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美国国债收益率在美联储利率决议、PCE通胀数据及本周美国关键经济报告公布前持稳US Treasury yields hold steady ahead of fed rate decision, PCE inflation data and key US economic reports this week

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美国国债收益率周一基本持稳,投资者正为本周即将出炉的美联储利率决议及多份重要经济报告做准备。投资者关注这些更新,以判断美国利率和经济的走向。

US Treasury yields remained mostly steady on Monday as investors prepared for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and several important economic reports due this week. Investors are watching these updates to understand the direction of US interest rates and the economy.

10年期国债收益率小幅上行至4.99%。盘中上涨约1个基点。30年期国债收益率维持在5.31%不变,而2年期国债收益率上升2个基点至4.7%左右,CNBC报道称。其他美国国债收益率呈现涨跌互现其他国债收益率周一同样呈现涨跌互现。根据CNBC市场数据:1个月期国债收益率报3.992%,下跌0.01个百分点。1年期国债收益率升至4.432%,上涨0.021个百分点。6个月期国债收益率升至4.332%,上涨0.02个百分点。3个月期国债收益率维持在4.139%不变。

30年期国债收益率报5.31%,在市场数据表中下跌0.005个百分点。

The 10-year Treasury yield edged higher to 4.99%. It rose by around 1 basis point during the session. The 30-year Treasury yield remained unchanged at 5.31%, while the 2-year Treasury yield increased by 2 basis points to around 4.7%, CNBC reported. Other US Treasury yields show mixed movesOther Treasury yields also showed mixed movements on Monday. According to CNBC’s market data:The 1-month Treasury yield stood at 3.992%, down 0.01 percentage points. The 1-year Treasury yield rose to 4.432%, up 0.021 percentage points. The 6-month Treasury yield increased to 4.332%, up 0.02 percentage points. The 3-month Treasury yield remained unchanged at 4.139%.The 30-year Treasury yield stood at 5.31%, down 0.005 percentage points in the market data table.

Anthropic IPO申请:Claude制造商瞄准纳斯达克上市,代码ANT,正值AI市场动荡之际美联储利率决议成焦点投资者现将目光聚焦于周三的美联储利率决议。CNBC报道称,央行的决定是本周金融市场最大的事件,投资者寻找其后续利率步骤的线索。

Anthropic IPO filing: Claude maker targets Nasdaq listing under ticker ANT amid AI market jittersFed interest rate decision in focusInvestors are now focusing on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Wednesday. The central bank’s decision is the biggest event for financial markets this week, as investors look for clues about its next steps on interest rates, CNBC reported.

市场预期美联储将维持利率不变。根据CME“美联储观察”工具,交易员定价显示,决策者维持联邦基金利率目标区间在3.75%至4%不变的概率超过90%。Kevin Warsh讲话或提供线索投资者将密切关注决议后美联储主席Kevin Warsh的讲话。德意志银行分析师称,其言论可能比利率决议本身更受关注。

Markets expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged. Traders are pricing in a more than 90% chance that policymakers will maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.75% to 4%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Kevin Warsh comments may offer cluesInvestors will closely watch comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh after the decision. Deutsche Bank analysts said his remarks could attract more attention than the rate decision itself.

据德意志银行周一发布的一份报告称,投资者预计将关注美联储如何在依然居高不下的通胀与稳健的经济增长,以及更紧缩的金融环境之间取得平衡。通胀令美联储利率前景充满不确定性尽管美联储可能维持利率不变,但仍可能保持谨慎立场。德意志银行分析师表示,央行传递的整体信息很可能依然偏鹰派。这意味着,即使决策者本周决定不调整利率,他们仍可能发出信号,表明如果通胀持续高企,利率未来仍有可能进一步上调。

They expect investors to focus on how the Fed balances still-high inflation and solid economic growth against tighter financial conditions, according to a Deutsche Bank note published on Monday. Inflation keeps Fed rate outlook uncertainThe Fed could maintain a cautious stance despite holding rates steady. Deutsche Bank analysts said the central bank’s broader message is likely to remain hawkish. This means policymakers may signal that interest rates could rise further if inflation remains high, even if they decide not to change rates this week, the analysts said.

近期通胀数据可能支持进一步加息。德意志银行经济学家认为,最新的通胀数据增强了随着时间推移进一步收紧货币政策的理由。分析师称,美联储本周仍可能暂停加息,同时保留未来加息的可能性。

Recent inflation data could support further interest rate increases. Deutsche Bank economists believe the latest inflation figures strengthen the case for additional monetary tightening over time. The analysts said the Fed could still pause this week while keeping the possibility of future rate increases open.

比特币跌破8万美元,美联储会议、AI支出担忧及油价拖累加密货币市场沃什也有望阐述更紧缩金融条件的影响。德意志银行分析师表示,他可能会阐明,更紧缩的金融条件无法取代更高的官方利率。换言之,如果美联储认为有必要采取更多行动以控制通胀,仍可能需要上调政策利率。PCE通胀数据将于周四公布个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数是本周另一大关注焦点。

Bitcoin falls below $80,000 as Fed meeting, AI spending fears and oil prices weigh on crypto marketsWarsh is also expected to address the impact of tighter financial conditions. Deutsche Bank analysts said he is likely to clarify that tighter financial conditions cannot replace higher official interest rates. In other words, the Fed may still need to raise its policy rate if it believes more action is necessary to bring inflation under control.PCE inflation data due on ThursdayThe personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is another major focus this week.

这一通胀指标是美联储追踪物价上涨的首选衡量标准,定于周四发布。据CNBC报道,投资者将研究这些数据,以寻找通胀是否正在缓解、或仍令决策者担忧的线索。本周美国就业与经济数据就业和制造业相关数据也将影响市场情绪。每周ADP就业人数变动报告及9月耐用品订单定于周二公布。

The inflation gauge, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure for tracking price increases, is scheduled for release on Thursday. Investors will examine the figures for clues about whether inflation is easing or remains a concern for policymakers, CNBC reported.US jobs and economic data this weekEmployment and manufacturing-related data will also influence market sentiment. The weekly ADP Employment Change report and durable goods orders for September are scheduled for Tuesday.

这些报告将为投资者提供更多关于美国劳动力市场和耐用制造品需求的信息。投资者将在周四和周五获得更多劳动力市场信息。每周初请失业金人数将于周四公布,随后周五将发布更多就业数据。CNBC报道称,这些报告可能有助于投资者评估美国劳动力市场的强弱及其对美联储利率前景的可能影响。

These reports will give investors more information about the US labour market and demand for long-lasting manufactured goods. Investors will receive more labour market information on Thursday and Friday. Weekly initial jobless claims are due on Thursday, followed by additional employment data on Friday. These reports could help investors assess the strength of the US labour market and its possible impact on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook, CNBC reported.

美债收益率与债券价格走势相反。当债券价格上涨时,其收益率通常下降;当价格下跌时,收益率通常上升。一个基点等于0.01个百分点。这些指标有助于投资者追踪美国政府债券市场的日常波动。

Treasury yields and bond prices move in opposite directionsTreasury yields and bond prices move in opposite directions. When bond prices rise, their yields generally fall, and when prices decline, yields usually increase. One basis point equals 0.01 percentage points. These measures help investors track daily movements in the US government bond market.

总体而言,投资者正在等待关于通胀、经济增长和利率的更明确信号。CNBC报道称,美联储周三的决定,随后的PCE通胀报告和其他经济数据发布,可能会影响对未来政策举措的预期以及美债收益率的走向。

Overall, investors are waiting for clearer signals on inflation, economic growth and interest rates. The Fed’s Wednesday decision, followed by the PCE inflation report and other economic releases, could influence expectations for future policy moves and the direction of Treasury yields, CNBC reported.

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