
阿联酋在今年1月因与沙特阿拉伯出现裂痕而退出也门境内军事行动后,是否已悄然回归?据调查新闻机构Drop Site报道,阿联酋一直在秘密向伊朗支持的胡塞武装提供情报和目标协助,以助其对抗沙特支持的也门境内武装力量。不过,这种对胡塞武装的援助仅限于在也门境内共享情报,并不涉及沙特阿拉伯境内,后者一直面临导弹和无人机攻击的轰炸。
After quitting operations inside Yemen amid a rift with Saudi Arabia this January, has the UAE made a quiet comeback? The UAE has been secretly providing intelligence and targeting assistance to Iran-backed Houthis in its conflict against Saudi-backed forces inside Yemen, according to a report by investigative news outlet Drop Site. However, the assistance to the Houthis is limited to sharing intel in Yemen and not inside Saudi Arabia, which has been facing a barrage of missile and drone attacks.
如果属实,这一局势堪称非同寻常。阿联酋与胡塞武装在意识形态上是对立的。阿联酋与以色列和美国结盟,而胡塞武装则得到伊朗支持。然而,在也门,双方的利益出现了重叠。阿联酋今年早些时候在也门被边缘化,很可能正试图重新获得战略立足点。居民在也门塞伊纳导弹袭击后的家园废墟中行走阿联酋与沙特阿拉伯为何在也门对立?
The situation, if true, is nothing less than extraordinary. The UAE and the Houthis are ideological opponents. While the UAE is aligned with Israel and the US, the Houthis are backed by Iran. However, in Yemen, their interests overlap. The UAE, which was sidelined in Yemen earlier this year, is likely trying to regain a strategic foothold. Residents walk amid debris from their homes after a missile strike in Seina, YemenWHY UAE AND SAUDI ARABIA ARE AT ODDS IN YEMEN?
让我们回顾一下记忆。2015年,胡塞武装夺取萨那并向南扩张后,阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯介入也门。它们是支持国际公认的也门政府的联盟成员。
Let's jog our memory a bit. The UAE and Saudi Arabia intervened in Yemen in 2015 after the Houthis seized Sanaa and were expanding southwards. They were part of a coalition supporting the internationally recognised Yemeni government.
尽管共同反对胡塞武装,但这两个海湾大国支持不同的也门派系。这种裂痕不仅削弱了对抗胡塞武装的努力,在过去十年里还多次演变为直接的内讧。
Despite their shared opposition to the Houthis, the two Gulf powers backed different Yemeni factions. This rift not only weakened efforts against the Houthis but, on several occasions, also erupted into direct infighting over the past decade.
事态在去年12月达到顶点,当时沙特阿拉伯指责阿布扎比支持也门分离主义势力。随后,也门政府也要求阿联酋从该国撤军——这一呼吁得到了沙特阿拉伯的支持。
Matters came to a head last year in December after Saudi Arabia accused Abu Dhabi of supporting separatists in Yemen. Subsequently, the Yemeni government also demanded that the UAE pull its forces from the country - a call that was backed by Saudi Arabia.
1月,阿联酋宣布从也门撤军。如今,有关阿联酋在与沙特阿拉伯出现裂痕之际悄悄协助胡塞武装的报道,指向阿布扎比试图默许控制也门战略要地。
In January, the UAE announced the withdrawal of its forces from Yemen. Now, reports of the UAE quietly assisting the Houthis amid a rift with Saudi Arabia point to Abu Dhabi's tacit bid to control strategically important areas in Yemen.
不过,该报道描绘了关于援助方式的两种不同版本。一名效忠于也门国际公认政府的前线战士阿联酋如何在也门协助胡塞武装?
The report, however, paints two differing versions of how the assistance is being provided.A fighter loyal to Yemen's internationally-recognised government on the frontlinesHOW IS UAE ASSISTING HOUTHIS IN YEMEN?
四名消息人士向Drop Site透露,阿联酋结盟的也门武装力量正在帮助胡塞武装打击沙特支持的政府军。另一方面,另外两名消息人士则声称,阿联酋本身直接与胡塞武装共享情报,以帮助他们打击也门境内的对手。
Four sources told Drop Site that UAE-aligned Yemeni forces were helping the Houthis target Saudi-backed government forces. On the other hand, two other sources claimed the UAE itself directly shared intelligence with the Houthis to help them target opponents inside Yemen.
尽管如此,这表明阿联酋与胡塞武装之间的秘密渠道依然畅通。一名也门消息人士告诉该媒体,阿联酋向萨那的胡塞当局传递了“大量情报”。
Nevertheless, it suggests that backchannels between the UAE and the Houthis remain open. A Yemeni source told the outlet that the UAE passed a "significant amount of intelligence" to Houthi authorities in Sanaa.
阿联酋拥有先进的情报收集能力。其名为“渡鸦”的秘密监视项目早在2009年就已建立,据称被用于监控武装分子、人权活动人士和批评者。路透社的一项调查发现,包括前美国国家安全局(NSA)雇员在内的前美国情报人员曾培训阿联酋人员。
The UAE has advanced intelligence gathering capabilities. Its covert surveillance project, named 'Raven', established way back in 2009, was allegedly used to monitor militants, human rights activists and critics. A Reuters investigation found that former US intel agents, including ex-NSA employees, trained the Emiratis.
另一方面,胡塞武装已与依然效忠阿联酋的军事指挥官建立了沟通渠道。然而,阿联酋未对上述指控作出回应。
On the other hand, the Houthis have opened a line of communication with military commanders who have remained loyal to the UAE. The UAE, however, has not responded to the claims.
无法忽视的是,据报道胡塞武装在打击沙特支持部队指挥官及预判其部队调动方面取得了成功。这一点在10月2日和10月7日对亚丁以西一处联军军事基地的两轮精确打击中得到了体现。美国似乎知晓阿联酋的举动。
What cannot be ignored is the reported success of the Houthis in targeting commanders of the Saudi-backed forces and anticipating their troop movements. This was on display during two rounds of precision strikes on October 2 and October 7 at a coalition military base west of Aden. The US seems to be aware of the UAE's moves.
报道称,唐纳德·特朗普团队的一名高级官员最近就阿联酋涉嫌向胡塞武装提供隐蔽援助一事向其发出警告,并敦促阿布扎比停止这种行为。胡塞武装高级官员穆罕默德·巴海蒂对此做出了含糊不清的回应。
The report said a senior official from Donald Trump's team recently warned the UAE over allegedly providing covert assistance to the Houthis and urged Abu Dhabi to end it.A senior Houthi official, Mohammed al-Bukhaiti, gave a cryptic response."
巴海蒂对“Drop Site”网站表示:“这并不意味着阿联酋与也门之间存在出于对沙特阿拉伯的怨恨、或是将其作为与沙特清算账目手段的同盟。”他强调,阿联酋致力于在该冲突中保持中立。
This does not mean that an alliance exists between the UAE and Yemen out of spite toward Saudi Arabia or as a means of settling scores with it," al-Bukhaiti told Drop Site. He underlined that the UAE was committed to neutrality in the conflict."
他告诉“Drop Site”网站:“阿联酋仍然致力于保持中立,并拒绝重新卷入沙特阿拉伯对也门的侵略,尽管沙特王储一直在坚持不懈地试图说服阿联酋加入。”冲突升级该报道出台之际,胡塞武装与沙特支持的部队之间的冲突正急剧升级。
The UAE remains committed to neutrality and has refused to become re-involved in the aggression against Yemen alongside Saudi Arabia, despite persistent efforts by the Saudi Crown Prince to persuade it to join," he told Drop Site. CONFLICT ESCALATESThe report comes amid a major escalation in the conflict between the Houthis and Saudi-backed forces.
上个月,胡塞武装占领了也门红海沿岸的战略要地,尽管其夺取关键的曼德海峡的企图大体上被击退。曼德海峡是世界上最繁忙的海运航线之一,也是受封锁的霍尔木兹海峡的重要替代通道。
Last month, the Houthis seized strategic areas along Yemen's Red Sea coast, even though attempts to take control of the crucial Bab Al-Mandeb Strait have been largely repelled. Bab Al-Mandeb is one of the world's busiest shipping lanes and an important alternative to the blockaded Strait of Hormuz.
胡塞武装还袭击了沙特的机场、港口和石油设施,给沙特王国造成了重大的经济损失。
The Houthis have also struck Saudi airports, ports and oil facilities, which have inflicted significant economic damage on the Kingdom.
本月早些时候对利雅得哈立德国王国际机场的袭击造成13人死亡,其中包括一名印度人。这是沙特十多年来遭遇的最致命袭击。
An attack on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh earlier this month left 13 dead, including an Indian. It was the deadliest attack on the Kingdom in more than a decade.
沙特阿拉伯也加大了对胡塞武装的打击力度,摧毁了导弹仓库以及该组织用于存放弹药的地道。
Saudi Arabia has also intensified its strikes on the Houthis, destroying missile depots and destroying tunnels used by the outfit to store ammunition.
然而,据以色列报纸《今日以色列报》报道,由于冲突没有很快结束的迹象,沙特阿拉伯已向胡塞武装提供10亿美元,以换取停火并恢复石油出口。
However, with the conflict showing no signs of ending anytime soon, Saudi Arabia has offered $1 billion to the Houthi rebels to secure a ceasefire and restore oil exports, according to a report in Israel's newspaper Israel Hayom.
这一提议是在沙特阿拉伯、土耳其和巴基斯坦作为“麦加条约”一部分举行的会议上讨论的。伊朗官员也出席了此次会议。
It was discussed during a meeting between Saudi Arabia, Turkiye, and Pakistan as part of the Mecca pact. The meeting was also attended by Iranian officials.
然而,德黑兰并非麦加联盟的成员。据报道的10亿美元提议能否终结这场冲突,尚待观察;这场冲突已威胁蔓延为更广泛的战争,波及本已动荡的中东地区。
Tehran, however, is not part of the Mecca alliance. It remains to be seen if the reported $1 billion offer brings an end to the conflict, which has threatened to spill into a wider war in the already turbulent Middle East region.- Ends