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民调显示霍楚尔在纽约州长竞选中扩大对布莱克曼的领先优势:“时间不多了”Poll shows Hochul adding to lead over Blakeman in New York governor's race: 'Running out of time'

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Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, left, and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul. (NDZ/Star Max/GC Images/Getty Images; Alexander MacDougall/Albany Times Union via Getty Images)

纽约州州长凯西·霍楚尔在一项新民调中将对共和党挑战者布鲁斯·布莱克曼的领先优势扩大到两位数,显示这位民主党现任者在选举日前的最后几天里进一步拉大了差距。

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul expanded her lead over Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman to double digits in a new poll showing the Democratic incumbent pulling further ahead in the final days before Election Day.

根据周三发布的锡耶纳研究所民调,在可能投票的纽约州选民中,霍楚尔以54%对40%领先拿骚县县长布莱克曼。这一14个百分点的差距比9月时扩大了5个百分点,当时她以50%对41%领先。

Hochul leads the Nassau County executive 54% to 40% among likely New York voters, according to a Siena Research Institute survey released Wednesday. The 14-point margin is five points wider than her lead in September, when she led 50% to 41%.

锡耶纳民调专家史蒂文·格林伯格在一份声明中说:“进入最后冲刺阶段,霍楚尔拥有14个百分点的领先优势,而布莱克曼所剩时间无几,要缩小一个正在扩大而非缩小的差距。”

"Heading into the final stretch, Hochul has a 14-point lead, with Blakeman quickly running out of time to close a gap that is growing rather than narrowing," Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement.

民调还显示,布莱克曼在共和党通常需要强力支持才能在全州范围内具有竞争力的地区难以建立优势。两位候选人在纽约州北部和下州郊区基本持平,而霍楚尔在独立选民中领先11个百分点。格林伯格指出,共和党通常需要在这些地区以及独立选民中取得较大优势,才能克服民主党大约两比一的选民登记优势及其在纽约市的统治地位。

The poll also showed Blakeman struggling to establish an advantage in areas where Republicans typically need strong support to compete statewide. The candidates are virtually tied in upstate New York and the downstate suburbs, while Hochul leads independent voters by 11 points. Republicans generally need strong margins in those regions and among independents to overcome Democrats' roughly two-to-one voter registration advantage and their dominance in New York City, Greenberg noted.

格林伯格说:“但距离选举只剩一周,布莱克曼和霍楚尔在纽约州北部和下州郊区基本势均力敌,而霍楚尔在独立选民中领先11个百分点。”他指出,布莱克曼“所剩时间无几,要缩小一个正在扩大而非缩小的差距。”

"But with only a week to go, Blakeman and Hochul are running virtually evenly upstate and in the downstate suburbs, while Hochul has an 11-point lead with independents," Greenberg said, noting that Blakeman is "quickly running out of time to close a gap that is growing rather than narrowing." Despite Hochul's overall advantage, the survey revealed uncertainty among voters over whether either candidate would make life more affordable for average New Yorkers.

尽管霍楚尔总体占优,但调查显示,选民对两位候选人中是否有人能让普通纽约人的生活更负担得起存在疑虑。35%的选民表示两位候选人都不会让生活更负担得起,而选择霍楚尔的占30%,选择布莱克曼的占27%。

A plurality of voters, 35%, said neither candidate would make life more affordable, compared with 30% who chose Hochul and 27% who selected Blakeman. Hochul also reached a new milestone in the survey, with 51% of likely voters viewing her favorably compared with 45% who viewed her unfavorably.

霍楚尔在调查中还达到了一个新里程碑,51%的可能投票者对她持好感,而持负面看法的为45%。

It marked the first time a majority of voters had viewed her favorably in Siena polling during her five years as governor.

她的工作支持率也从9月份的48%升至51%。与此同时,布莱克曼的率为39%,率为40%。

Her job approval rating also rose to 51%, up from 48% in September. Blakeman, meanwhile, received a 39% favorable rating and a 40% unfavorable rating.

民调发现存在显著的性别差异:霍楚尔在女性选民中以23个百分点领先布莱克曼,在男性选民中领先6个百分点。

The survey found a sizable gender gap, with Hochul leading Blakeman by 23 points among women and six points among men.

她还在黑人选民中以81%对16%领先,而白人选民则不相上下。

She also led among Black voters, 81% to 16%, while White voters were closely divided.

民调还发现,68%的可能投票者认为霍楚尔将赢得选举,23%的人预测布莱克曼将获胜。在接受调查的共和党人中,40%的人表示预计霍楚尔将获胜。

The poll also found that 68% of likely voters believed Hochul would win the election, compared with 23% who predicted a Blakeman victory. Among Republicans surveyed, 40% said they expected Hochul to win.

在纽约州其他全州性竞选中,民主党州检察长利蒂希娅·詹姆斯以54%对39%领先共和党人萨里塔·科马蒂雷迪;民主党州主计长汤姆·迪纳波利以59%对32%领先共和党人约瑟夫·埃尔南德斯。

In New York's other statewide races, Democratic Attorney General Letitia James led Republican Saritha Komatireddy 54% to 39%, while Democratic state Comptroller Tom DiNapoli led Republican Joseph Hernandez 59% to 32%.

锡耶纳学院民调于10月19日至22日进行,通过电话和短信转网页问卷的方式调查了807名纽约州可能投票者。误差幅度为正负4.1个百分点。

The Siena poll was conducted Oct. 19–22 among 807 likely New York voters through telephone and text-to-web surveys. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. . 3.

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