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星链边缘政策迫使盟友重新思考对美依赖Starlink Brinkmanship Is Driving Allies to Rethink US Reliance

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欧洲官员在近期围绕乌克兰“星链”限制的相互指责后,加强了关于如何减少对美国及美国国防承包商依赖的讨论,知情人士透露了这一情况。

European officials have intensified discussions about ways to reduce their reliance on the US and American defense contractors following the recent blame game around Ukraine’s Starlink restrictions, according to people familiar with the matter.

在关于“星链”在乌克兰速度变化的数日互相指责后,埃隆·马斯克在X平台发帖称,公司采取行动是因为乌克兰违反公司规定,利用“星链”进行进攻性无人机打击。

After days of finger-pointing about changes to Starlink’s speed in Ukraine, Elon Musk said in a post on X that the company had acted after Ukraine violated the company’s rules by using Starlink for offensive drone strikes.

9月29日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普与埃隆·马斯克在华盛顿白宫向媒体记者发表讲话。US President Donald Trump and Elon Musk speak to members of the media at the White House in Washington, on Sept. 29.

马斯克表示:“那个漏洞已被堵上。”这进一步令欧洲和北约官员感到不安。

“That loophole was closed,” Musk said, further alarming officials in Europe and the NATO.

知情人士称,“星链”争议导致乌克兰总统泽连斯基与美国总统特朗普出现新的公开裂痕,成为10月中旬欧盟领导人峰会的主要议题之一。

The Starlink controversy, which led to a new public rift between Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelenskyy and President Donald Trump, was a major topic at the last European Union leaders summit in mid-October, according to people familiar with the matter.

知情人士表示,这激发了欧洲内部关于必要性的讨论:提升本土能力、削减对美国的依赖,并减少对任何单一关键技术供应商的依赖。这些人因未获授权公开发言而拒绝透露姓名。这包括可能依赖现有的政府自有通信系统,直到安全的欧洲卫星网络在几年内上线。

It has spurred discussions within Europe about the need to ramp up domestic capabilities, cut dependency on the US and reduce reliance on any single provider of critical technologies, the people said, declining to be named because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly. That includes possibly relying on existing government-owned communications systems until a secure European satellite network comes online in a couple of years.

然而官员们承认,鉴于他们对美国此类技术的深度依赖,任何此类转变都将需要数年时间。知情人士称,最现实的路径是在现有架构内强化欧洲的作用,包括北大西洋公约组织。

Yet any such shift will take years, officials acknowledged, given their deep reliance on the US for such technology. The most realistic path, the people said, is to strengthen Europe’s role within existing structures, including the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

副总统万斯利用“星链”事件批评欧洲对美国的依赖,并暗示这场纠葛更多是政治和战略层面的。

Vice President JD Vance used the Starlink incident to criticize Europe for its reliance on the US and suggested the feud was more political and strategic.

他上周对记者说:“我不认为这是关于埃隆的事,我认为这根本上关乎美国在乌克兰和俄罗斯问题上的政策将是什么。”

“I don’t think this is about Elon, I think it’s fundamentally what is America’s policy in Ukraine and Russia going to be,” he told reporters last week.

“欧洲国家依赖美国的技术、美国的企业和美国的军队,与此同时,欧洲政治领导人却热衷于抨击美国,”他补充道。

“European countries depend on American technology, American businesses and the American military, while at the same time European political leaders love to bash the United States,” he added.

全球洞察:星链回归——乌克兰的信任未恢复 此前,泽连斯基已指责美国延迟向基辅运送“爱国者”防空拦截弹,而其他美国武器系统向欧洲的交付滞后,包括高机动性火箭炮系统(HIMARS)发射器,这加剧了人们对华盛顿可靠性的更广泛担忧,上述人士之一表示。五角大楼未回应置评请求。

GLOBAL INSIGHT: Starlink Is Back — Ukraine’s Trust Isn’t While Zelenskyy had already accused the US of delaying shipments of Patriot air defense interceptors to Kyiv, broader concerns about Washington’s reliability were heightened by lagging deliveries of other US weapons systems to Europe, including High Mobility Artillery Rocket System or HIMARS launchers, one of the people said. The Pentagon didn’t respond to requests for comment.

星链降速的发生,恰逢乌克兰官员怀疑美国正在限制情报共享,而这种共享曾为基辅提供关于即将到来的俄罗斯袭击的关键预警,导致一些弹丸在毫无预警的情况下击中乌克兰。

The Starlink speed reductions also came at the same time as Ukrainian officials suspected the US was restricting intelligence sharing that gave Kyiv crucial alerts about impending Russian attacks, allowing some projectiles to strike Ukraine without warning.

欧盟发言人在一份声明中表示,美国国防部在情报共享或其他与乌克兰相关的能力方面的政策没有发生变化。

A European Union spokesperson said in a statement that there has been no change in the US Defense Department’s policy regarding intelligence sharing or other Ukraine-related capabilities.

限制和延迟的时机——加上特朗普的柴油协议和对俄罗斯的制裁豁免——助长了这样的担忧:美国试图施压乌克兰与俄罗斯总统普京达成协议。特朗普和马斯克均呼吁泽连斯基下台。

The timing of the restrictions and delays — combined with Trump’s diesel agreement and sanctions waiver for Russia — fueled concerns that the US was trying to pressure Ukraine to make a deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Trump and Musk have both called for Zelenskyy to step down.

总统和其他内阁官员为助推共和党人在中期选举中获胜,将柴油价格高企归咎于乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂的远程打击,而非美国在伊朗的战争。

The president and other Cabinet officials, in an effort to help boost Republicans in the midterm elections, have blamed high diesel prices on long-distance Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, rather than the US war in Iran.

10月18日,乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基在基辅的办公室接受采访。Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Ukraine’s president, during an interview at his office in Kyiv, on Oct. 18.

加拿大总理马克·卡尼——他在与特朗普政府的持续争端中致力于提振国内国防企业的投资——周五表示,星链事件凸显了实现国防供应商多元化的必要性。

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney — who has moved to boost investment in domestic defense firms amid a running dispute with the Trump administration — said on Friday the Starlink incident underscored the need to diversify defense suppliers.

“作为加拿大人,我们不希望陷入依赖单一供应商的境地,而该供应商可能会改变立场,或被某个民族国家强迫改变立场,”卡尼说。他补充道:“我们的起点是高度、高度依赖某些国家的某些系统。”

“We as Canadians do not want to be caught in a situation where we are reliant on one provider that may change their view, or may be forced to change their view by one nation state,” Carney said. He added “we’re starting from a position where we’re highly, highly reliant on certain systems in certain countries.”

与此同时,在欧洲,芬兰总统斯图布和挪威首相斯特勒与普京通话,讨论乌克兰和平协议的前景。斯图布和斯特勒发起了周二进行的通话,并与乌克兰进行了磋商,这是重启谈判努力的一部分。

In Europe, meanwhile, Finland’s President Alexander Stubb and Norway’s Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre spoke with Putin to discuss the prospects for a peace deal in Ukraine. Stubb and Støre initiated the call that took place on Tuesday, in consultation with Ukraine, as part of a renewed effort get negotiations back on track.

乌克兰军队严重依赖“星链”来保卫城市免受俄军先进导弹袭击,并曾利用它支持从普京部队手中夺回领土的行动。当部分俄军导弹在未被探测到的情况下击中目标时,限速措施正在实施中,当时俄罗斯正在轰炸民用能源基础设施。

The Ukrainian military relies heavily on Starlink to defend its cities from advanced Russian missiles, and has also used it to support operations to reclaim territory from Putin’s forces. The slowdown was in place when some Russian missiles made it through to their targets without being detected, amid Russia’s bombardment of civilian energy infrastructure.

关于谁最初下令限制卫星互联网速度存在困惑:泽连斯基指责特朗普和马斯克,特朗普和国防部长赫格塞斯称他们没有下令,马斯克则表示只有美国政府可以限制他国对其军用“星盾”服务的使用。数天后,马斯克暗示这与合同纠纷有关。

There was confusion over who originally ordered the satellite internet speed restrictions, with Zelenskyy blaming Trump and Musk, Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth saying they didn’t order it, and Musk saying only the US government can limit another country’s use of its military Starshield service. Days later, Musk suggested it was related to a contract dispute.

马斯克在他拥有的社交媒体网站X上写道:“使用星链这一民用商业服务进行进攻性无人机打击以杀人,从来都是不被允许的,也不应该被允许。星盾是另一个系统,由美国政府控制。他们决定做什么取决于他们。乌克兰军方违反了星链的服务条款,将其用于进攻性无人机打击以杀人。”10月16日,泽连斯基在X上证实,星链被用于在目前由俄罗斯军队控制的乌克兰部分地区进行“对敌方军事目标的中程打击”。

“Using Starlink, a civilian commercial service, for offensive drone strikes to kill people has never been allowed, nor should it be,” Musk wrote on X, the social media site he owns. “Starshield, a different system, is controlled by the US government. What they decide to do is up to them. Ukraine military violated Starlink terms of service and used it for offensive drone strikes to kill people.”On Oct. 16, Zelenskyy confirmed on X that Starlink is used for “mid-range strikes against enemy military targets” in parts of Ukraine that are currently controlled by Russian forces.

周日,马斯克发布了泽连斯基此前帖子的照片,作为乌克兰军方违反星链服务条款、利用这一商业技术进行进攻性打击的证据。

On Sunday, Musk posted a photo of Zelenskyy’s previous post as evidence that Ukraine’s military violated its Starlink terms of service by using the commercial technology to conduct offensive strikes.

一位知情人士表示,波兰正通过每年11月或12月前后续签的年度合同为乌克兰的星链付费。

Poland is paying for Ukraine’s Starlink in annual contracts that renew around November or December, a person familiar with the matter said.

自俄罗斯于2022年首次入侵乌克兰以来,SpaceX高管一直对乌克兰利用星链获取进攻能力表示担忧。2023年,SpaceX总裁格温·肖特韦尔表示,该公司已限制星链在乌克兰无人机上的使用,并称这项技术“从来就不打算被武器化”。2022年,马斯克本人拒绝了在俄罗斯占领的某些乌克兰领土上激活星链的请求,据报道还在另一起事件中下令关闭该服务。

Since Russia first invaded Ukraine in 2022, SpaceX executives have raised concerns about the country’s use of Starlink for offensive capabilities. In 2023, SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell said the company had limited the use of Starlink on Ukrainian drones and that the technology “was never meant to be weaponized.”In 2022, Musk himself denied a request to activate Starlink in certain Russian-occupied Ukrainian territories, and reportedly ordered a shutdown of the service in another instance.

然而,乌克兰国防部前顾问谢尔希·斯特年科在一篇帖子中写道,基辅因将星链用于无人机而违反其服务条款的说法“不属实”。他说,任何“在移动中”的卫星终端都“被加入了一份特殊名单,并连接到军事星盾”服务。

However, Serhii Sternenko, a former adviser to Ukraine’s defense ministry, wrote in a post that that it “is not true” that Kyiv violated Starlink’s terms of service by using it for drones. He said that any satellite terminal “on the move” was “added to a special list and connected to the military Starshield” service.

斯特尔年科写道:“换句话说,使用民用星链执行无人机任务在技术上是不可行的。所有需要卫星通信的无人机任务只能借助星盾来完成。”“我们非常感谢美国和SpaceX提供至关重要的卫星通信接入。乌克兰没有违反使用条款。”

“In other words, using civilian Starlink for drone missions was technically impossible. All drone missions that required satellite communication could only be carried out using Starshield,” Sternenko wrote. “We are very grateful to the United States and SpaceX for access to critically important satellite communications. Ukraine did not violate the terms of use.”

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