今年第二次访问印度时，各大头条新闻都聚焦于他见了谁、去了哪里。
visited India for the second time this year, headlines concentrated on who he met and where he went.
卢比奥上周访问期间绕过了新德里，没有会见印度总理纳伦德拉·莫迪，而是前往金融之都孟买，会见了印度外长苏杰生（见上图与卢比奥合影）以及商界领袖，这一事实并未被忽视。他决定前往贾姆讷格尔——这座古吉拉特邦的小镇拥有信实工业公司庞大的炼油厂综合体——同样引起了注意。
The fact that Rubio bypassed New Delhi and did not meet the prime minister, Narendra Modi, during his trip last week, and instead traveled to the financial capital, Mumbai, where he met India's foreign minister, Subrahmanyam Jaishankar (pictured top with Rubio), and business leaders, did not go unnoticed. Nor did his decision to travel to Jamnagar, the small Gujarati town that is home to Reliance Industries' colossal oil refinery complex.
在第二届特朗普政府治下，两国双边关系面临压力，特别是在关税和印度购买俄罗斯石油问题上。然而，在卢比奥首次以国务卿身份访印仅仅五个月后，他再次返回印度，这表明对总统唐纳德·特朗普的雄心而言，这个国家毕竟依然有用。
Bilateral ties between the two countries have come under strain under the second Trump administration, particularly over tariffs and India's purchase of Russian oil. Yet, Rubio's return to India just five months after his first visit as secretary of state signals that the country remains useful for president Donald Trump's ambitions after all.
作为卡内基国际和平基金会南亚项目主任，米兰·韦什瑙夫花了一十年时间追踪印度在世界上的地位，特别是印度与美国的联系。
As director of the South Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Milan Vaishnav has spent a decade tracking India's place in the world, particularly its ties with the US.
韦什瑙夫将“特朗普2.0”形容为“不受束缚”，这标志着印美关系进入了一个新时代。
Vaishnav has described Trump 2.0 as "unbound" marking a new era in India-US relations.
他在接受我采访时表示，追踪外交事务现在犹如踏入雷区。从白宫对待全球同盟的交易型方法、中东持续不断的冲突，到世界各地意义重大的选举，政治变化的速度意味着所有的预测都已失效。韦什瑙夫说：“我认为，任何对你说他确切知道发生了什么以及这如何契合其完美的世界理论的人，都是在对你撒谎。”
Tracking foreign affairs, he told me, is a minefield right now. From the White House's transactional approach to global alliances, ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and consequential elections around the world, politics is changing at a pace that means all predictions are off the table. "I think anyone who tells you they know exactly what is going on and how it fits into their neat theory of the world is lying to you," says Vaishnav.
我向他询问了美印关系中许多令人困惑的方面，从充满敌意的政治言论到美国对巴基斯坦的拥抱，以及卢比奥的最新访问。
I asked him about the many confusing aspects of the US-India relationship, from the hostile political rhetoric to the US embrace of Pakistan, as well as Rubio's latest visit.
擅长达成协议的特朗普 在鲁比奥访问之前，几位评论员注意到了这位国务卿“不寻常”的行程。维什瑙认为，关于鲁比奥跳过德里去访问孟买和贾姆讷格尔的行前热议被夸大了。“并不是每次双边会晤都必须在国家首都举行，”他说。
Trump the deal-maker Ahead of Rubio's visit, several commentators noted the secretary of state's "unusual" itinerary Vaishnav thought the pre-visit chatter about Rubio skipping Delhi to visit Mumbai and Jamnagar was overblown. "Not every bilateral meeting has to take place in a national capital," he says.
但这并不意味着这不值得关注。“我确实认为地点的选择是有意的。本届政府、特别是这位总统，是通过‘交易促成’的视角来看待外交政策的。如果你试图促成商业交易，还有什么比孟买更好的访问地点呢？”他说。
But that doesn't mean it wasn't noteworthy. "I do think the choice of venues was intentional. This administration and, particularly, this president, sees foreign policy through the lens of 'deal-making'. And if you're trying to drum up business deals, what better place to visit than Mumbai?" he says.
对贾姆讷格尔的访问——鲁比奥在那里会见了信实工业董事长穆凯什·安巴尼——也暗示了某种政治手腕。“在美国汽油价格极高、且极有可能成为11月3日中期选举中的一个重大议题之际，政府希望表明它正在尽其所能将其压低。印度是石油消费大国，但它也是精炼石油产品的出口大国，”维什瑙说，“鲁比奥的目标之一是鼓励信实工业，进而鼓励印度加工更多的委内瑞拉原油，”他补充说。
The Jamnagar visit, where Rubio met Mukesh Ambani, the chair of Reliance, also indicates some politicking. "At a time when petrol prices are extremely high in the United States and are likely to be a major issue in the 3 November midterm elections, the administration wants to show that it is doing everything it can to bring them down. India is a major consumer of oil, but it is also a major exporter of refined petroleum products," says Vaishnav. "One of Rubio's objectives was to encourage Reliance and, by extension, India to process more Venezuelan crude [oil]," he added.
虽然这可能为印度推进双边关系提供机遇，但这并非板上钉钉：毕竟——委婉地说——这位美国总统依然反复无常。
While this could present an opportunity for India to advance relations, it's not a given: the US president remains, after all – and to put it lightly – mercurial.
“对我而言，最大的情节反转是特朗普政府在2025年5月与印度的冲突之后对巴基斯坦的拥抱，”维什瑙说。
"The biggest plot twist for me has been the Trump administration's embrace of Pakistan after the May 2025 conflict with India," says Vaishnav.
巴基斯坦在华盛顿的地位多年来一直在削弱，尤其是乔·拜登在任期间，他离任时甚至从未给巴基斯坦同行打过总统电话。“国会的许多官员已经对巴基斯坦的两面派作风感到精疲力竭，他们一方面使用伙伴关系的语言，另一方面却在暗中破坏美国的利益，”维什瑙说。
Pakistan's standing in Washington had eroded over the years, especially under Joe Biden, who left office without ever having made a presidential phone call to his counterpart in Pakistan. "Many officials in Congress had grown exhausted with Pakistan's double game, speaking the language of partnership on the one hand while undermining US interests on the other," says Vaishnav.
但在第二次上台后，特朗普感谢该国帮助抓捕一名与2021年阿富汗炸弹袭击有关的嫌疑人，该袭击导致13名美军阵亡。这一转折在巴基斯坦的命运中加速出现，源于5月与印度的冲突，特朗普将结束冲突的功劳归于自己。6月，他在阿西姆·穆尼尔巴基斯坦陆军参谋长致电白宫后，迎接穆尼尔到访白宫，穆尼尔曾呼吁将总统提名为诺贝尔和平奖得主。
But, after coming to power the second time, Trump thanked the country for its help in nabbing a suspect linked to a 2021 bombing in Afghanistan that killed 13 US service members. This reversal in Pakistan's fortunes gathered pace after the May conflict with India, which Trump took credit for ending. In June, he welcomed Asim Munir Pakistan's army chief, to the White House, after Munir called for the president to be nominated for the Nobel peace prize.
“我把这一逆转归结为几个因素：特朗普众所周知的强人情结、巴基斯坦的老练外交，以及涉及特朗普核心圈成员的能源和加密货币交易前景，”瓦伊什纳夫说。对他而言，这再次表明特朗普对交易、交易额和短期收益的重视程度。“对新德里而言，这意味着莫迪与特朗普的个人关系以及25年来对双边关系的投资，都不能保证美国政策不会出现180度的大幅转向，”他补充道。
"I chalk up the reversal to a few factors: Trump's well-known strongman envy, Pakistan's savvy diplomacy, and the prospect of energy and crypto deals involving members of Trump's inner circle," says Vaishnav. For him, it isyet another demonstration of how much weight Trump places on deals, transactions and short-term wins. "For New Delhi, this means Modi's personal rapport with Trump and 25 years of investment in the bilateral relationship offer no guarantee against a 180-degree reversal in US policy," he adds.
瓦伊什纳夫的同事萨米尔·拉尔瓦尼指出，美印关系仍比政治言辞所暗示的更具韧性，尽管进展低调，却仍在进行着战略性的推进。
recent piece Vaishnav's colleague Sameer Lalwani pointed out that the US relationship with India remains more resilient than the political rhetoric may suggest with quiet, but nonetheless strategic, progress being made.
正如拉尔瓦尼所指出的，2025年印美双边贸易创下历史最高纪录；美国科技公司已承诺在印度投入近680亿美元的人工智能基础设施投资；两国今年开展的联合军演次数也创下纪录。
As Lalwani points out, bilateral trade reached a record high between India and the US in 2025; nearly $68bn worth of AI infrastructure investment in India has been pledged by US technology companies; and the two countries have carried out record number of joint military exercises this year.
前路漫漫 尽管取得了这些胜利，但在未来双边关系方面，“至少有三个理由需要谨慎”，瓦什纳夫警告说。首先，他指出美国一系列损害印度利益的行动。特朗普曾在2025年对印度征收50%的惩罚性关税，今年早些时候降至18%，但双方并未达成全面贸易协议。其次，在移民问题上，白宫对H-1B签证和绿卡的限制对硅谷的印度裔工作者造成了不成比例的影响。
The way forward Despite these wins, in terms of future bilateral relations, "there are at least three reasons for caution," warns Vaishnav. First, he points to the onslaught of US actions that have dented Indian interests. Trump had imposed a punitive 50% tariff on India in 2025, which was reduced to 18% earlier this year, but without a comprehensive trade deal being reached. Second, on immigration, the White House's H-1B visa and green card restrictions have disproportionately affected Indian workers in Silicon Valley.
“这在印度方面造成了真实的信任赤字，而且有充分理由，”瓦什纳夫说。这种不满在本月早些时候显露无遗，当时新德里将美国副总统JD·万斯关于印度专业人士的言论称为“极具冒犯性”。此外，瓦什纳夫认为，尽管政府和私营企业可能非常擅长发布公告，但它们并不总能保证兑现。
"This has created a real trust deficit on the Indian side, and with good reason," says Vaishnav. The frustration was on display earlier this month, when New Delhi branded remarks made by the US vice-president, JD Vance, about Indian professionals as "deeply offensive" Furthermore, Vaishnav argues that while governments and private sector firms might be great at making announcements, they're not always a guarantee of delivery.
他的最后警示是政治紧张局势可能产生寒蝉效应。贸易谈判提供了一个典型例证：今年1月，美国商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克将未达成贸易协议归咎于莫迪未给特朗普打电话，新德里方面对此提出异议。瓦伊什纳夫表示：“我们看到的许多进展是多年前做出的决定的成果。维持现有项目运转是一回事，但关系中的动荡可能会让新举措更难推进。”
His final caution is how political tensions can have a chilling effect. The trade negotiations offer a telling example: in January, the US commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick blamed the lack of a trade deal on Modi's failure to phone Trump, a characterisation that New Delhi has disputed. Vaishnav says: "Much of the progress we are seeing is the product of decisions made years ago. It is one thing to keep existing projects moving, but turbulence in the relationship could make new initiatives a heavier lift."
如果印度认真想让成为全球强国的雄心变为现实，瓦伊什纳夫认为有一条明确的制胜之道。“我认为最重要的投资是政治层面的——确保印度保持一个强健、包容、参与式的民主政体，”他说。“在经济层面，印度已在物理和数字基础设施上进行了大规模新投资。但除非政府加倍推进改革：更高效的争端解决、公正的法律体系、公平的税收执法和监管确定性，否则这些投资的回报将受限。”
If India is serious about making its ambition to be a global powerhouse a reality, Vaishnav thinks there's a clearcut way to win. "I would argue that the most important investment is political – ensuring India remains a robust, inclusive, participatory democracy," he says. "On the economic front, India has made massive new investments in physical and digital infrastructure. But the returns on those investments will be limited unless the government doubles down on reforms: more efficient dispute resolution, an impartial legal system, even-handed tax enforcementand regulatory certainty."
归根结底，双方都无法承担将对方视为可牺牲的代价。现在的考验在于，在全球政治动荡之际，战略基石能否经受住考验。我们还在关注的其他内容学生抗议 | 德里顶尖艺术场馆之一的比卡内尔宫要求视觉艺术家拉伊汉·瓦德拉从其展览中移除70多张近期学生抗议的照片。作为国大党领导人普里扬卡·甘地之子，瓦德拉为其作品辩护，并拒绝了移除带有国旗图像的要求。该场馆在一份声明中称，某些照片与其政策“不一致”。
Ultimately, neither side can afford to treat the other as expendable. The test now is whether strategic foundations can hold at a time of global political upheaval. What else we're reading about Student protests | Bikaner House, one of Delhi's premier arts venues, asked visual artist Raihan Vadra to remove from his show more than 70 photographs that featured recent student protests. Vadra, the son of the Congress leader, Priyanka Gandhi, defended his work and also refused a request to remove images featuring the national flag. In a press statement, the venue said certain photos were "inconsistent" with its policy.
时尚 | 以极繁主义美学著称的设计师萨比亚萨奇·穆克吉在纽约大都会艺术博物馆举办了一场排灯节派对。去年9月，他与该博物馆合作，发布了一个受拜占庭风格启发的高级珠宝系列。
Fashion | Designer Sabyasachi Mukherjee, celebrated for his maximalist aesthetic, hosted a Diwali party at New York's Metropolitan Museum of Art In September, he unveiled a high-jewellery collection inspired by the Byzantine, in collaboration with the museum.
空气污染 | 随着空气质量在年度污染季开始时降至“差”的级别，德里已开始实施紧急措施，其中包括禁止餐馆使用燃煤泥炉以及对柴油发电机进行限制。
Air pollution | Emergency measures, including a ban on coal-fired tandoors in restaurants and restrictions on diesel generators, have come into effect in Delhi, as air quality dropped to the poor category at the onset of the annual pollution season. Guest shelf A recommendation from someone with great taste Film-maker Ritu Sarin, director of the annual Dharamshala international film festival
嘉宾书架 极具品味之人的推荐 每年10月29日至11月1日举办的达兰萨拉国际电影节（Dharamshala international film festival）的导演、电影制作人里图·萨林（Ritu Sarin）推荐了今年展映的一部电影：“安莫尔·西杜（Anmol Sidhu）的第二部长片《金合欢之花》（Flowers of Acacia）历时三年在真实地点拍摄，它以一种让所有巨大残酷与微小亲密感得以显现的目光，聚焦旁遮普邦（Punjab）农村的婚礼乐队舞者。西杜对这一媒介自信、娴熟的掌控力在那些令人毛骨悚然、将感官刺激推向极限的场景中展露无遗。镜头拒绝移开视线。”
which runs from 29 October to 1 November, suggests a film from this year's lineup: "Shot over three years on real locations, Anmol Sidhu's sophomore feature, Flowers of Acacia, follows wedding orchestra dancers in rural Punjab with a gaze that allows all the large brutalities and smaller intimacies to shine through. Sidhu's confident, consummate grasp of the medium is on full display in terrifying scenes that stretch to the edge of what is palatable.
值得关注的数字 一个值得了解的数字 7,633 据《印度快报》（Indian Express）报道，这是孟买市政当局今年在五个月内批准为开发工程砍伐的树木数量。其中，约有3500棵将被彻底砍伐，其余则将被移植到别处。
The camera refuses to look away." Count it A number worth knowing 7,633 That's the number of trees Mumbai's municipal authorities authorised to be felled over five months this year, to make way for development works, according to the Indian Express Of these, about 3,500 will be permanently removed, while the rest will be replanted elsewhere.
氛围审视 普尔特娜·辛格（Prarthna Singh）一直将女性身份置于其艺术实践的核心，记录印度女性在男性主导的空间中的渴望与反叛行为。当她受托拍摄由废旧衣物改造而成的rkivecity男装系列时，她将同样的目光转向了外部。拍摄地点位于拉贾斯坦邦阿杰梅尔（Ajmer）拥有151年历史且备受赞誉的梅奥男校（Mayo College）——辛格曾就读于与之关联的女校，并将其归功于塑造了自己的反叛精神。
Vibe check Prarthna Singh has consistently placed the female identity at the heart of her artistic practice, documenting Indian women's aspirations and acts of rebellion in male-dominated spaces. When commissioned to photograph rkivecity's menswear line made from discarded clothes reworked into new garments, she turned that same gaze outward. The setting was the acclaimed 151-year-old Mayo College boys' school in Ajmer, Rajasthan – Singh attended the linked girls' school, and credits it with shaping her rebellious spirit.
“我当时在想，如何能将寄宿学校生活中那种亲密感与袍泽之情带入这些影像中，因为这种情感是真实存在的，”她对我说。
"I was thinking about how I could bring a sense of intimacy and camaraderie of boarding-school life to the images, because that exists," she told me.
其中一张照片显示，一双手拿着另一个男孩的夹克，两人的脸都没有出现在画面中，于是这件衣服便成了他们之间那份熟悉感的象征。在学生走上街头争取自身权利的背景下观看这组作品，更赋予它持久的意义。辛格说：“这只是我展示这一切彼此相连的方式。这些世界并非各自独立存在。”
One image shows a pair of hands holding another boy's jacket, the faces left out of the frame, so the garment stands in for the familiarity they share. Seeing this work against the backdrop of students taking to the streets to fight for their rights lends the series a lasting significance. "This was just my way of showing all of this is connected. These worlds are not existing separately," said Singh.