
美国联邦储备委员会维持利率在3.75%至4%的区间不变。此次决定是在中期选举一周内、以及央行在9月会议上三年来首次加息之后作出的。
The US Federal Reserve has held interest rates steady at 3.75% - 4%. The decision comes within a week of the midterm elections and after the central bank raised interest rates for the first time in three years at its September meeting.
美联储主席凯文·沃什表示:“压倒性共识、压倒性判断认为,我们在货币政策这剂‘良药’上所做的一切开始起作用了。”他指的是9月份的加息举措。
"The overwhelming consensus, the overwhelming judgement, is that what we've done in this monetary medicine is starting to work some," Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said, referring to September's interest rate rise.
美联储宣布决定后公布的数据显示,美国经济增速强于预期,通胀率高于美联储的目标水平。
Figures published after the Fed's announcement showed the US economy growing at a stronger pace than expected, with inflation running above the Fed's target.
利率告诉个人和企业借钱的成本——例如信用卡、抵押贷款或商业贷款——以及存款能获得多少回报。
An interest rate tells people and businesses how much it costs to borrow money – such as with credit cards, mortgages, or business loans – but also what return they get for saving cash.
美联储通过其联邦基金利率目标区间影响美国利率,联邦基金利率是商业银行隔夜拆借使用的利率。
The Fed influences interest rates in the US through its target range for the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate used by commercial banks for overnight borrowing.
在本月维持利率不变的决定中,美联储表示,虽然通胀依然居高不下,但希望在做出再次调整利率的决定前收集更多信息。美联储还指出,尽管存在不确定性,但美国经济保持了韧性。
In its decision to hold rates steady this month, the Fed said that while inflation remains high, it wanted to gather more information before making another decision to change rates. The Fed also noted that while there was uncertainty, the US economy remained resilient.
沃什承认通胀仍过高,但指出还有其他迹象——如信贷条件收紧——表明经济正朝着正确方向发展。
Warsh acknowledged that inflation remained too high, but noted that there were other signs - such as tightening credit conditions - that the economy was moving in the right direction.
美联储主席补充道,在委员会下次会议召开前还有大量经济数据将出炉,这些数据应能勾勒出经济状况更详细的图景。
There is plenty more economic data to come between now and the committee's next meeting, the Fed chair added, which should paint a more detailed picture of the state of the economy.
届时,沃什表示,“我想我们将更有利地判断正确的政策决定和政策立场。”虽然上个月委员会发出信号暗示今年可能还会再加息一次,但沃什拒绝透露他认为六周后利率将走向何方。
At that point, Warsh said, "we'll be, I think, better positioned to determine the right policy decision and the stance of policy." While last month the committee signalled there could be one more rate rise this year, Warsh would not be drawn out on where he thinks they will go in six weeks' time.
“很多事情都可能发生,所以我无法与大家分享我的思考。” 维持利率不变的决定并非全票通过。
"A lot of things can happen, so I'm not going to be able to share with you my musings." The decision to hold rates steady was not unanimous.
在12位委员会成员中,有10人投票赞成维持利率不变,理事丽莎·库克和克利夫兰联储主席贝丝·哈马克投票赞成将利率从目前的3.75%-4%上调至4%-4.25%。该行下一次会议将于12月8日至9日举行。
While 10 of the 12 committee members voted to keep rates unchanged, Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted to increase rates to 4%-4.25%, from its current 3.75%-4%. The bank's next meeting will be held over 8-9 December.
沃什表示,事态发展正朝着正确的方向推进,而美国经济表现非常强劲。
Warsh said things are moving in the right direction, while the US economy is performing very strongly.

截至9月的三个月里,美国经济按年率计算增长了3.4%,强于分析师预期。这一强劲增长得益于投资加速和消费支出强劲。
The US economy grew by 3.4% on an annualised basis in the three months to September, stronger than analysts had expected. That strong growth was driven by an acceleration in investment, and strong consumer spending.
个人支出按年率计算增长了3.8%,而私人投资按年率计算激增了19.4%,分析师表示这主要归因于人工智能领域的投资。通胀也高于美联储的目标区间。
While there was an annualised increase in personal spending of 3.8%, the annualised increase in private investment was a huge 19.4% which analysts say was largely due to investment in artificial intelligence. Inflation is also above the Fed's target range.
截至9月的一年里,物价上涨了3.7%,受燃料和能源价格飙升推动,而后者因伊朗战争而大幅上涨。
Prices increased by 3.7% in the year to September, driven higher by fuel and energy prices which have surged off the back of the war in Iran.
美联储利用利率调整,试图将通胀——即物价变动的速度——控制在每年2%,并维持就业市场稳定。当通胀过高时,美联储倾向于加息。
The Fed uses interest rate changes to try to keep inflation –the rate at which prices change– at 2% a year and keep the job market stable. When inflation is too high, the Fed tends to raise interest rates.
这往往意味着银行和其他贷款机构会提高利率,进而影响消费和储蓄决策。
This tends to mean higher rates from banks and other lenders, which in turn affects spending and saving decisions.
例如,重新贷款房贷或首次购房者可能面临更高的房贷利率。信用卡或汽车贷款利率也可能上升。不过,储蓄利率也会随之走高。
For example, someone refinancing their mortgage or buying a property for the first time could face higher mortgage rates. It could also mean higher interest rates on credit cards or car loans. However, it means higher interest rates on savings as well.
这鼓励个人和企业多储蓄、少消费、少投资。也促使企业减少招聘或放缓薪资涨幅。所有这些往往会抑制需求,从而减缓通胀。当通胀较低或美联储认为经济需要刺激时,就会降息。
This encourages people and businesses to save more, spend less money, and make less investments. It also encourages companies to hire less people or slow the pace of pay rises. All of this tends to reduce demand and slow inflation. When inflation is low or if the Fed believes the economy needs a boost, it cut rates.
其思路是,这将产生相反的效果:银行降低利率,促使个人和企业增加支出、减少储蓄。
The idea is that this will have the opposite affect, with banks dropping rates leading to more spending and less saving from people and businesses.
维持利率不变意味着新增抵押贷款或企业贷款等利率也不太可能发生变化。这也意味着现金储蓄的利率不太可能上升。美国利率历来波动较大。
Leaving the rates unchanged means rates on things like new mortgages or business loans are also less likely to change. It also means interest rates on cash savings are unlikely to rise. US interest rates have historically moved around quite a bit.
美联储利率上一次达到近期这样的高位,是在2008年全球金融危机爆发前及爆发初期。
The last time Fed rates were as high as they have been recently was in the lead up to and during the start of the 2008 global financial crisis.
随后,美联储在经济低迷期间将利率下调至历史低位,以鼓励支出和创造就业,并将利率维持在这一低位数年。
The Fed then dropped rates to historic lows to encourage spending and job creation during the economic slump and kept them at those lows for several years.
利率在疫情前再次回升,随后在疫情期间降至0%至0.25%的低点。之后,随着通胀飙升,利率在2023年年中至2024年8月升至5.25%至5%的高位。此后,利率一直在稳步下降,直到上个月被上调。
They picked up again ahead of the pandemic before dropping to as low as 0%-0.25% during the pandemic. They then rose to highs of 5.25%-5% from the middle of 2023 to August 2024 as inflation jumped. They had been falling steadily since then, until rates were raised last month.