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美国消费者新闻与商业频道

国债收益率小幅下跌,投资者减少对美联储加息的押注Treasury yields inch lower as investors pare back Fed rate hike bets

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美国国债收益率周一小幅下跌,此前一周曾大幅抛售,投资者期待美联储最新会议纪要。

U.S. Treasury yields inched lower on Monday after a sharp selloff the week prior, as investors look ahead to the minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting.

基准10年期国债收益率下跌超过1个基点至5.255%,30年期国债收益率也下跌1个基点至5.614%。2年期国债收益率下跌2个基点至4.797%。一个基点等于0.01%,收益率与价格走势相反。

The benchmark 10-year Treasury was down over one basis point to 5.255%, and the 30-year Treasury bond also declined one basis point to 5.614%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was 2 basis points lower at 4.797%. One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.

过去几周,投资者一直在应对债券市场的抛售,而周五疲软的月度就业报告帮助压低了收益率,并缓解了对再次加息的担忧。

Investors have grappled with a bond market selloff over the past few weeks, while a lackluster monthly jobs report on Friday helped to bring yields down and alleviated concerns about another rate hike.

根据芝加哥商品交易所集团的美联储观察工具,交易员目前预计美联储在下次会议上维持利率不变的可能性接近82%。

Traders are now pricing in a nearly 82% chance of the Fed keeping rates unchanged at its next meeting, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

在经济数据方面,供应管理协会的服务业活动报告将于周一发布,而投资者将关注周三公布的美联储9月会议纪要。

On the economic data front, the Institute for Supply Management's services activity report is due Monday, while investors will be looking ahead to the minutes from the central bank's September meeting on Wednesday.

德意志银行分析师在一份报告中表示:“高度不稳定的债券市场使得即将公布的美国数据和美联储沟通尤为重要。”“因此,会议纪要值得关注,以了解更广泛的委员会如何描述当前的紧缩周期,以及其对中性利率的讨论,9月经济预测摘要中的估计值有所上调。”

"The highly unsettled bond market makes the incoming US data and Fed communication particularly relevant," Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note. "So the minutes will be worth watching for how the broader Committee is framing the current tightening cycle and for its discussion of the neutral rate, where estimates shifted higher in the September SEP."