近六成科技从业者表示，AI增加了他们的工作量，而不是减少了工作量。这是Web Summit首份《行业状况》报告于周四发布的主要发现。约59%的受访者表示工作量增加了，20%表示减少了，20%表示变化不大。
Almost six in 10 people working in tech say AI has added to their workload rather than cutting it. That is the headline finding of Web Summit’s first State of the Industry report, published on Thursday. Some 59% said their workload had increased, 20% said it had fallen and 20% saw little change.
Web Summit在7月和8月对其社区内的1455名创始人、投资者、工程师和创作者进行了调查。报告称，样本偏向创始人和产品构建者。略超过三分之一的受访者为女性，超过半数年龄在35至54岁之间。
Web Summit surveyed 1,455 founders, investors, engineers and creators from its own community in July and August. The sample leans towards founders and people who build products, the report says. Just over a third of respondents were women, and more than half were aged between 35 and 54.
更忙，而非被取代。AI带来的工作量上升在距离AI最近的行业中最为明显。约70%的AI和机器学习基础设施受访者表示工作量增加了。SaaS和商业软件领域为68%，硬件和物联网领域为67%。
Busier, not replaced The AI workload rise was strongest in industries closest to AI. Some 70% of respondents in AI and machine-learning infrastructure said their workload was up. So did 68% in SaaS and business software and 67% in hardware and the internet of things.
按角色划分，工程和产品人员的增幅最大，为64%，其次是创始人的63%。投资者最不可能这样认为，比例为42%。
By role, engineering and product staff reported the biggest increase, at 64%, followed by founders at 63%. Investors were the least likely to say so, at 42%.
“AI加快了生产速度，抬高了人们对我们能交付多少成果的期望。但人们可能对其产出过于自信，而审查它的时间往往太少，”一位欧洲工程师写道。
“AI speeds up production, raising expectations about how much we can deliver. But people can be too confident in its output, and there’s often too little time to review it,” one engineer in Europe wrote.
在就业问题上，受访者意见分化。约39%预计未来两年其所在领域的员工人数将增长，33%预计将下降，28%预计变化不大。
On jobs, respondents were split. Some 39% expect headcount in their field to grow over the next two years, 33% expect it to fall and 28% expect little change.
初级岗位的前景更为黯淡。约42%预计其公司会减少此类岗位，在C级高管受访者中这一比例升至50%，在投资者中升至58%。学生是例外：55%预计初级岗位会增加。9月，《金融时报》报道称，瑞银现在希望其初级银行家具备AI技能。年轻受访者更担心自己的工作。18至24岁人群中约45%表示担忧，而55岁及以上人群中这一比例为32%。
The outlook for entry-level roles was darker. Some 42% expect their company to have fewer of them, rising to 50% among C-suite respondents and 58% among investors. Students were the exception: 55% expect more entry-level jobs. In September, the Financial Times reported that UBS now wants AI skills from its junior bankers. Younger respondents worried more about their own jobs. Some 45% of 18 to 24-year-olds said they were concerned, against 32% of those aged 55 and over.
一名北美工程师写道：“整个行业都不再招聘初级开发人员了。等所有资深工程师都退休或离职后会怎样？谁来修复AI生成的垃圾代码？”
“No entry level developers are being hired across the industry. What happens when all the seniors retire or leave? Who’s going to fix AI slop?” an engineer in North America wrote.
行业否认存在“脑腐”现象。约55%的受访者表示AI增强了他们的批判性思维，26%表示AI削弱了批判性思维，19%认为没有区别。65岁及以上人群最为乐观，持正面看法的比例为71%，而18至24岁人群中这一比例为48%。工程师群体最为怀疑：37%的工程师表示AI正在削弱他们的思考能力。
No ‘brain rot’, says the industry Some 55% said AI strengthens their critical thinking, 26% said it weakens it and 19% saw no difference. Those aged 65 and over were the most positive, at 71%, against 48% of 18 to 24-year-olds. Engineers were the most sceptical: 37% said AI was weakening their thinking.
在资金方面，约三分之一的人认为AI投资仍处于早期阶段，并将继续增长。另有32%的人认为投资过高，将逐步放缓，10%的人预计投资会大幅下降。超过半数的工程和产品受访者表示投资已经过高。上周，高德纳警告称，3.5万亿美元的AI支出面临未来减记的风险。
On money, about a third think AI investment is still in its early stages and will keep growing. Another 32% think it is too high and will slow gradually, and 10% expect it to fall sharply. More than half of engineering and product respondents said investment is already too high. Last week, Gartner warned that $3.5 trillion of AI spending was at risk of future write-downs.
约42%的受访者预计团队规模会缩小但产出会提高，在创始人群体中这一比例升至一半，而9%的人预计团队会扩大。受访者平均使用2.3家AI供应商，43%的人使用三家或更多。
Some 42% expect smaller teams with higher output, rising to half of founders, while 9% expect teams to grow. Respondents use 2.3 AI providers on average, and 43% use three or more.
女性和男性对于哪些技能最重要存在分歧。约41%的女性选择了情感和人际交往能力，而男性中这一比例为27%。男性更倾向于选择技术和工程技能，比例为37%，女性为24%。
Women and men disagreed on which skills will matter most. Some 41% of women picked emotional and people skills, against 27% of men. Men were more likely to choose technical and engineering skills, at 37% against 24% of women.
Web Summit技术与运营高级副总裁尼迪·奈塔尼表示，工程和开发者群体是最担心工作保障的群体。
Nidhi Naithani, Web Summit’s senior vice president of technology operations, said the engineering and developer community was the group most worried about job security.
奈塔尼说：“这似乎有悖直觉，但正因为工程师和创始人通常是这些技术的构建者和最早采用者，他们通常对其影响有最深入的理解，也处于最前沿的位置。”
“It seems counterintuitive, but as engineers and founders are generally the builders and earliest adopters of these technologies, they generally have the best understanding and a front-row seat to its impact,” Naithani said.
Web Summit在11月9日至12日里斯本活动之前发布了这些调查结果。
Web Summit published the findings ahead of its Lisbon event on 9 to 12 November.