
维特科夫与泽连斯基在挪威首都奥斯陆会面2026年10月20日,记者保罗·亚当斯报道特朗普的特使史蒂夫·维特科夫在奥斯陆会谈前与弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基拥抱,但这或许无法消除泽连斯基对美国当前政策走向的疑虑——尤其是美国对该饱受战争摧残的国家的态度。
Witkoff and Zelensky met in the Norwegian capital Paul Adams Diplomatic correspondent 20 October 2026 The hug that Trump envoy Steve Witkoff offered Volodymyr Zelensky before talks in Oslo is unlikely to have dispelled the Ukrainian leader's misgivings about the current direction of US policy towards his war-ravaged country.
泽连斯基在社交媒体上发布了这一时刻的视频,并写道:“乌克兰正在为和平而努力。感谢我们的合作伙伴给予的支持!”然而,鉴于本月发生的种种事件,泽连斯基是否仍视唐纳德·特朗普为真正的合作伙伴呢?
Zelensky posted a video of the moment on social media, with the message "Ukraine is working for peace. I thank our partners for their support!" But given everything that's happened this month, does the Ukrainian leader still regard Donald Trump as a partner?
两人之间的关系向来紧张;这一点显而易见。那么,他们现在是否彻底决裂了呢?
The two men have never been close – that much is obvious – but have they now fallen out once and for all?
在过去10天里,无论是言辞还是行动,都显示出他们关系中的裂痕比以往任何时候都要深。听听他们彼此之间的评价就知道了:“泽连斯基不是我们可以合作的对象,”特朗普上周对Newsmax电视台表示。这种言语攻击本周仍在继续。
Both in rhetoric and actions, the past 10 days have seen evidence of a rupture as deep as any in their fractious relationship. Just listen to the way they talk about each other. "Zelensky's not a good guy for us to deal with," Trump told Newsmax last week. The verbal assault has continued this week.
“泽连斯基根本不知道自己在说什么,”特朗普周一在接受记者采访时这样评价泽连斯基的观点(即与俄罗斯达成柴油贸易协议会让美国站在历史错误的一边)。
"Zelensky doesn't know what he's talking about," Trump told a reporter on Monday when asked what he thought of the Ukrainian leader's suggestion that striking a diesel deal with Russia put the US on the wrong side of history.
这种人身攻击正是特朗普处理外交事务的典型方式。很难判断这些言论该被如何看待……今年6月,特朗普曾严厉批评以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡;四个月后,他又热情地支持内塔尼亚胡,称其为“伟大的战士型总理”。
Such personal attacks are typical of Trump's sledgehammer approach to diplomacy. It's hard to know when to take them seriously. In June, he lashed out at Israel's prime minister, using an expletive while criticising Benjamin Netanyahu's judgement. Four months later, he endorsed Netanyahu enthusiastically, calling him a "great warrior prime minister".
“特朗普随时可能改变立场,”欧洲改革中心的伊恩·邦德表示,“但这次的情况确实很糟糕。”
"Trump can always do another U-turn," says Ian Bond of the Centre for European Reform. "But this does look bad."
至于泽连斯基,他在描述这位不可靠却至关重要的美国对手时,通常都表现得非常谨慎。
For his part Zelensky has generally been circumspect in how he describes his unreliable but vital American counterpart.
但本月,他的沮丧情绪显而易见。在接见美国国会代表团时,他提到“美国方面的某些决定实在难以用友好的方式来解释”,并表达了担忧:“恐怕某些政治决策导致了美国对乌克兰的支持力度减弱。”针对特朗普指责他是谈判解决冲突的主要障碍,泽连斯基显得比以往任何时候都更加愤怒。
But this month his frustration has been clear. Addressing a US congressional delegation, he spoke of "decisions on the American side that are hard to explain between friends" and voiced the fear that "some political decision has been made to slow down support for us." Answering Trump's charge that he represented the principal obstacle to a negotiated settlement, Zelensky sounded more exasperated than ever.
“我们欢迎我们的合作伙伴为结束这场战争所做的一切努力,”他在周一的Telegram帖文中写道。不过,撇开言辞不谈,美乌关系到底有多糟糕呢?从某种程度上来说,我们之前已经经历过类似的情况。
"We have welcomed literally EVERY attempt by our partners to end this war with dignity," he wrote on Telegram on Monday. But rhetoric aside, how bad is the relationship? In some ways, we've been here before.
2025年2月,特朗普与泽连斯基在白宫椭圆形办公室发生了激烈的公开争执,特朗普指责泽连斯基“在玩弄第三次世界大战的危险游戏”;随后美国暂停了对乌克兰的军事援助并限制了情报共享。那次危机仅持续了一周。同年晚些时候,当特朗普政府决定不再为乌克兰提供直接军事援助时,欧洲国家被要求出资购买美国的军事装备。
After their notorious televised bust up in the Oval Office in February 2025, at which Trump accused Zelensky of "gambling with World War III", the US suspended military assistance and restricted intelligence sharing. The crisis only lasted a week. And when the Trump administration decided, later that year, that it no longer wanted to finance direct military assistance to Ukraine, a mechanism was put in place for European countries to pay for American equipment instead.
不过,在今年美国与伊朗的冲突之后,美国制造的“爱国者”(Patriot)防空导弹成为了一个例外——这些导弹对乌克兰来说至关重要。由于全球供应短缺,乌克兰获得的“爱国者”导弹数量已经锐减,这使得基辅更难以拦截俄罗斯发射的弹道导弹。
One exception, in the wake of this year's US war with Iran, has been badly needed US-made Patriot air defence missiles. Amid a global shortage, the supply to Ukraine has slowed to a trickle, making it harder than ever for Kyiv to shoot down Russian ballistic missiles.
《华盛顿邮报》援引一位未具名的乌克兰官员的话称,乌克兰库存中的“爱国者”导弹只剩下“寥寥几枚”,并且特朗普政府还拖延了盟国申请转移这些导弹的审批流程。
The Washington Post, quoting an unnamed Ukrainian official, said "only a couple" of Patriot interceptors remained in Ukraine's stockpile, and that the Trump administration had slowed down the process by which US allies seek approval to transfer their stocks.
虽然过去也曾有过类似的担忧,但最新的报道(尚未得到美国官方的证实)却出现在乌克兰处境日益艰难的背景下。
Similar concerns have been voiced in the past, but the latest reports – not confirmed by US officials – come against an increasingly difficult backdrop for Kyiv.
本月早些时候,当乌克兰谈判代表抵达迈阿密与特朗普的特使维特科夫(Witkoff)和贾里德·库什纳(Jared Kushner)进行会谈时,他们突然得知特朗普刚刚与弗拉基米尔·普京达成协议,允许俄罗斯柴油进入美国市场。这一消息让他们感到措手不及。
专家们质疑这一举措是否真的能降低美国的汽油价格(这似乎是特朗普的初衷);但这一行为无疑表明美国对乌克兰持续打击俄罗斯炼油厂的行动感到不满,同时也显示出华盛顿愿意与克里姆林宫妥协,从而对基辅政府构成了严厉的批评。
Earlier this month, as Ukrainian negotiators arrived in Miami for talks with Trump's all-purpose envoys Witkoff and Jared Kushner, they were blindsided by the news that the president had just struck a deal with Vladimir Putin to open US markets to Russian diesel. Experts questioned whether it would do much to drive down US petrol prices, ahead of congressional mid-term elections (the apparent motive), but as a signal of US displeasure over Ukraine's campaign of long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries and Washington's willingness to do deals with the Kremlin, it represented a stinging rebuke to Kyiv.
上周五,特朗普更进一步,在制裁措施即将生效的前两天就取消了这些制裁。特朗普称,《格雷厄姆法案》(Graham Act)中的制裁条款会妨碍他推动和平进程的努力;但对基辅及其支持者来说,这再次表明白宫站在了克里姆林宫的一边。
Last Friday, Trump went further, waiving wide-ranging sanctions on Russia just two days before they were due to take effect. Trump said the sanctions contained in the Graham Act (named after the former South Carolina senator Lindsey Graham, a vocal supporter of Ukraine who died in July) would hinder his efforts to broker peace.
“特朗普政府的行为无异于用‘胡萝卜’收买俄罗斯人,却用‘棍棒’惩罚乌克兰人,”前美国驻基辅大使威廉·泰勒(William Taylor)对BBC表示:“这种做法既令人费解,也令人痛心。”
But for Kyiv and its supporters this was another alarming sign that the White House was siding with the Kremlin. "What the Trump administration is doing is providing carrots to the Russians and sticks to the Ukrainians," former US ambassador to Kyiv William Taylor told the BBC.
普京的高级代表基里尔·德米特里耶夫(Kiriil Dmitriev)将这一事件称为“一个重要且具有历史意义的时刻”。
"It's inexplicable and saddening." Kiriil Dmitriev, a senior Putin envoy, called it "an important and truly historic moment".
对莫斯科来说,这仿佛是俄罗斯重新回到了“2025年8月特朗普与普京在安克雷奇峰会后所倡导的‘合作精神’”之中。
For Moscow, this felt like a welcome return to the "spirit of Alaska", a phrase much touted by Russian officials in the wake of the Trump-Putin summit in Anchorage in August 2025.
更有证据表明特朗普正在背弃乌克兰:有传言称美国限制了情报信息的传递,并干扰了乌克兰使用埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的Starlink卫星互联网服务——不过这一说法尚未得到华盛顿方面的证实。
Adding to the impression that Trump is turning his back on Ukraine is the allegation – again not confirmed by Washington – that the US has restricted the flow of intelligence and interfered with Ukraine's access to Elon Musk's Starlink satellite internet service.
在俄罗斯对乌克兰城市的无人机和导弹攻击不断升级的背景下,基辅方面抱怨美国提供的卫星情报预警严重不足。
Amid an escalation in Russia's drone and missile war on Ukraine's cities, Kyiv says advance warning provided by US satellite intelligence has been lacking.
“在弹道袭击期间,我们连续三天都无法使用这些设备(或服务)。”泽连斯基对NBC新闻表示。
"We didn't receive it during ballistic attacks for three days," Zelensky told NBC News.
10月12日,五枚俄罗斯S-400导弹击中了基辅,据报道,当时防空警报器或移动预警系统尚未启动。
On 12 October five Russian S-400 missiles hit Kyiv, reportedly before air raid sirens or mobile alerts had sounded.
美国国务卿马可·卢比奥否认情报共享曾中断,并将信息延迟的原因归咎于“软件故障”。
The US Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, denied there had been any pause in intelligence sharing, blaming a "software problem" for the temporary lack of early warnings.
类似的情况也发生在乌克兰使用Starlink卫星服务上:一周前,乌克兰官员称该服务受到了限制,导致终端无法维持高速数据传输,从而使得乌克兰军队难以拦截快速移动的俄罗斯无人机。
Similar uncertainty surrounds Ukraine's access to Starlink A week ago, Ukrainian officials reported that the system was being throttled, with terminals unable to maintain connections at high speeds, making it harder for Ukraine's military to intercept fast moving Russian drones.
自夏季以来,乌克兰一直面临着大量先进、喷气式推进的无人机的攻击。
Since the summer, Ukraine has struggled to cope with a wave of attacks by advanced, jet-powered drones.
目前尚不清楚限制乌克兰使用Starlink卫星服务(或其军用版本Starshield)的命令究竟来自何处。据路透社报道,该命令可能出自白宫。
It's not clear where any order to limit Ukraine's use of Starlink – or its military grade equivalent Starshield – originated. Reuters reported that it came from the White House.
卢比奥表示:“白宫没有人下令限制互联网使用。”然而,这类怀疑的频繁出现,恰恰反映了美乌关系中持续存在的信任危机。
Rubio said "no-one at the White House ordered anyone to slow down internet." But the fact that such suspicions surface so frequently points to the lack of trust that continues to infect US-Ukrainian relations.
这种矛盾的根源可以追溯到唐纳德·特朗普长期以来对乌克兰(尤其是泽连斯基本人)的不信任。
Much of this has its roots in Donald Trump's seemingly long-standing mistrust of Ukraine as a whole - and Zelensky in particular.
俄罗斯对乌克兰的攻击从未停止;十年前,特朗普就坚信乌克兰曾试图阻止他成为美国总统。他提出过许多毫无根据的指控,其中包括声称美国民主党全国委员会在乌克兰境内隐藏了服务器。
Russian strikes on Ukraine have continued unabated A decade ago, Trump became convinced that Ukraine had tried to prevent him from becoming US president. Among a number of unfounded allegations was the suggestion that the US Democratic National Committee had a server hidden somewhere in Ukraine.

三年后,当泽连斯基当选总统时,他拒绝了特朗普要求其调查选举舞弊指控的请求。
When Zelensky became president, three years later, he resisted Trump's demands that he investigate charges of election interference.
在2019年7月的一次电话通话中,特朗普还要求泽连斯基调查乔·拜登——后者后来在2020年的总统选举中击败了他。泽连斯基再次拒绝了这一要求。
During a notorious July 2019 telephone conversation, Trump also asked Zelensky to investigate Joe Biden, the man who went on to defeat him in the 2020 presidential election. Again, Zelensky refused.
在当时,白宫正以 3.91 亿美元(2.90 亿英镑)的军事援助拖延向乌克兰提供,这一对比最终导致特朗普的第一次弹劾。
At the time, the White House was withholding $391m (£290m) in military assistance to Ukraine, a juxtaposition that ultimately led to Trump's first impeachment.
特朗普对这些历史性冒犯的怨恨是否仍在影响其当前对乌克兰的政策仍是个悬而未决的问题,但很明显,美国与乌克兰关系的过山车已经再次经历了一次令人胃部翻转的下滑。
Whether Trump's resentment over these historic slights continues to inform his current policy towards Ukraine is an open question, but it's clear that the roller coaster of US-Ukraine relations has taken another stomach-churning dip.
在奥斯陆会谈后,Witkoff 正携带一套更新后的提案前往圣彼得堡,所有目光现在都将聚焦于普京。
Following the talks in Oslo, Witkoff is taking a set of updated proposals to St Petersburg. All eyes will now be on Putin.
挪威领袖 Jonas Gahr Støre 表示,奥斯陆的会谈“帮助理清了一些事”。他以外交措辞说:“没有什么好处……去挖掘昨天或一周前说了什么。”
Jonas Gahr Støre, the Norwegian leader, said the talks in Oslo had helped "to straighten out a few things." "There's nothing to gain from… digging into what was said yesterday or a week ago," he said diplomatically.
泽连斯基表示,当天以与美国国务卿的富有成效的对话开局,并指出早期预警问题已经得到解决。他还对爱国者导弹和 Starlink 表示乐观。“我认为我们也会取得良好的成果,”他说。
Zelensky said the day had begun with a productive conversation with the US Secretary of State and indicated that the issue of early warning had already been fixed. He also sounded optimistic about Patriot missiles and Starlink. "I think we will have good results too," he said.
尽管语气乐观,但很难回避的事实是,弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基与唐纳德·特朗普再次陷入对峙。
Yet despite the optimistic tone, it's hard to get around the fact that Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump appear, once again, to be at loggerheads.