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中国威胁实施人工智能出口禁令后,又允许DeepSeek继续销售After threatening AI export bans, China allows DeepSeek to keep selling

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中国提议限制部分人工智能技术出口,但很快又转而允许部分优势企业继续向海外供货。北京的商务部于10月中旬通过修订《中国禁止出口限制出口技术目录》宣布了这些限制。限制规定意味着中国企业出口相关技术必须申请许可证。新增列入目录的项目包括“与大规模模型、智能体、算力集群、信息处理相关的23项技术”。

China has proposed to restrict export of some AI technologies but quickly moved to allow some of its champion companies to continue shipping their wares abroad. Beijing’s Ministry of Commerce announced the restrictions in mid-October by revising its Catalogue of Technologies Prohibited and Restricted from Export in China. The restrictions mean that Chinese companies must apply for a license to export their tech. New entrants on the list included “23 technologies related to large-scale models, intelligent agents, computing clusters, and information processing.”

采用开源许可证发布的技术可豁免限制。上周五,中国官方媒体报道,两家公司——其他报道称其为深度求索和MiniMax——获得授权可继续出口。这两家公司均是美国人工智能厂商的有力竞争对手,允许它们向海外销售产品符合中国打造出口产业、提升科技产业的目标。扩充后的目录还赋予北京权力,可叫停其认定为关键主权能力的人工智能技术出口,例如功能强大的漏洞挖掘工具或具有军事用途的技术。

Tech issued under open source licenses is exempt from the restrictions. Last Friday, Chinese state media reported that two companies – named elsewhere as DeepSeek and MiniMax – received authorization to continue exports. Both companies are credible challengers to American AI vendors, so letting them sell their wares abroad meets China’s goals of creating export industries and enhancing its tech sector. The expanded Catalogue also gives Beijing the ability to stop exports of any AI it feels represents important sovereign capacity, such as tools that are potent bug-finders or have military uses.

中国并非唯一限制人工智能技术出口的国家:美国曾多次实施、又多次暂停对华销售先进GPU的禁令。澳大利亚人工智能数据中心建设泡沫动摇如果人工智能数据中心建设泡沫破裂,澳大利亚近期发生的两起事件或可提供借鉴。第一起发生在10月9日,一家名为Firmus的公司取消了其首次公开募股(IPO)。Firmus已运营四座数据中心,两座位于澳大利亚,两座位于新加坡。

China is not alone in restricting exports of AI technology: the USA has imposed on-again, off-again, bans on sales of advanced GPUs to China. AI datacenter bubble wobbles in Australia If the AI datacenter building bubble bursts, two recent Australian incidents may prove instructive. The first took place on October 9, when a company called Firmus called off its initial public offering. Firmus already operates four datacenters, two in Australia and a pair in Singapore.

该公司计划再建设多座,并扩建现有的“比特大仓”。Meta已承诺向该公司投入超过7亿美元。私人投资者此前已向该公司投入超过20亿美元。此次上市本将成为澳大利亚20年来规模最大的IPO,拟募资约50亿美元,使Firmus估值超过400亿美元。

It plans several more, plus expansions of its existing bit barns. Meta has committed to spend over $700 million with the company. Private investors had already ploughed over $2 billion into the company. The float would have been Australia’s largest for 20 years and aimed to raise around $5 billion, giving Firmus a valuation over $40 billion.

在首次公开募股(IPO)前几天,投资者情绪突然转冷。据报道,有意向的买家要求 Firmus 将其股价(从而估值)降低约四分之一,因为他们担心该公司招股说明书中的营收预测过于乐观。雪上加霜的是,Firmus 的创始人之一因内幕交易罪名成立而服过刑。该公司最终取消了 IPO。

In the days before the float, investor sentiment suddenly soured. Would-be buyers reportedly asked Firmus to lower its share price and therefore valuation by perhaps a quarter, as they feared the company’s prospectus made very optimistic revenue predictions. Not helping matters was that one of Firmus’ founders did time after being convicted of insider trading. The company eventually cancelled its IPO.

另一起事件发生在周三,老牌数据中心运营商 NEXTDC 宣布[PDF]下调营收预期,原因是其选定的电力供应商因“社区和利益相关者的反对”而暂停施工。该反对意见涉及为 NEXTDC 计划扩建的一座现有数据中心引入电力所需的电线杆和电缆的安装。抗议者封锁了施工现场的通道,当地议会决定在社区磋商继续期间,不允许电力公司使用相关道路。

The other incident took place on Wednesday, when established datacenter operator NEXTDC announced [PDF] reduced revenue forecasts because its chosen power supplier suspended work “because of community and stakeholder opposition.”That opposition related to installation of poles and wires needed to bring juice to an existing datacenter NEXTDC intends to expand. Protestors have blocked access to the site, and the local council has decided not to allow the power company to use relevant roads while community consultation continues.

NEXTDC 曾设计其数据中心之一使其酷似肖恩·康纳利主演的电影《红色十月》中的布景,该公司大幅下调营收预期后,股价暴跌近 40%。公司告知投资者,至少要等到 2 月份其电力供应商才能复工。

NEXTDC, which readers may recall designed one of its datacenters to resemble sets from Sean Connery flick The Hunt For Red October, slashed its revenue forecast and then saw its share price slump almost 40 percent. The company told investors it will be at least February before its power supplier can resume work.

在澳大利亚,超大规模企业主要使用第三方数据中心。该国政府希望在 AI 热潮中分一杯羹,但也制定了规则,要求新建项目自带可再生能源供应,并承担任何电网增强费用。堪培拉希望这种做法能吸引足够的兴趣,使澳大利亚最终拥有本地 AI 算力,即使无法实现主权算力,至少也是本地化的。

Hyperscalers mostly use third party datacenters in Australia. The nation’s government wants to get a slice of the investment on offer during the AI boom but has also set rules requiring new builds to bring their own renewable energy supply and pay for any grid enhancement costs. Canberra hopes that approach attracts sufficient interest that Australia ends up with onshore AI capacity that, even if it won’t be sovereign, will at least be local.

新加坡 Grab 旗下的“超级应用”提供网约车、电商、金融服务等多项业务,该公司提出,其收集的购物数据有助于检测疾病爆发。

Grab suggests shopping data could detect disease Singapore-based Grab, whose “super-app” offers rideshare, e-commerce, financial services, and more, has suggested the data it collects could help to detect outbreaks of disease.

该公司在最近的一份摘要中写道:“零售购买可以补充临床监测,因为某些非处方药品需求的变化可能出现在确诊病例报告之前。”该摘要提出追踪“与症状相关的产品需求变化”的想法,例如退烧药或止咳药。该公司的想法是分析其GrabMart杂货应用上的客户行为,希望由此能在“与症状相关的产品群组需求发生变化时”提供“额外信号”。

“Retail purchases can supplement clinical surveillance because changes in demand for some over-the-counter products may appear before confirmed case reports,” the company wrote in a recent abstract, which raises the idea of tracking “changes in demand for products associated with symptoms, such as fever remedies or cough medicines.”The company’s idea is to analyze customer behavior on its GrabMart grocery app, in the hope that doing so yields “an additional signal when demand changes across groups of symptom-related products.”

Grab特别强调,它并不认为其数据能单独检测疾病,且尚未部署此类系统。该公司还主张使用尽可能小的数据集。“分析应仅使用符合资格的产品类别、粗略的地理区域以及为既定公共卫生目的批准的聚合时间窗口。不应暴露原始交易或个人身份信息,”该公司建议。Grab还表示,此类监测必须获得政府批准,针对特定健康问题,并限时进行。

Grab is at pains to point out that it does not believe its data can detect disease alone, and that it has not deployed such a system. The company also calls for use of the smallest possible datasets. “The analysis should use only eligible product categories, coarse geographic areas, and aggregate time windows approved for the stated public health purpose. It should not expose raw transactions or personally identifiable information,” the company suggested. Grab also says such monitoring must be government-approved, targeted to particular health concerns, and time-limited.

它也承认,这一想法是一个“想法气泡”,在部署前应由公共卫生专家评估。“这些应用应仅使用聚合趋势,”该公司建议。“该信号不应驱动个性化医疗建议、个人定向、保险决策或药品搜索排名的自动更改。”会出什么问题呢?韩国将加快智能眼镜隐私规则韩国科学部长官裴京勋承诺加快制定智能眼镜监管规则,以应对未经授权的拍摄以及这些设备在学术考试等其他场景中被滥用的潜在风险。

It also acknowledges that the idea is a thought bubble that public health experts should assess before deployment. “These applications should use aggregate trends only,” the company suggested. “The signal should not drive personalised medical advice, individual targeting, insurance decisions, or automatic changes to medicine search rankings.”What could possibly go wrong? South Korea to accelerate smart glasses privacy rules South Korea’s science minister Bae Kyung-hoon has promised to accelerate development of regulation governing smart glasses, to address unauthorized filming and the potential for the devices to be misused in other settings such as during academic exams.

裴在议会论坛上发言时表示,政府已在制定相关准则,但计划加快这一进程,并称总统李在明近日在内阁会议上提到了监管的必要性。这位部长补充说,相关准则将在“跨部门层面”制定,暗示这一努力将试图建立全面的监管规定。印度最大电信运营商IPO获大幅超额认购 Jio平台是印度最大的电信运营商,自2015年推出以来已赢得超过5亿用户,这得益于低价订阅和自有品牌手机,以及巧妙的内容捆绑。

Speaking at a parliamentary forum, Bae said the government is already working on guidelines but plans to accelerate that effort, and that president Lee Jae Myung recently mentioned the need for regulation during a cabinet meeting. The minister added that the guidelines will be developed at a “pan-ministerial level,” suggesting the effort will attempt to create comprehensive regulations. IPO for India’s top telco vastly oversubscribed Jio Platforms is India’s top telco, having won over half a billion customers since its 2015 launch, helped by low price subscriptions and own-brand handsets, plus clever content bundling.

该公司将于本周上市,出售约3%的股份,此次IPO很可能相当成功,因为投资者表示有意认购的股份数量是公司拟出售股份的22倍。机构投资者的超额认购倍数达到70倍。此次IPO对这家电信运营商的估值略高于1000亿美元,计划融资约30亿美元。®

The company will float this week by selling around a three percent stake in the company, and the IPO is likely to be rather successful as investors have expressed an interest to acquire 22 times more shares than the company will sell. Institutional investors are 70x oversubscribed. The IPO values the telco at just over $100 billion and aims to raise around $3 billion. ®

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