
众议院进步派正计划利用他们不断增长的影响力,在明年就其最激进、最具争议的政策强行推动投票,其中包括全民医保、废除移民和海关执法局(ICE)以及削减对以色列的援助。
House progressives are planning to use their growing power to force votes next year on their most sweeping and divisive policies, including Medicare for All, abolishing ICE and cutting aid to Israel. Why it matters:
为什么这很重要:其最终目标是将这些政策提上2029年民主党总统的议事日程,即便这意味着迫使众议院民主党人做出艰难的决定。
The ultimate goal is to get these policies on the front burner for a Democratic president in 2029, even if that means forcing House Democrats into tough decisions.
- 众议员普拉米拉·贾亚帕尔(民主党-华盛顿州)向《国会山报》表示,左翼希望对诸如全民医保之类的法案进行修正案审议和投票,“以便我们为拥有三权(总统及国会两院)时做好准备,并真正建立我们所需的支持。”
• Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) told Axios the left wants mark-ups and votes on bills such as Medicare for All "so that we can prepare for when we have the trifecta and so that we can really build the support we need."
- 加利福尼亚州进步派众议院候选人迈·范(Mai Vang)说:“强行推动投票很重要,这样我们就能看出每个人的立场,我认为这对于2028年和2029年来说至关重要。”
• "Forcing the vote is important so we can see where everyone is at, I think that's really key for 2028 and 2029," said Mai Vang, a progressive House candidate in California. The big picture:
大局观:接受《国会山报》采访的议员、候选人和政治操盘手表示,以下是进步派最希望在2027年提交众议院投票的事项:1)全民医保:由众议员普拉米拉·贾亚帕尔(民主党-华盛顿州)提出的《全民医保法案》拥有118名共同提案人——超过了众议院民主党党团成员总数的一半。
Here is what progressives most want to see go to a House vote in 2027, according to lawmakers, candidates and operatives who spoke to Axios: 1) Medicare for All Medicare for All Act introduced by Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) has 118 co-sponsors — more than half the House Democratic caucus.
- 左翼希望将该问题强行摆上议事日程,并迫使他们的民主党同僚正视该政策在民意调查中的受欢迎程度。
• The left wants to force the issue onto the floor and make their Democratic colleagues reckon with the policy's popularity in public opinion polls.
- 归根结底,他们的目标是确保对全民医保的支持成为2028年任何总统候选人赢得初选的必备条件。
• Ultimately, they aim to ensure support for Medicare for All is a must-have for any 2028 presidential candidate to win the primary.
“多年前,我曾与[前众议院议长南希·]佩洛西谈判以争取听证会,但我们一直没有进行过修正案审议,”曾任进步派党团主席的贾亚帕尔在接受《国会山报》采访时表示。
"Years ago I negotiated with [former House Speaker Nancy] Pelosi to get the hearings but we have not had a markup," Jayapal, a former Progressive Caucus chair, said in an interview with Axios.
- 贾亚帕尔指出,她和众议员帕特·瑞安(民主党-纽约州)于上周公布了一项法案,该法案将把联邦医疗保险(Medicare)的适用年龄从65岁降至50岁,这可能是一项能够在明年获得整个党团支持的妥协举措。
• Jayapal pointed to the bill she and Rep. Pat Ryan (D-N.Y.) unveiled last week, which would lower the Medicare age from 65 to 50, as a potential compromise measure that could get caucus-wide support next year. Yes, but:
是的,但:民主党掀起的浪潮可能会带来一批来自倾向于共和党的选区的议员,他们可能对被贴上“希望结束私人保险”的标签十分敏感。
A Democratic wave could bring in a bloc of members from red-leaning districts who could be sensitive to being tagged as wanting to end private insurance.
- 贾亚帕尔告诉《国会山报》,民调显示选民越来越“厌恶私人保险”,这带来了一个“前所未见的机遇”。
• Jayapal told Axios there's an "opening we've never seen before" with polling that suggests voters increasingly "hate private insurance."
2)废除或停止资助ICE:几位进步派人士指出,众议员德利亚·拉米雷斯(民主党-伊利诺伊州)提出的《融化ICE法案》——该法案将削减对ICE拘留和监控移民的所有资金——是一个良好的开端。
2) Abolish or defund ICE Several progressives pointed to Rep. Delia Ramirez's (D-Ill.) " Melt ICE Act " — which would cut all funding for ICE detention and monitoring of immigrants — as a good start.
- 拉米雷斯的另一项法案将走得更远,彻底废除ICE并解散ICE的上级机构国土安全部。
• Another Ramirez bill would go even further, fully abolishing ICE and dismantling ICE's parent agency, the Department of Homeland Security.
温和派民主党人长期以来一直反对停止资助ICE。就在今年1月,在蕾妮·古德(Renée Good)枪击事件发生后,一些温和派人士还在抵制这一想法。
Moderate Democrats have long opposed defunding ICE. Some centrists pushed back on the idea as recently as this January, following the shooting of Renée Good.
- 民主党国会领导层最多只提出改革该机构的做法,而不是削减其资金。
• Democratic congressional leadership has only gone so far as to propose reforms to the agency's practices rather than a reduction of its funds.
- 拉米雷斯告诉《国会山报》,对于进步派来说,问题在于如何从《融化ICE法案》仅有的23名共同提案人,转变为“在领导层谈论ICE的方式上实现真正的叙事转变”,将其视为“超越改革”的事物。
• Ramirez told Axios the question for progressives is how they go from just 23 co-sponsors on the Melt ICE Act to "a real narrative shift in the way that leadership talks about ICE" that treats it as being "past reform."
3)削减对以色列的援助:由拉米雷斯提出的另一项法案《切断炸弹法案》将限制总统向以色列转移进攻性武器的能力,被广泛视为左翼在此问题上的标志性立法。
3) Cut aid to Israel Block The Bombs Act another Ramirez bill which would restrict presidents' ability to transfer offensive weaponry to Israel, is widely seen as the left's marquee legislation on this issue.
- 但许多民主党人虽然对以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡及其政府忍无可忍,但依然坚定支持以色列。
• But many Democrats, while fed up with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his government, remain staunchly supportive of Israel.
字里行间:左翼正在向该党今年在众议院初选中遭受惨重损失的亲以色列派系施加外部压力,迫使其与党内路线保持一致。
Between the lines: The left is putting external pressure on the party's pro-Israel wing which suffered serious losses in House primaries this year, to get with the program.
- 进步派表示,围绕资助以色列的传统政治已不再适用。
• The traditional politics around funding to Israel no longer apply, progressives say.
- 贾亚帕尔说:“如果我们党内的领导层试图主要靠共和党人的选票来通过对以色列的资助——我认为这正是可能发生的情况——那将造成巨大的裂痕。”
• Said Jayapal: "If our Democratic leadership tries to pass funding for Israel with primarily Republican votes, which is what I think would have to happen, that would create an enormous rift."
人工智能、政治金钱与负担能力:进步派是最早采用反人工智能言论的人群之一,这种言论已日益成为主流,他们提倡对该技术进行严格监管、暂停数据中心建设并禁止弗洛克(Flock)摄像头。
AI, money in politics and affordability Progressives have been some of the earliest adopters of anti-AI rhetoric that has become increasingly mainstream, proposing strict regulations on the technology, a moratorium on data centers and a ban on Flock cameras.
- 众议员阿娜莉利亚·梅希亚(民主党-新泽西州)告诉《国会山报》:“我远非勒德分子(反对新技术的人),但很显然,必须制定护栏,以确保未来的社会和经济能够让家庭繁荣发展。”
• "I am far from a luddite," Rep. Analilia Mejia (D-N.J.) told Axios, "and yet it is clear that guardrails are necessary to ensure a future society and economy in which families can thrive." Money in politics:
政治金钱:左翼还一直在推动对竞选财务和政府道德进行广泛改革,包括严格限制企业在选举中的开支。
The left has also been pushing for wide-ranging reforms to campaign finance and government ethics, including strict limits on corporate spending in elections.
- 新泽西州的进步派候选人亚当·哈马维(Adam Hamawy)表示,他希望看到就众议员萨默·李(民主党-得克萨斯州注:原文为宾夕法尼亚州,应按实际翻译,此处修正为宾夕法尼亚州)提出的废除超级政治行动委员会(Super PAC)的法案进行投票,这即使在民主党内部也将极具争议。
• Adam Hamawy, a progressive candidate in New Jersey, said he wants to see a vote on Rep. Summer Lee's (D-Pa.) bill to abolish super PACs, which would be highly controversial even among Democrats. Affordability:
负担能力:许多接受《国会山报》采访的进步派人士提出了旨在解决负担能力危机的立法构想,这是2026年选举中最突出的议题之一。
Many progressives who spoke to Axios threw out ideas for legislation they say would tackle the affordability crisis, one of the most salient issues in the 2026 election.
- 贾亚帕尔说:“我认为生活工资将是一个非常重要的议题,还有儿童保育以及其中的一些部分,”她同时指出,取消薪资税上限的一项法案是维持社会保障基金偿付能力的一种方式。
• "I think a living wage is going to be a really important one, childcare, some of those pieces," Jayapal said, also pointing to a bill to eliminate the payroll tax cap as a way to keep Social Security solvent.
- 哈马维也提出了全民托儿服务,并表示国会还应废除《费尔克劳斯修正案》(Faircloth Amendment),这是一项1998年的法律,限制了住房和城市发展部可以补贴的公共住房单元数量。
• Hamawy floated universal childcare as well and said Congress should also repeal the Faircloth Amendment, a 1998 law restricting the number of public housing units the Department of Housing and Urban Development can subsidize.
下一步:这些进步派对于缺乏能够替代众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(民主党-纽约州)的议长人选有着清醒的认识,但他们正在私下谋划,如果民主党的多数优势足够小,将如何利用他们的选票来争取政策妥协。
What's next: These progressives are clear-eyed about the lack of a speaker alternative to House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.), but they're privately strategizing how to use their votes to extract policy concessions if Democrats' majority is small enough.