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美联储主席沃什警告:能源价格上涨之际通胀仍然过高US Fed Chair Warsh warns inflation remains too high as energy prices climb

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美联储主席凯文·沃什周三警告称,通胀率在连续近六年高于央行2%的目标后仍然过高,他承诺将视需要采取行动,以恢复价格稳定。

US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh warned on Wednesday that inflation remains too high after running above the central bank's 2% target for nearly six years, pledging readiness to act as needed to restore price stability.

在公开市场委员会投票决定将基准利率维持在3.75%至4%之后,沃什在新闻发布会上表示,决策者们为期两天的讨论主要集中在抑制价格压力上。

Speaking at a news conference after the Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep the benchmark interest rate at 3.75% to 4%, Warsh said policymakers focused their two-day discussions mainly on curbing price pressures.

“实际活动明显朝着正确方向发展,这是好消息,但通胀仍然过高,”沃什说。

"Real activity is clearly pointing in the right direction; that's good news, but inflation is too high," Warsh said.

“能源及相关价格在最近几周再次上涨,我们的工作是确保某些领域的相对价格变化不会在整个经济中扩散,并且通胀预期保持稳固,”他补充道。

"Energy and related prices have moved higher again in recent weeks, and our job is to ensure that relative price changes in some sectors do not broaden out across the economy, and that inflation expectations remain as they are anchored," he added.

沃什指出,美国经济增长已增强,2026年上半年国内生产总值增速从先前估计的1.8%上调至2.4%。

Warsh noted that US economic growth has strengthened, with gross domestic product expansion in the first half of 2026 revised up to 2.4% from an earlier estimate of 1.8%.

他说,第三季度增长似乎进一步加速,受消费者支出增长超过3%以及企业投资以两位数速度增长的推动。

Third-quarter growth appears to have accelerated further, driven by consumer spending running above 3% and business investment rising at a double-digit pace, he said.

他补充说,资本支出已占国内生产总值的历史高位,由高科技投资引领,其他各领域也普遍取得进展。

Capital expenditures have reached a historically high share of gross domestic product, led by high-tech investment alongside broader gains across other sectors, he added.

关于劳动力市场,沃什将就业状况描述为“相当积极”,并指出失业率较一年前有所下降,非农就业增长加快,失业救济申请的四周移动平均值接近数十年来的低点。

On the labor market, Warsh described employment conditions as "quite positive," pointing to a lower jobless rate compared to a year ago, faster payroll growth and a four-week moving average of unemployment claims near multi-decade lows.

沃什表示,在美联储9月的政策行动之后,随着市场参与者在资本配置上变得更加挑剔,部分企业和家庭的金融和信贷条件已趋紧。

Following the Fed's policy action in September, financial and credit conditions have tightened for some businesses and households as market participants become more selective in capital allocation, Warsh said.

“虽然总体金融条件趋紧,但我不愿也无法将其称为紧缩,”他说,并补充称,这一转变有助于实现更持久、更稳健的经济增长和价格稳定。

"And while overall financial conditions are tighter, I'm unwilling and unable to call them tight," he said, adding that the shift supports longer, more durable economic growth and price stability.

沃什还宣布,从2027年秋季开始,对联邦公开市场委员会的会议日程进行制度性改革。

Warsh also announced an institutional overhaul of the Federal Open Market Committee's meeting schedule starting in the fall of 2027.

尽管委员会将继续每年举行八次会议,但2027年的一次会议将专门聚焦广泛的货币政策战略,不进行利率投票,也不发布政策声明,从而留下七次常规利率制定会议。

While the committee will continue to hold eight meetings per year, one meeting in 2027 will focus exclusively on broad monetary policy strategy without an interest rate vote or a policy statement, leaving seven regular rate-setting meetings.

沃什表示,2028年,央行预计将两次会议用于长期战略讨论,六次会议用于制定货币政策。

In 2028, the central bank expects to dedicate two meetings to long-term strategy discussions and six to setting monetary policy, Warsh said.

“作为一个思想多元的群体,同样重要的是我们要预留时间和空间进行战略审议——重新思考重大问题,放眼更长的时间范围,”他补充道。

"It's equally important we reserve time and space, as an intellectually diverse group, for strategic deliberations — for thinking anew about big questions, looking out over longer time horizons," he added.

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