
如果在下一届以色列议会选举后组建政府的过程中,加迪·艾森科特成为首位正式就任以色列总理的人,该市场将结算为“是”。结果以以色列政府的信息为准。
This market will settle to Yes if Gadi Eizenkot is the first individual to formally assume the office of Prime Minister of Israel as part of government formation following the next Israeli Parliamentary election. Outcome sourced from the Government of Israel.
任何代理、临时或看守总理都不计入该市场的结算。如果下一届以色列议会选举举行,且在任何个人正式就任以色列总理之前又宣布举行新的选举,该市场将根据新选举后组建政府过程中首位就任该职位的人进行结算。
Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the settlement of this market. If the next Israeli parliamentary election takes place, and a new election is called prior to any individual formally assuming the office of Prime Minister of Israel, this market will settle based on the next individual to assume the office as part of government formation following the new election.
该市场让您就以色列下一届大选后的总理结果进行交易。价格反映市场对每种结果当前概率的估计。
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Prime Minister of Israel After the Next Election. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
价格随交易者买卖结果份额的供求关系而变动。60美分的价格意味着市场估计有60%的可能性。
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
该市场在结果根据上述结算规则正式确定后结算。获胜份额按1美元兑付。
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
可以。您可以在结算前的任何时间按当前市场价格卖出份额——您无需等待结果。
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
一旦市场结算,每份获胜份额按1美元兑付。您的利润是1美元与您每份支付价格之间的差额。赔率来自用真金白银押注自己观点的真实交易者,而非来自博彩公司。研究表明,预测市场是现有最准确的预测工具之一。
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.