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保加利亚人在俄罗斯对乌克兰战争的阴影下投票选举总统Bulgarians vote for president in shadow of Russia’s war on Ukraine

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2026年10月23日,保加利亚索菲亚街头的总统伊利安娜·约托娃和副总统候选人基里尔·瓦尔切夫的选举广告牌 [Nikolay Doychinov/AFP]An election billboard of President Iliana Iotova and vice presidential candidate Kiril Valchev in Sofia, Bulgaria, on October 23, 2026 [Nikolay Doychinov/AFP]

保加利亚总统选举投票已于周日开始,此前的竞选活动聚焦于日益严重的经济困境以及黑海航运遭遇的无人机袭击。

Polls have opened in Bulgaria’s presidential election after a campaign that focused on growing economic hardship and drone attacks on Black Sea shipping.

在周日的投票前,现任总统伊利亚娜·约托娃(Iliana Iotova,61岁)和前看守总理安德烈·久罗夫(Andrey Gyurov,50岁)在民调中领跑,共有27名候选人参选。

Before Sunday’s vote, President Iliana Iotova, 61, and former caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov, 50, were leading a field of 27 candidates in the polls.

在保加利亚,总统主要是礼仪性职位。虽然重大政策必须经议会批准,但直接选举赋予了总统更大的政治权威。总统统领武装部队,并可否决立法、国际条约以及任命大使。

The presidency is a largely ceremonial post in Bulgaria. While major policies must be approved by parliament, direct election gives the president greater political authority. The president leads the armed forces and can veto legislation,ternational treaties and appoint ambassadors.

此次选举还因保加利亚近海商船接连遭遇无人机袭击而受到关注,袭击可能导致约二十多名国际海员丧生。

The election has also gained attention after a series of drone attacks on merchant ships off Bulgaria that likely killed about two dozen international seafarers.

无人机袭击引发国际谴责,并引发对俄罗斯对乌克兰战争影响力不断扩大的担忧,促使保加利亚寻求盟友帮助以加强海上安全。

The drone strikes sparked international condemnation and concerns about the growing reach of Russia’s war on Ukraine, prompting Bulgaria to seek help from its allies to bolster its maritime security.

保加利亚政府尚未明确指责俄罗斯发动袭击,但总理鲁门·拉德夫(Rumen Radev)表示,袭击的结果“符合俄罗斯联邦的利益”。

The Bulgarian government has stopped short of explicitly blaming Russia for the attacks, but Prime Minister Rumen Radev said the outcome of the strikes “benefits the Russian Federation”.

俄西关系成关键议题 两位领跑总统候选人均谴责了袭击,但在更广泛的乌克兰战争问题上存在分歧。

Relations with Russia, West at stake The two leading candidates for president have both condemned the strikes, but they differ on the broader war in Ukraine.

今年担任看守总理的久罗夫获得亲西方、改革派政党支持,长期表态支持乌克兰。他在担任总理期间与基辅签署了安全合作协议。

Gyurov, who served as caretaker prime minister this year, is backed by pro-Western, reformist parties and has long expressed support for Ukraine. He signed a security cooperation agreement with Kyiv during his time as premier.

“我希望保加利亚在欧洲拥有自己的声音,成为一个可靠的北约盟友,通过备战、强有力的外交和明确的立场来捍卫自身利益,”他在周四的集会上表示。

“I want Bulgaria to have a voice of its own in Europe, a reliable NATO ally that defends its interests through preparedness, strong diplomacy and a clear position,” he said at a rally on Thursday.

2026年10月13日,在保加利亚比亚拉附近的“切尔西3号”(Chelsea 3)货轮遭到无人机袭击后,救援人员正在该船开展救援行动(保加利亚内政部通过美联社发布的资料照片)前副总统约托娃于今年1月出任代理总统,此前拉德夫辞职以参加议会选举,并在许多政治分析人士认为对克里姆林宫友好的纲领下赢得了大选。拉德夫支持约托娃,两人均呼吁通过外交途径结束这场战争。

A rescue operation is carried out at the ship Chelsea 3 near Byala, Bulgaria, on October 13, 2026, after it was hit by drones [Handout/Bulgarian Ministry of Interior via AP] Iotova, a former vice president, became acting president in January after Radev resigned to enter the parliamentary race, which he won on what many political analysts considered a Kremlin-friendly ticket. Radev supports Iotova, and they both have called for a diplomatic end to the war.

2026年10月13日,保加利亚比亚拉附近,“切尔西3号”(Chelsea 3)货轮遭无人机袭击后,救援人员正在该船附近开展救援行动 [Handout/Bulgarian Ministry of Interior via AP]A rescue operation is carried out at the ship Chelsea 3 near Byala, Bulgaria, on October 13, 2026, after it was hit by drones [Handout/Bulgarian Ministry of Interior via AP]

约托娃周四在一次集会上说:“我的对手主张必须进行一场消耗战。事实是,我们所有人才是最精疲力竭的人。”尽管保加利亚议会各党派对该国的亲西方道路有着广泛共识,但基于与俄罗斯的传统历史和文化纽带而广泛存在的亲俄情绪却令社会分裂,特别是自2002年莫斯科对乌克兰发动全面入侵以来更是如此。

“My opponents argue that there must be a war of attrition,” Iotova said at a rally on Thursday. “The truth is, we are all the ones who are most exhausted.”While there is a broad consensus among the parties in parliament on the country’s pro-Western path, widespread pro-Russian sentiments based on traditional historical and cultural ties with Russia have divided society, particularly since the start of Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

市场之链(Market Links)民调机构的董事总经理多布罗米尔·日夫科夫表示,约托娃属于主张保加利亚应采取更中立立场的人士之列。

Dobromir Zhivkov, managing director of the Market Links polling agency, said Iotova is among those who advocate that Bulgaria should take a more neutral position.

他过去一周对美联社表示:“他们呼吁停止对乌克兰的援助,并停止向乌克兰运送武器。我们经常听到他们使用克里姆林宫的修辞以及直接借用自克里姆林宫宣传的术语。”

“They call for an end to aid for Ukraine and a halt to arms deliveries to Ukraine. We often hear them use Kremlin rhetoric and terminology borrowed directly from Kremlin propaganda,” he told The Associated Press news agency this past week.

预计将进行第二轮投票 候选人们还在应对公众对能源价格飙升和通货膨胀加剧的担忧,许多农村地区的保加利亚人正艰难维持生计。

Run-off expected Candidates are also addressing public fears about the steep rise in energy prices and surging inflation as many Bulgarians in rural areas struggle to make ends meet.

阿尔法研究(Alpha Research)的民调显示,约托娃将赢得41%的选票,久罗夫将赢得28%的选票。

Polls by Alpha Research suggested Iotova would win 41 percent of the vote and Gyurov 28 percent.

投票于上午7点(格林尼治标准时间05:00)开始,投票站于晚上8点(格林尼治标准时间18:00)关闭。

Voting started at 7am (05:00 GMT), and polls close at 8pm (18:00 GMT).

不过,分析人士预计,27名候选人都无法获得在第一轮投票中取胜所需的绝对多数票。

Analysts expected none of the 27 candidates to secure the outright majority needed to win in the first round, however.

投票率还必须超过660万登记选民的50%,而周日的投票率预计将低于40%,这意味着很可能会在11月1日举行第二轮决胜投票。

Turnout must also be above 50 percent of the 6.6 million registered voters, and Sunday’s turnout is expected to be less than 40 percent, which means a likely run-off on November 1.

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