
来自21个亚太经济体的财政部长近期在香港举行会议,这是该市首次主办此类会议。一个实际问题紧随其后。
Finance ministers from 21 Asia-Pacific economies recently met in Hong Kong, the first time the city has hosted them. A practical question sits one level down.
设想一家公司的资金团队在香港运营其区域业务。它以多种货币安排融资、跨市场付款并管理随之而来的风险。它的问题是:香港的服务如何能帮助它更高效、以更低成本运营?
Picture the treasury team of a company running its regional business from Hong Kong. It arranges funding in several currencies, pays across markets and manages the risks that follow. Its question is: how can Hong Kong’s services help it operate more efficiently and at lower cost?
这些需求是解读五年规划和行政长官施政报告的一个实用视角。规划确定方向;施政报告为之设定时间表。在我们与内地和香港智库的研究交流中,出现的都是同一类关切:不是更多产品,而是什么让产品好用——结算、期限融资和抵押品。规划提到的“一个有为政府、一个高效市场”,将市场建设定性为共同事业。
Those needs are a practical lens for reading the five-year plan and the chief executive’s policy address. The plan sets the direction; the address puts dates on it. In our research exchanges with think tanks on the mainland and in Hong Kong, the same concerns come up: not more products but what makes products usable – settlement, term funding and collateral. The plan’s mention of “a capable government working in tandem with an effective market” frames market development as a shared endeavour.
市场基础设施是第一条主线,而黄金是最清晰的案例。五年规划将黄金确定为商品交易生态系统的切入点。根据施政报告,香港的黄金中央结算系统计划于2027年第一季度推出。
Market infrastructure is the first strand, and gold is the clearest case. The five-year plan identifies gold as the entry point for a commodity trading ecosystem. Under the policy address, Hong Kong’s gold central clearing and settlement system is scheduled for launch in the first quarter of 2027.
新的人民币计价、实物交割黄金期货的细节将于今年公布。实物商品交易的半税率优惠正在落实,针对合资格生态系统活动的进一步优惠将于明年提交立法会咨询。保险公司对黄金仓储的承保意愿也预计会上升。
Details of the new yuan-denominated, physically settled gold futures are to be announced this year. A half-rate tax concession for physical commodity trading is being put in place, with further concessions for eligible ecosystem activities to go to the Legislative Council for consultation next year. Insurers’ underwriting appetite for gold storage is also expected to rise.
部分架构已初具雏形。上海黄金交易所于2025年6月在香港开设金库,结算系统于今年7月开始试运行。对黄金银行而言,这是一条从交易到交割的可见路径。
Some of this architecture is already taking shape. The Shanghai Gold Exchange opened a vault in Hong Kong in June 2025, and the clearing and settlement system began trial operation in July this year. For a bullion bank, that is a visible path from trade to delivery.
流动性是第二条主线,离岸人民币措施将其与商业用途相连接。《五年规划》要求在贸易、投资和融资领域更广泛地使用人民币。《施政报告》提出了一个框架,由印尼央行和中国人民银行共同推动离岸人民币与印尼盾的直接兑换和结算。印尼在亚太经合组织(APEC)论坛期间参与了磋商。将鼓励更多外资银行直接加入中国大陆的跨境银行间支付系统。这些举措拓宽了人民币支付渠道,减少了对第三方货币的依赖。
Liquidity is the second strand, and offshore yuan measures connect it to business use. The five-year plan calls for wider yuan use in trade, investment and financing. The policy address sets out a framework with Bank Indonesia and the People’s Bank of China for direct exchange and settlement between offshore yuan and Indonesian rupiah. Indonesia was at the table during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) forum. More foreign banks will be encouraged to join the mainland’s cross-border interbank payment system, directly. These widen yuan payment routes and reduce reliance on a third currency.
除了结算,企业还需要融资。只有当银行能够以相应期限筹资和定价时,才能提供期限贷款。《五年规划》要求加强离岸人民币流动性支持,银行已响应这一号召。人民币业务融资额度于2月增至2000亿元人民币(约300亿美元);7月进一步提升至5000亿元人民币,期限延长至三年。《施政报告》还计划推出短期离岸人民币工具,以助力收益率曲线建设。这为银行提供期限放贷创造了空间。
Beyond settlement, businesses need financing. A bank can only lend at term if it can fund and price at term. The five-year plan calls for stronger offshore yuan liquidity support, and banks have taken up that call. The RMB Business Facility was doubled to 200 billion yuan (US$30 billion) in February; in July it was raised to 500 billion yuan, with tenors out to three years. The policy address also plans short-term offshore yuan instruments to help develop the yield curve. That gives banks room to lend at term.
重点不仅在于资金池的规模;其用途及其为企业赋能的能力同样重要。这是财经事务及库务局局长许正宇和库务局本月提出的两大转变中的第一个:从追求规模转向提升功能。第二个转变是从“金融城市”迈向“金融赋能城市”。
The emphasis is not just on the size of the pool; its use and what it enables businesses to do also matter. That is the first of two shifts Secretary for Financial Services Christopher Hui Ching-yu and the Treasury set out this month: from pursuing scale to enhancing function. The second is moving from a financial city to a “finance-empowered city”.
这两大转变共同构成了这些措施背后的战略框架,也是这些措施作为一个体系而非简单清单推出的原因。对银行或企业财资部门而言,它们改变了关注重点。问题不在于资金池有多大,而在于当交易发生时,期限融资、对冲和结算功能是否到位。
Together, they are the strategic frame behind the measures and the reason the measures arrive as a set rather than a list. For a bank or a treasurer, they change what to watch. The issue is not how large the pool is but whether term funding, hedging and settlement are there when a transaction needs them.
第三条主线是需求:谁将投资,以及资产如何在投资之外发挥作用。《施政报告》提出,提高强积金基金投资合资格指数追踪型交易所买卖基金(ETF)的总投资上限,并推动内地保险资金通过互联互通机制投资香港ETF。这两项举措均拓宽了可投向香港资产的资金池。
The third strand is demand: who will invest, and how assets can be used beyond investment. The policy address proposes lifting the total investment limit on eligible index-tracking exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for MPF funds and promotes investment by mainland insurance funds in Hong Kong ETFs through mutual market access. Both widen the savings pools that can reach Hong Kong assets.
债券展示了资产更广泛的用途。《五年规划》提出更广泛地使用人民币债券作为抵押品。合资格“债券通”北向债券将自11月起获接受为香港交易所更多结算所的抵押品,而“债券通”南向债券拟用作回购交易的抵押品。这些用途让投资者持有债券的理由不再仅限于收益,还包括其所支持的融资功能。
Bonds illustrate broader asset use. The five-year plan calls for broader use of yuan bonds as collateral. Eligible Northbound Bond Connect bonds will be accepted as collateral at more HKEX clearing houses from November, while Southbound Bond Connect bonds are to be used as collateral for repo transactions. These uses give investors reasons to hold bonds for the financing they support, not just for their returns.
这三条主线相互强化。市场基础设施支撑业务活动;融资与支付安排使其得以融资与结算;投资者参与与抵押品用途维持市场所生产产品的需求。论点在于架构设计,而非措施清单。执行已启动。财经事务及库务局于7月宣布黄金系统试运行,早于定于2027年初正式推出的时间表。金管局因银行踊跃使用,已两度扩大该融资工具规模,抵押品规则将于11月扩展。
The three strands reinforce one another. Market infrastructure supports business activity; funding and payment arrangements let it be financed and settled; investor participation and collateral uses sustain demand for what the market produces. The argument is in the architecture, not the list of measures. Delivery has begun. The Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau announced the gold system’s trial run in July, ahead of the launch set for early 2027. The HKMA enlarged the facility twice as banks took it up, and the collateral rules widen from November.
五年规划无法替市场作商业决策。9月16日,行政长官李家超区分了具约束力的指标——“我们必须做的事”——与那些成败不单靠政府行动的指标:“不单靠政府”。
A five-year plan cannot make commercial decisions. On September 16, Chief Executive John Lee Ka-chiu distinguished binding indicators – “the things we must do” – from those whose achievement depends on more than government action: “it is not the government alone”.
《五年规划》与《施政报告》让机构对方向与时间表有了更清晰的认识,细致至黄金将在哪个季度于此结算。它们现可决定建设什么、在何处投入资本。亚太经合组织部长们已返国;各个组件仍在持续装配。规划勾勒了架构;市场将完成它。
The five-year plan and the policy address give institutions a clearer view of direction and timing, down to the quarter in which gold will clear here. They can now decide what to build and where to commit capital. The Apec ministers have gone home; the parts are still going in. The plan has drawn the architecture; the market completes it.