周四，美国国债收益率下跌，因为投资者转向更安全的投资。由于投资者抛售部分科技股并将资金转入美国国债，国债价格随之上涨。投资者也在等待更多经济数据，包括通胀数据，以了解美国经济的走向。美国10年期国债收益率跌破5.11%。这一基准10年期国债收益率下跌超过8个基点，至5.102%。30年期国债收益率也下跌超过8个基点，至5.439%。
US Treasury yields fell on Thursday as investors moved towards safer investments. Treasury prices rose as investors sold some technology stocks and moved their money into US government bonds. Investors were also waiting for more economic data, including inflation figures, to understand the direction of the US economy. The 10-year US Treasury yield dropped below 5.11%. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell by more than 8 basis points to 5.102%. The 30-year Treasury yield also declined by more than 8 basis points to 5.439%.
与此同时，2年期国债收益率下跌超过5个基点，至4.751%，据CNBC报道。今日美国国债收益率其他美国国债收益率也出现下跌。所提供的国债收益率表格中的最新数据显示，10年期收益率为5.089%，下降了0.101个百分点。1个月期国债收益率为3.99%，下降了0.003个百分点，而1年期收益率为4.482%，下降了0.017个百分点。
Meanwhile, the 2-year Treasury yield fell by more than 5 basis points to 4.751%, according to CNBC.US Treasury yields todayOther US Treasury yields also moved lower. The latest figures in the provided Treasury yield table showed the 10-year yield at 5.089%, down 0.101 percentage points. The 1-month Treasury yield stood at 3.99%, down 0.003 percentage points, while the 1-year yield was at 4.482%, down 0.017 percentage points.
在同一表格中，2年期国债收益率为4.766%，下降了0.036个百分点。30年期国债收益率为5.42%，下降了0.104个百分点，而6个月期收益率则降至4.369%，下降了0.006个百分点。然而，3个月期国债收益率走势相反，上升了0.005个百分点，达到4.20%，据CNBC报道。国债收益率和债券价格呈反向变动。这意味着当国债价格上涨时，其收益率通常会下降。
The 2-year Treasury yield stood at 4.766% in the same table. It was down 0.036 percentage points. The 30-year Treasury yield was at 5.42%, down 0.104 percentage points, while the 6-month yield fell to 4.369%, down 0.006 percentage points. However, the 3-month Treasury yield moved in the opposite direction, rising 0.005 percentage points to 4.20%, according to CNBC. Treasury yields and bond prices move in opposite directions. This means that when Treasury prices rise, their yields generally fall.
一个基点等于0.01个百分点。因此，8个基点的下降意味着收益率下降了0.08个百分点。2000年，标普500指数暴跌49%；如今，其84%的股价低于历史高点10%美国9月通胀率投资者正在评估周三发布的最新美国通胀报告。9月消费者价格指数（CPI）衡量美国整体经济中商品和服务价格的变化，其结果高于经济学家的预期。
One basis point equals 0.01 percentage points. Therefore, an 8-basis-point decline means a drop of 0.08 percentage points in the yield. In 2000, the S&P 500 crashed 49%; now, 84% of its stocks are 10% below their record highsUS inflation rate in SeptemberInvestors were assessing the latest US inflation report released on Wednesday. The September Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures changes in the prices of goods and services across the US economy, came in higher than economists had expected.
该报告由美国劳工统计局发布。9月份整体消费者价格上涨0.6%，过去一年上涨3.7%。道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预期月度通胀为0.6%，年度通胀为3.6%。这意味着月度通胀符合预期，但年度通胀高于预测，据CNBC报道。核心通胀也高于预期。核心CPI（剔除食品和能源价格，因为它们可能剧烈波动）在9月份上涨0.3%，一年内上涨2.6%。
The report was released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Overall consumer prices rose 0.6% in September and 3.7% over the past year. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had expected monthly inflation of 0.6% and annual inflation of 3.6%. This means monthly inflation matched expectations, but annual inflation was higher than forecast, according to CNBC. Core inflation also came in higher than expected. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices because they can change sharply, increased 0.3% in September and 2.6% over the year.
经济学家此前预期月度涨幅为0.2%，年度涨幅为2.5%。汽油价格上涨是9月份通胀上升的主要因素。该报告原本预计会显示较强的通胀，部分原因是能源价格大幅上涨。汽油价格上涨9.1%，占整体CPI上涨的一半。更广泛的能源指数也跳涨5.2%。值得关注的美国经济数据投资者正在等待周四晚些时候发布的更多美国经济报告。
Economists had expected increases of 0.2% monthly and 2.5% annually. Higher gasoline prices played a major role in September's inflation increase. The report was expected to show strong inflation partly because energy prices had risen sharply. Gasoline prices increased 9.1% and accounted for half of the rise in overall CPI. The broader energy index also jumped 5.2%.US economic data to watchInvestors were waiting for more US economic reports later on Thursday.
这些包括生产者价格指数（PPI）、9月份零售销售数据以及每周初次申请失业救济人数。PPI衡量生产者所获价格的变化，零售销售提供消费者支出信息，而初次申请失业救济人数则显示有多少人首次申请失业救济，据CNBC报道。CoreWeave股价暴跌15%，因AI放缓担忧和债务问题进一步下跌。CPI数据后美联储加息可能性通胀报告提高了人们对美联储下一次利率决策的关注。
These included the Producer Price Index (PPI), September retail sales figures and weekly initial jobless claims. PPI measures changes in prices received by producers, retail sales provide information about consumer spending, and initial jobless claims show how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time, according to CNBC. CoreWeave stock crashes 15%, falls further as AI slowdown fears and debt woes hitFed rate hike chances after CPI dataThe inflation report has increased attention on the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision.
央行下次政策会议仅两周后举行。高于预期的通胀引发了人们对美联储可能加息而非维持利率不变的担忧。CPI报告发布后，对美联储加息的预期急剧上升。德意志银行分析师表示，在通胀数据公布后，加息概率达到当日峰值58%。
The central bank's next policy meeting was only two weeks away. Higher-than-expected inflation raised concerns that the Fed might increase interest rates instead of keeping them unchanged. Expectations of a Fed rate hike rose sharply after the CPI report. Deutsche Bank analysts said the probability of a rate increase reached an intraday peak of 58% after the inflation figures were released.
他们补充说，正如CNBC所引用的，这一概率在大约半小时内一直保持在50%以上。然而，人们对人工智能的担忧以及信贷条件的收紧迅速削弱了这些预期。投资者也在权衡与人工智能相关的风险以及信贷的可获得性。这些担忧有助于扭转人们对美联储加息预期的急剧上升。交易员们正在将下次会议美联储加息的概率定价为31%。根据CME美联储观察工具，在通胀报告发布后，概率曾升至当日高点58%，随后降至31%。这表明交易员对美联储将在即将到来的会议上加息的信心有所下降。
They added that the probability remained above 50% for around half an hour, as quoted by CNBC. However, concerns about artificial intelligence and tighter credit conditions quickly reduced those expectations. Investors were also weighing risks linked to AI and the availability of credit. These concerns helped reverse the sharp increase in expectations for a Fed rate hike. Traders were pricing in a 31% chance of a Fed rate hike at the next meeting. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability had fallen to 31% after rising to an intraday peak of 58% following the inflation report. This showed that traders had become less convinced that the Fed would raise rates at its upcoming meeting.