governor’s mansion in the key battleground.
《纽约时报》/西耶纳（Siena）联合进行的民意调查于10月12日至19日期间通过电话方式对3,494名选民进行了调查，误差范围为正负1.9个百分点；CNN的民意调查由SSRS机构于10月15日至18日期间通过在线和电话方式对1,206名已登记选民进行，误差范围为正负3.3个百分点。
The New York Times/Siena poll surveyed 3,494 voters by phone from Oct. 12-19, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.9 percentage points. The CNN poll, conducted by SSRS online and by phone from Oct. 15-18, surveyed 1,206 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.