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法希尔陷落一年:世界已经看得够多了One year after the fall of El-Fasher: The world has seen enough

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杜恩吉·德米尔塔斯博士是安卡拉政治、经济与社会研究基金会(SETA)的外交政策研究员。

Dr. Tunc Demirtas is a foreign policy researcher at the Ankara-based Foundation for Political, Economic and Social Research (SETA).

2026年春,一名38岁男子返回法希尔,从家中取回财物。国际特赦组织为保护其身份,化名其为哈提姆。哈提姆当时仍因下颌严重弹片伤未愈,被快速支援部队(RSF)武装分子拘留并带至一所学校。他回忆称,自己在那里被关押了约四个月,同押者约300人,多为女性。当他试图逃跑时,遭到殴打,殴打部位正是他原有的伤口。

In the spring of 2026, a 38-year-old man returned to El-Fasher to retrieve belongings from his home. Amnesty International refers to him as Hatim to protect his identity. Hatim was still suffering from a serious shrapnel wound to his jaw when fighters from the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) detained him and took him to a school. He recounts being held there for approximately four months alongside some 300 other people, most of whom were women. When he attempted to escape, he was beaten, with blows to his existing wounds.

本周标志着快速支援部队于2025年10月26日攻占北达尔富尔首府法希尔满一年,此前该城经历了长达18个月的围困。该城曾是苏丹军队在达尔富尔的最后一个主要据点。攻城后头几天发生的大屠杀引发了国际媒体的广泛关注。然而,哈提姆的经历仅代表随后十二个月里持续发生的暴力与虐待的一部分,这些暴行在很大程度上未受世界关注。

This week marks one year since the RSF captured El-Fasher, the capital of North Darfur, on Oct. 26, 2025, following an 18-month siege. The city had been the Sudanese army's last major stronghold in Darfur. The massacres committed in the first days after its fall attracted widespread international media attention. Yet Hatim's account represents just one part of the violence and abuses that continued over the following twelve months, largely beyond the world's attention.

关于法希尔暴行的证据迅速浮现。据联合国人权办公室称,城市陷落后前三天内至少有6000人被杀害。耶鲁大学人道主义研究实验室分析的卫星图像显示,陷落后最初24小时内,地面出现红色痕迹及与人体一致的物体。联合国安理会苏丹制裁委员会随后报告称,一名被称为“阿布·卢卢”的快速支援部队指挥官拍摄了自己杀害乞求饶命者的视频。

Evidence of the atrocities committed in El-Fasher emerged rapidly. According to the United Nations Human Rights Office, at least 6,000 people were killed in the first three days following the city's fall. Satellite imagery examined by Yale University's Humanitarian Research Lab revealed reddish marks on the ground and objects consistent with human bodies within the first 24 hours. The UN Security Council's Sudan Sanctions Committee subsequently reported that an RSF commander known as Abu Lulu had recorded footage of himself killing people as they pleaded for mercy.

2026年2月,联合国苏丹问题独立国际调查团得出结论,快速支援部队在法希尔的行动具有针对扎加瓦族和富尔族实施种族灭绝的特征,涉及构成种族灭绝罪的至少三项基础行为。

In February 2026, the UN Independent International Fact-Finding Mission for the Sudan concluded that the RSF's actions in El-Fasher bore the hallmarks of genocide against the Zaghawa and Fur communities, involving at least three of the underlying acts constituting the crime of genocide.

国际特赦组织2026年10月23日发布的报告显示了当地的现状。战前人口超过100万的城市,如今居住人口不足7万。今夏逃离该城市的人描述了任意拘留、酷刑和强迫劳动。一名于6月返回的居民告诉国际特赦组织:“我认识的法希尔已经不复存在。”快速支援部队坚称平民可以安全返回该城市。国际特赦组织的证据则表明情况并非如此。

Amnesty International's report of Oct. 23, 2026, shows what remains. Fewer than 70,000 people now live in a city whose population exceeded 1 million before the war. Those who fled the city this summer describe arbitrary detention, torture and forced labour. One resident who returned in June told Amnesty International, "The El-Fasher I knew is gone." The RSF maintains that civilians can safely return to the city. Amnesty International's evidence suggests otherwise.

心理学家保罗·斯洛维奇表明,人们会竭力拯救一个具体可识别的个体,但当同一个个体成为数千受害者中的一员时,人们就会变得麻木。庞大的数字往往无法激起人们预期中的情感共鸣。苏珊·桑塔格对苦难图像做出过类似观察。她认为,当人们相信那些事件与自己无关,且自己无能为力时,就会避而不看此类图像。

Psychologist Paul Slovic has shown that people will work hard to save a single identifiable individual, yet become desensitized when that same individual becomes one among thousands of victims. Large numbers often fail to generate the emotional response one might expect. Susan Sontag made a similar observation about images of suffering. She argued that people turn away from such images when they come to believe that the events have nothing to do with them and that there is nothing they can do.

将苏丹战争描绘成由单一恶棍造成的悲剧或许颇具诱惑力。然而,实地情况要复杂得多。联合国人权办公室记录显示,2026年10月前三周,归因于苏丹武装部队和快速支援部队的无人机袭击造成至少306人死亡。

It may also be tempting to portray Sudan's war as a tragedy caused by a single villain. However, the reality on the ground is considerably more complex. The UN Human Rights Office recorded at least 306 deaths from drone strikes attributed to both the Sudanese army and the RSF during the first three weeks of Oct. 2026.

实况调查团9月的报告认定,外国武器、无人机和人员扩大了双方的军事能力,报告还追踪了外部支持如何抵达法希尔。报告发现,从阿拉伯联合酋长国(阿联酋)境内运作或与其有关联的个人和实体在支持快速支援部队方面发挥了重要作用。货物和外国承包商经由索马里邦特兰的博萨索运输,阿联酋相关实体在那里设有一个军事基地,同时也经由利比亚的库夫拉和班加西以及乍得运输。

The Fact-Finding Mission's September report found that foreign weapons, drones and personnel had expanded the military capabilities of both sides, and it also traced how external support reached El-Fasher. It found that individuals and entities operating from or linked to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) played a significant role in supporting the RSF. Cargo and foreign contractors moved through Bosaso in Somalia's Puntland, where UAE-based entities maintained a military base, as well as through Kufra and Benghazi in Libya and Chad.

在利比亚接受训练的快速支援部队战士后来参与了对扎姆扎姆营地和法希尔的袭击,哥伦比亚承包商在该城陷落之前、期间和之后都出现在该城周边。阿联酋否认所有这些指控。

RSF fighters trained in Libya later took part in the attacks on Zamzam camp and El-Fasher, and Colombian contractors were present around the city before, during and after its fall. The UAE denies all these allegations.

经由乍得的路线并不新鲜。2024年1月,联合国制裁监督机构一份泄露的报告称,关于阿联酋通过乍得阿姆贾拉斯向快速支援部队提供军事支持的证据是可信的。阿联酋表示,其飞往那里的航班是向一所野战医院运送人道主义援助。

The route through Chad was not new. In January 2024, a leaked report by UN sanctions monitors described the evidence that the UAE was sending military support to the RSF through Amdjarass in Chad as credible. The UAE said its flights there carried humanitarian aid to a field hospital.

以色列也属于这一图景,尽管联合国并未将其列为供应方。2022年5月,《灯塔报道》和《国土报》的一项调查追踪到一架与一名前以色列情报官员的私营监控业务有关的飞机飞往喀土穆。消息人士告诉调查人员,该飞机为快速支援部队运送了监控技术。当快速支援部队在法希尔杀害平民时,以色列官方的阿拉伯语账号与阿联酋方面的声音一道,将苏丹军队比作穆斯林兄弟会和哈马斯。一场靠外部支持维持的战争,不会仅仅因为远方旁观者表达悲痛而结束。

Israel also belongs in this picture, although the UN has not named it as a supplier. In May 2022, an investigation by Lighthouse Reports and Haaretz traced a plane linked to the private surveillance business of a former Israeli intelligence officer to Khartoum. Sources told the investigators that it carried surveillance technology for the RSF. As the RSF killed civilians in El-Fasher, Israel's official Arabic-language account joined Emirati voices in likening the Sudanese army to the Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas. A war sustained by external support will not end simply because people watching from afar express their sorrow.

同情与声援只有转化为针对有能力采取行动者提出的具体、可实现的要求,才会产生结果。现有证据指向三个步骤。

Compassion and solidarity produce results only when they are translated into concrete, achievable demands directed at those capable of acting. The available evidence points to three steps.

第一,应当执行已经覆盖达尔富尔的武器禁运。至少上文所述的部分运输可以在禁运范围内被阻止,因为调查团追踪到外国承包商经南达尔富尔的尼亚拉机场进入苏丹。现行制裁措施将于12月11日到期。延长制裁应当让联合国专家小组有能力监控这些路线。

First, the arms embargo that already covers Darfur should be enforced. At least part of the traffic described above could be halted within its scope, since the Mission traced foreign contractors entering Sudan through Nyala Airport in South Darfur. The current sanctions measures are due to expire on Dec. 11. Their renewal should give the UN Panel of Experts the means to monitor these routes.

第二,供应武器和军事援助的网络必须面临切实后果。今年2月,联合国制裁委员会指认了四名快速支援部队指挥官,理由与在法希尔犯下的暴行有关,其中包括快速支援部队领导人的兄弟。只要维持这些指挥官的补给路线仍然畅通,对前线指挥官的制裁影响将十分有限。实况调查团确认,埃塞俄比亚、利比亚、索马里和南苏丹等国未回应其索取信息的请求。这些国家应当作出回应。

Second, the networks supplying weapons and military assistance must face tangible consequences. In February, the UN Sanctions Committee designated four RSF commanders in connection with the atrocities committed in El-Fasher, including the brother of the RSF leader. Sanctions on commanders in the field will have limited impact as long as the supply routes sustaining them remain open. The Fact-Finding Mission identified Ethiopia, Libya, Somalia and South Sudan among the countries that had not responded to its requests for information. These countries should respond.

第三,必须采取可见且具体的步骤推进问责。根据联合国安理会2005年的移交,国际刑事法院对在达尔富尔犯下的罪行拥有管辖权。2026年1月,该法院副检察官告知安理会,其办公室已认定在法希尔发生了战争罪和危害人类罪。据《中东之眼》报道,自2023年4月以来,检方未就达尔富尔犯下的罪行提交过任何一份逮捕令申请。检察官办公室表示,此类申请处于保密状态。对幸存者而言,秘密进行的司法无法让人看到进展。

Third, there must be a visible and concrete step towards accountability. The International Criminal Court (ICC) has jurisdiction over crimes committed in Darfur under the UN Security Council's 2005 referral. In January 2026, the Court's Deputy Prosecutor informed the Security Council that her office had concluded that war crimes and crimes against humanity had been committed in El-Fasher. According to Middle East Eye, the prosecution has not filed a single application for an arrest warrant concerning crimes committed in Darfur since April 2023. The Office of the Prosecutor says such applications are kept under seal. For survivors, justice that proceeds in secret cannot be seen to progress.

远离苏丹的人们也可以采取一项实际步骤。他们可以询问本国政府在这三项要求上的立场。下一次考验已经显而易见。自6月以来,联合国官员一直警告,拥有约50万人口的欧拜伊德市可能面临与法希尔相同的命运。

People living far from Sudan can also take one practical step. They can ask their own governments where they stand on these three demands. The next test is already clear. Since June, UN officials have warned that El-Obeid, a city of approximately half a million people, could face the same fate as El-Fasher.

哈蒂姆活了下来。要让法希尔陷落一周年真正具有意义,他的证词就必须被视为要求追究责任的证据。

Hatim survived. For the first anniversary of El-Fasher's fall to carry real meaning, his testimony must be treated as evidence that demands accountability.

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