根据保加利亚国家电视台（BNT）发布的阿尔法研究（Alpha Research）出口民调，保加利亚现任总统伊利亚娜·约托娃在周日的总统选举首轮投票中有望以微弱优势获胜，这将使该国反对向乌克兰提供军事支持的总理获得一位盟友。
Bulgaria’s incumbent president, Iliana Yotova, was poised for a narrow win in the first round of presidential elections on Sunday, moving closer to delivering an ally for the country’s prime minister who opposes military support for Ukraine.
民调显示，约托娃获得了35.2%的选票。由于投票率未达到法定的50%门槛，她极有可能在下周日的第二轮投票中面对获得32.4%选票的前看守总理安德烈·久罗夫。
Yotova secured 35.2% of the vote, according to an Alpha Research exit poll published by the BNT public TV channel. She is likely to face former caretaker prime minister, Andrey Gyurov, who got 32.4%, in the runoff next Sunday after the turnout fell short of the required 50%, according to the poll.
如果官方结果证实这一结果，约托娃的胜选优势将远小于赛前民调显示的13至18个百分点的领先幅度。出口民调显示，投票率约为20%，创下历史新低。
If confirmed by the official results, Yotova’s win would be much smaller than indicated by the opinion polls ahead of the election, which showed her leading by 13 to 18 percentage points. The turnout was around 20%, a record low, the exit poll showed.
约托娃的潜在胜利将有助于总理鲁门·拉德夫巩固其对这个巴尔干国家和欧元区成员国的主导地位。此次投票正值俄罗斯对保加利亚和罗马尼亚黑海沿岸商船的致命袭击增加之际，引发了外界对拉德夫对莫斯科采取和解基调的质疑。
Yotova’s potential victory would help Prime Minister Rumen Radev cement his dominance over the Balkan nation and a euro area member. The vote coincides with an increase in deadly Russian attacks on commercial ships off the Black Sea coast of Bulgaria and Romania, raising questions about Radev’s conciliatory tone toward Moscow.
这位总理经常批评欧盟向基辅提供军事援助，并敦促欧盟恢复与俄罗斯的关系。约托娃也避免直接批评克里姆林宫，并呼吁在乌克兰立即停火，俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争已进入第五个年头。
The prime minister has often criticized the European Union’s military aid to Kyiv and urged the bloc to restore its ties to Russia. Yotova has also avoided direct criticism of the Kremlin and called for an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine, where Russia’s war is well into its fifth year.
现年62岁的约托娃曾是一名记者和欧洲议会议员，在拉德夫手下担任了九年副总统。拉德夫于1月辞去总统职务，参加4月的大选，并以压倒性优势获胜，使该国自1990年代以来首次出现单一政党多数派。
A former journalist and member of the European Parliament, Yotova, 62, served as vice-president for nine years under Radev, who resigned from the presidency in January to run in April’s general election. He won by a landslide, securing the country’s first single-party majority since the 1990s.
保加利亚总统的角色主要是礼仪性的，其否决权可凭借立法机构的多数票推翻。约托娃的胜利将终结这个既是欧盟又是北约成员国的国家多年来脆弱的联合政府和政治危机。
The role of Bulgaria’s president is largely ceremonial and their veto can be overturned with a majority of votes in the legislature. Yotova’s victory would put an end to years of fragile coalitions and political crisis in the country, which is both an EU and NATO member.