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特朗普称巴西选举看起来“被操纵”,败选的博索纳罗所在政党承认卢拉获胜Trump says Brazil election looked ‘rigged’, defeated Bolsonaro’s party recognises Lula win

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圣保罗——美国总统唐纳德·特朗普10月26日表示,左翼现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦在巴西总统选举中的意外获胜“看起来像是又一次被操纵的选举”,尽管落败的右翼候选人弗拉维奥·博索纳罗所属政党随后承认了选举结果。

SAO PAULO - United States President Donald Trump said on Oct 26 that leftist incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s surprise win in Brazil’s presidential vote “looked like another rigged election”, although the party of defeated right-winger Flavio Bolsonaro later acknowledged the result.

前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗之子弗拉维奥·博索纳罗拒绝承认在10月25日总统选举中落败,称在最高法院将投票时间延长两小时后,他将寻求撤销卢拉的胜利。

The son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, Flavio Bolsonaro has refused to concede defeat in the presidential election on Oct 25, saying he would seek the annulment of Lula’s victory after the Supreme Court extended voting by two hours.

然而,10月26日晚些时候,博索纳罗所属的自由党发表由党首瓦尔德马尔·科斯塔·内托签署的声明,表示承认第二轮投票结果。

Later on Oct 26, however, Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party said it acknowledged the runoff result in a statement signed by the party’s head Valdemar Costa Neto.

“我们承认总统选举结果,”科斯塔·内托说。“但我们认为,所提出的问题需要得到妥善澄清。”博索纳罗自其政党发表声明以来未公开置评,他在10月26日早些时候表示,在探望被软禁的父亲后,他将遵守联邦警察的命令交出护照,并否认自己计划逃离巴西。

“We recognise the presidential election results,” Costa Neto said. “But we believe the issues raised need to be properly clarified.”Bolsonaro, who has not commented publicly since his party’s statement, said earlier on Oct 26 he would comply with a federal police order to hand over his passports following a visit to his father, who is under house arrest, and denied he was planning to flee Brazil.

特朗普在投票前并未支持博索纳罗,尽管路透社曾报道称,其国务院官员主导了一场让博索纳罗家族重新掌权的行动。

Trump did not endorse Bolsonaro ahead of the vote, although Reuters has reported that officials from his State Department led a campaign to return the Bolsonaros to power.

“我没有选边站,但这看起来像是又一次被操纵的选举,”特朗普对记者说,但未提供任何证据。“在我看来非常糟糕。”博索纳罗以超过400万票的差距输给卢拉,这一明确结果使他难以推翻。根据Insper教授佩德罗·布尔戈斯对选举记录的分析,在最高法院下令延长的两小时投票中,投出的选票不到3.5万张,约占总票数的0.03%。

“I didn’t take sides, but it looked like another rigged election,” Trump told reporters, without providing any evidence. “It looked very bad to me.”Bolsonaro lost to Lula by over 4 million votes, a clear result that it will be challenging for him to overturn. Fewer than 35,000 votes, or some 0.03% of the total, were cast in the extra two hours of voting ordered by the Supreme Court, according to an analysis of electoral records by Insper professor Pedro Burgos.

“我只是觉得那次选举看起来非常糟糕,计票方式也是如此,”特朗普说。“给予的延期非常奇怪。”副总统热拉尔多·阿尔克明后来在接受Rede Vanguarda电视台采访时为巴西的选举制度进行了辩护,称特朗普的言论“完全错误”且“毫无根据”。

“I just think it had a very bad look, the election, the way it was tabulated,” Trump said. “The extension given was very strange.”Vice-President Geraldo Alckmin later defended Brazil’s electoral system, saying in a TV interview with Rede Vanguarda that Trump’s remarks were “totally wrong” and “unfounded”.

特朗普和雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗分别都没有接受2020年和2022年大选的失败结果。巴西前总统因在败给卢拉后密谋政变,被判处27年监禁。

Neither Trump nor Jair Bolsonaro accepted their election losses in 2020 and 2022, respectively. Brazil’s former president was handed a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup after losing to Lula.

分析人士预计,弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗无法像其父在2022年那样建立起同等规模的反民主运动。

Analysts do not expect Flavio Bolsonaro to be able to build the same anti-democratic movement as his father in 2022.

卢拉胜选引发市场动荡 世界各国领导人已广泛祝贺卢拉开启史无前例的第四个任期,但此前押注博尔索纳罗获胜的投资者对此感到沮丧。

Markets roiled by Lula win World leaders have already widely congratulated Lula on his unprecedented fourth mandate, which was greeted with dismay by investors who had been betting on a Bolsonaro win.

巴西雷亚尔兑美元暴跌8.1%,创下自2002年以来最大单日跌幅,股市也录得自2020年以来最陡峭的单日跌幅。

Brazil’s real fell 8.1% against the dollar in its biggest one-day drop since 2002, while the stock exchange marked its steepest one-day fall since 2020.

Pantheon Macroeconomics首席拉美经济学家安德烈斯·阿瓦迪亚表示:“随着与选举相关的头寸被平仓,最初的抛售潮可能会缓和,但在投资者看到令人信服的财政承诺之前,他们不会重新增加敞口。”

“The initial selloff could moderate as election-related positions are unwound, but investors will demand convincing fiscal commitments before rebuilding exposure,” said Pantheon Macroeconomics’ chief Latin America economist Andres Abadia.

卢拉的胜利打破了民调预测、历史惯例和全球反现任者情绪,为拉美地区一波右翼选举胜利的浪潮踩下了刹车。他在首轮投票中落后于博尔索纳罗,但成功说服选民在决选中为他投票。

Lula’s victory defied polls, precedent and global anti-incumbent sentiment to put the brakes on a wave of right-wing election victories across Latin America. He trailed Bolsonaro in the first round, but managed to convince voters to come out for him in the runoff.

民调机构称,高于预期的投票率和改进后的社交媒体竞选活动助推卢拉获胜。

Pollsters said a higher-than-expected turnout and an improved social media campaign helped power Lula to victory.

竞选期间,卢拉强调了其减少贫困和不平等的执政记录,同时也突出了创纪录的低失业率、低文盲率和低森林砍伐率,但他的第四个任务可能充满挑战。

During the campaign, Lula pointed to his track record of cutting poverty and inequality while also highlighting record-low unemployment, illiteracy and deforestation, but his fourth term may prove challenging.

在大选首轮投票中,保守派选民激增,将巴西立法机构进一步推向右翼,因此,他在一个充斥着博尔索纳罗盟友的国会中,将面临推行其议程的艰难斗争。

He will face an uphill battle for his agenda in a Congress packed with Bolsonaro allies after a surge of conservative voters in the first round of the general election pushed the Brazilian legislature further to the right.

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