
比尔·巴罗,索菲·贝茨 密西西比州科林斯 — 随着可能大幅改变华盛顿及全美各州权力版图的选举临近,总统唐纳德·特朗普周一前往密西西比州,继续其冲刺阶段的中期选举竞选攻势,凸显共和党面临的挑战。
BILL BARROW, SOPHIE BATES CORINTH, Miss. — President Donald Trump heads Monday to Mississippi, as he continues a closing midterm campaign blitz that highlights Republicans’ challenges ahead of an election that could drastically shift power in Washington and statehouses across the country.
密西西比州属于全美最可靠的共和党铁票仓之一,原本不在共和党设想的总统十月下旬造访名单之内。但共和党联邦参议员辛迪·海德-史密斯面临斯科特·科洛姆的强劲挑战,后者是众多民主党“弱势候选人”之一,这些候选人因选民对通胀、伊朗战争及特朗普第二任期其他方面的广泛不满,成功扩大了众参两院的竞争版图。
Mississippi, among the nation’s most reliably Republican states, is not where the GOP envisioned needing a late-October stop from the president. But GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith faces a stiff challenge from Scott Colom, one of many Democratic underdogs that have managed to expand the House and Senate battleground maps because of widespread voter discontent over inflation, the Iran war and other aspects of Trump’s second presidency.
海德-史密斯将于晚间举行集会拉开本周竞选序幕,本周特朗普将继续与他2017年首次接任的前总统贝拉克·奥巴马,以及他2024年击败、从而重返权力核心的前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯展开对决。特朗普的行程安排多为他在2024年大选中轻松拿下的州份。
The evening rally with Hyde-Smith will kick off a week that continues to pit Trump against former President Barack Obama , the Democrat he first succeeded in 2017, and former Vice President Kamala Harris , the Democrat he defeated in 2024 to return to power. Trump’s itinerary has been taking him to many states that he won comfortably in 2024.
其他重量级提名人及代理人也在争取选民支持 —— 已有近3000万选人投出选票 —— 共和党正全力捍卫其在众议院岌岌可危的微弱多数优势、巩固原本被认为稳操胜券的参议院多数席位,并维持共和党在全美州府的整体优势。
Other top nominees and surrogates are greeting voters — almost 30 million of whom have already cast ballots — as Republicans scramble to protect their threadbare majority in the House, shore up a Senate majority that was once thought secure and maintain the GOP’s national advantage in state capitals.
哈里斯将在威斯康星州助选,同台者为密尔沃基县行政长官大卫·克劳利,后者将与特朗普盟友、联邦众议员汤姆·蒂法尼角逐州长职位。若当选,克劳利将成为这个关键摇摆州历史上首位黑人州长。
Harris will campaign in Wisconsin with Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, who faces Rep. Tom Tiffany, a Trump ally, for governor. Crowley would be the state’s first Black governor if elected to lead the battleground state.
在佐治亚州,民主党联邦参议员乔恩·奥索夫和州长提名人凯莎·兰斯·博特姆斯获得肯塔基州州长安迪·贝希尔助选,后者身兼民主党州长协会主席,被视为2028年总统大选潜在候选人,此行距离特朗普十月内第二次造访该州仅两天。
In Georgia, Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff and gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms are getting an assist from Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, chairman of the Democratic Governors’ Association and a likely 2028 presidential candidate, two days after Trump made his second October visit to the state.
明尼苏达州将成为进步派运动利用许多美国人经济困境的中心。民主党参议员提名人、现任副州长佩吉·弗拉纳根(Peggy Flanagan)欢迎众议院进步派核心小组主席普拉米拉·贾亚帕尔(Pramila Jayapal,民主党-华盛顿州)前来为实现全民覆盖的全国健康保险计划进行宣传。
Minnesota will be a center of the progressive movement’s effort to leverage many Americans’ economic struggles. Democratic Senate nominee Peggy Flanagan, the current lieutenant governor, is welcoming House Progressive Caucus Chairwoman Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., to advocate for a national health insurance plan to achieve universal coverage.
众议院民主党人也在继续扩大其支出版图,众议院多数党政治行动委员会宣布在明尼苏达州和印第安纳州的选区新增近250万美元支出,这些选区在本周期早期曾被视为共和党的稳固领地。明尼苏达州该席位所在选区以农村和小城镇为主,数代以来一直可靠地支持共和党,除了一段时期由该州两届州长、民主党2024年副总统提名人蒂姆·沃尔兹(Tim Walz)代表这个辽阔的选区。
House Democrats also continue to expand their spending footprint, with the House Majority PAC announcing almost $2.5 million in new spending in Minnesota and Indiana districts that had been considered solid GOP territory earlier in the cycle. The Minnesota seat is a heavily rural and small-town district that has been reliably Republican for generations, other than a recent stretch when Tim Walz, the state’s two-term governor and Democrats’ 2024 vice presidential nominee, represented the sprawling district.
但在投票计数前仅剩一周竞选时间的情况下,或许是特朗普对密西西比州的访问,将中期选举格局勾勒得最为清晰。
But it’s Trump’s visit to Mississippi that perhaps brings the midterm landscape into the sharpest relief with just a week of campaigning left before votes are tallied.
诚然,正在争取第二个完整任期的海德-史密斯(Hyde-Smith)在一个特朗普三度获胜、平均领先近20个百分点的州里,依然是热门人选。
To be sure, Hyde-Smith, who is vying for her second full term, remains the favorite in a state Trump won three times by an average of nearly 20 percentage points.
但科隆(Colom)作为一名地方检察官,将成为内战后重建时期以来密西西比州首位黑人参议员,他正试图利用通胀、特朗普下滑的声望以及海德-史密斯的失误,制造一场冷门。
But Colom, a local prosecutor who would make history Mississippi’s first Black senator since post-Civil War Reconstruction, is looking to parlay inflation, Trump’s lagging popularity and Hyde-Smith’s mistakes into an upset.
科隆自去年启动竞选以来,在筹款方面已超越海德-史密斯,并因一则广告于本月引起全国关注。该广告针对海德-史密斯——这位前州农业专员——对牛肉价格上涨不以为意,而价格上涨是由特朗普的关税以及伊朗战争导致的燃料价格飙升推动的。广告中,海德-史密斯称消费者“还有许多其他蛋白质可供选择”,随后出现几个角色,最后是科隆,表示密西西比州应该“另选一位参议员”。
Colom has outpaced Hyde-Smith in fundraising since he launched his campaign last year, and he caught national attention this month with an ad that played off Hyde-Smith, a former state agriculture commissioner, dismissing beef prices, driven higher by Trump’s tariffs and fuel spikes resulting from the Iran war. The ad features Hyde-Smith saying that consumers “have so many other proteins to choose from,” followed by several characters, and then Colom, saying Mississippi should “pick another senator instead.”
科隆竞选团队随后发布了一段社交媒体视频,内容是由AI生成的海德-史密斯回避关于该争议及其他问题的提问。在密西西比州检察长表示该视频可能违反州法律——禁止在选举日前如此接近时间使用深度伪造技术——后,这位民主党人撤下了该视频。
Colom’s campaign followed with a social media video that featured an AI-generated Hyde-Smith dodging questions about that controversy and other issues. The Democrat took down the video after the Mississippi attorney general said it could violate state law barring the use of deepfakes so close to Election Day.
与此同时,参议院民主党人的超级政治行动委员会(超级竞选委员会)较晚介入这场竞选,投入了120万美元——与得克萨斯州或佐治亚州等人口大州的参议院竞选相比,这笔钱微不足道,但在密西西比州较小的电视媒体市场上,这笔资金能发挥更大作用。
Senate Democrats’ super PAC, meanwhile, has been a late entry in the contest , with a $1.2 million investment — a paltry sum compared to Senate contests in more populous states like Texas or Georgia but an amount that can go farther in Mississippi’s smaller television markets.
自1947年以来,密西西比州选民从未选出过新的民主党参议员,民主党上一次在该州赢得参议院选举,还是那位曾主张种族隔离的约翰·斯坦尼斯在1982年赢得最后一次连任时。
Mississippians have not chosen a new Democratic senator since 1947, and Democrats last won a Senate race there when that senator, the onetime segregationist John Stennis, won his last reelection in 1982.
共和党目前在参议院以53比47占据多数,这意味着民主党必须至少翻转四个席位才能改变控制权。共和党在本周期开始时在众议院以220比215占优,但全国性的选区划分斗争,使得根据2024年大选结果,原本由民主党把持的九个席位变得更有利于共和党。巴罗在亚特兰大发回报道。
Republicans currently hold a 53-47 Senate majority, meaning Democrats must flip at least four seats for a change in control. Republicans began the cycle with a 220-215 advantage in the House, but a national gerrymandering fight made nine Democrats-held seats friendlier to Republicans based on 2024 presidential outcomes in those districts. Barrow reported from Atlanta.