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以色列分裂之际即将大选,内塔尼亚胡能否再演政治奇迹?As a divided Israel prepares to go to the polls, can Netanyahu pull off his greatest political trick yet?

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本雅明·内塔尼亚胡首次成为总理已有30年,累计任职超过19年。 合成图:Guardian Design/盖蒂图片社/法新社Benjamin Netanyahu first become prime minister 30 years ago and has held the office for more than 19 years. Composite: Guardian Design/Getty Images/AFP

总理定义并主导了本国政治三十年,在周二大选前将对手置于守势。

The prime minister has defined and dominated his country’s politics for three decades and is putting his rivals on the defensive before Tuesday’s general election They chant his name, they cheer and clap – and yet he is not the most dominant person in the room.

前参谋长、雅沙尔党领袖加迪·艾森科特在竞选途中发表演讲。他在明显影射本雅明·内塔尼亚胡时,呼吁建立一个“无谎言的国家”。 摄影:伊利亚·叶菲莫维奇/法新社/盖蒂图片社Gadi Eisenkot, a former army chief of staff and head of the Yashar party, delivers an address on the campaign trail. In an obvious reference to Benjamin Netanyahu, he has called for a ‘country without lies’. Photograph: Ilia Yefimovich/AFP/Getty Images
2015年,艾森科特在耶路撒冷的就职典礼上与内塔尼亚胡握手,时任国防部长摩西·亚阿隆出席。艾森科特已承诺消灭哈马斯。 摄影:梅纳赫姆·卡哈纳/法新社/盖蒂图片社Eisenkot shakes hands with Netanyahu at a swearing-in ceremony in Jerusalem in 2015 attended by the then defence minister, Moshe Ya’alon. Eisenkot has pledged to wipe out Hamas. Photograph: Menahem Kahana/AFP/Getty Images

他们高呼他的名字,欢呼鼓掌——然而他并非现场最具统治力的人。在前来聆听加迪·艾森科特演讲的群众头顶上空,笼罩着一个不在场的男子。这位男子正是艾森科特在周二以色列大选中寻求取代的总理,三十年前首次担任该职,并在过去30年中断断续续执掌了19年。他就是本雅明·内塔尼亚胡。

Looming over the crowd that has gathered to hear Gadi Eisenkot, the former general who is the lead opposition challenger in Tuesday’s Israeli election, is a man who is not there. It is the man Eisenkot seeks to replace as prime minister, the man who first served in that role three decades ago and who has held it, on and off, for 19 of the past 30 years. It is Benjamin Netanyahu.

犹太力量党领袖伊塔马尔·本-格维尔(中)在拉姆拉竞选途中。这位极右翼政客呼吁在约旦河西岸建设更多犹太人定居点,并对巴勒斯坦人采取严厉措施。 摄影:阿米尔·科恩/路透社Itamar Ben-Gvir, centre, the leader of the Jewish Power party, on the campaign trail in Ramla. The far-right politician is calling for more Jewish settlements in the West Bank and harsh measures against Palestinians. Photograph: Amir Cohen/Reuters
内塔尼亚胡的竞选海报在耶路撒冷展示。这位总理将周二的大选定性为在他与阿拉伯人之间的选择。 摄影:凯文·库姆斯/路透社Netanyahu campaign posters are put on display in Jerusalem. The prime minister is pitching the election as a choice between himself and the Arabs. Photograph: Kevin Coombs/Reuters
仅从政四年的艾森科特,将自己定位为周二大选中的反内塔尼亚胡候选人。 摄影:杰克·盖兹/法新社/盖蒂图片社Eisenkot, who entered politics only four years ago, is defining himself as the anti-Netanyahu candidate in Tuesday’s election. Photograph: Jack Guez/AFP/Getty Images

理所当然,在这场位于特拉维夫和耶路撒冷中间、规模不大的城市莫迪因举行的晚间集会上,暖场发言人极力强调艾森科特的优点:他是摩洛哥犹太工人阶级家庭的儿子,一路晋升为以色列国防军参谋长,仅四年前才踏入政坛。但每句话仿佛都以两个未说出口的词结尾:内塔尼亚胡。

Naturally, the warm-up speakers at this evening rally in the modest city of Modi’in, halfway between Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, stress the virtues of Eisenkot, a son of working-class Moroccan Jews who rose through the ranks to become chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces and entered politics only four years ago. But every sentence might as well end with two words that go unspoken: .

拉兹·扎尔法蒂在妹妹罗恩的纪念碑前,罗恩死于10月7日的袭击。内塔尼亚胡已将这场灾难的责任推卸给他人。 摄影:奥哈德·兹维根贝格/美联社Raz Zarfati at a memorial to her sister, Ron, who was killed in the 7 October attacks. Netanyahu has shifted blame for the disaster. Photograph: Ohad Zwigenberg/AP
民主党领袖亚伊尔·戈兰(中)周四在特拉维夫出席伊扎克·拉宾纪念仪式。这位前将军表示,他对周二取得成功充满信心。 摄影:埃里克·马莫尔/盖蒂图片社Yair Golan, centre, leader of the Democrats, attends a memorial service for Yitzhak Rabin in Tel Aviv on Thursday. Golan, a former general, says he is confident of success on Tuesday. Photograph: Erik Marmor/Getty Images
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