今年8月，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普声称，在他支持的共和党候选人中，有97%赢得了初选。
In August, President Donald Trump claimed that 97% of Republican candidates he backed had won their primary races.
特朗普确实展现出了影响选举的能力，尤其是在共和党初选中，他成功淘汰了自己不喜欢的政客，例如得克萨斯州共和党参议员约翰·科宁和肯塔基州共和党众议员托马斯·马西。
And it's true that Trump has shown an ability to influence races particularly in Republican primaries, picking off politicians he didn't like such as Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, and Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky.
然而，尽管他从不避讳对外国领导人发表看法，但事实证明，他对其他国家选举的影响力相对较弱。
But while he hasn't shied away from expressing his opinions on foreign leaders, his influence over other countries' elections is proving less strong.
巴西总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦在周日赢得连任，击败了与特朗普结盟的弗拉维奥·博索纳罗，后者的父亲雅伊尔也曾是特朗普的盟友。
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won reelection on Sunday, defeating Trump-aligned Flávio Bolsonaro, whose father Jair had also been a Trump ally.
同样在上周末，塞尔维亚一场由学生领导的运动击败了亚历山大·武契奇领导的执政党。武契奇是一位民粹主义领导人，曾与特朗普及其圈子建立关系。武契奇自2017年起担任塞尔维亚总统，并于2014年至2017年担任总理。
Also last weekend, a student-led movement in Serbia defeated the ruling party of Aleksandar Vucic, a populist leader who had cultivated ties with Trump and his circle. Vucic had served as Serbia's president from 2017, and as prime minister from 2014 to 2017.
在败选演讲中，武契奇表示，此次失利是由于“一场革命被合法化，这场革命由人民实施，并得到多个欧洲国家和美国深层政府的直接支持，即反对特朗普总统的那一方”。今年早些时候，副总统JD·万斯曾访问匈牙利两天，并公开支持时任总理维克托·欧尔班。然而，欧尔班同样是特朗普的坚定盟友并获得其背书，却在这次选举中落败，在执政16年后被赶下台。
During his concession speech, Vucic said that the loss was due to a "legitimization of a revolution carried out by the people with direct support from various European countries and the American deep state, the one that opposes President Trump." Earlier this year, Vice President JD Vance had visited Hungary for two days and publicly backed then-Prime Minister Viktor Orban. However, Orban, who is also a staunch ally and endorsed by Trump, lost that election and was ejected from office after 16 years.
10月，特朗普还公开支持以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡竞选连任。虽然10月27日选举的结果尚未最终确定，但美联社表示，内塔尼亚胡领导的利库德集团似乎已失去在该国议会中的多数地位。
In October, Trump also endorsed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for reelection. While the results of the Oct. 27 election are not finalized yet, the Associated Press said that Netanhayu's Likud party had appeared to lose its majority in the country's parliament.
尽管如此，专家表示，特朗普对任何一场全球选举的影响力仍然参差不齐。
Still, Trump's influence on any one global election remains variable, experts said.
佐治亚大学国际事务教授卡斯·穆德对CNBC表示：“选举始终首先是国内事务，地区或全球因素的重要性要远远排在后面。”
"Elections are always national first and regional or global a very distant second," Cas Mudde, professor of international affairs at the University of Georgia, told CNBC.
斯坦因·范·凯塞尔，伦敦玛丽皇后大学比较政治学教授表示，特朗普在其他国家对极右翼势力的影响并不明确。
Furthermore, it is also not clear that Trump ever had a great influence over far-right actors elsewhere, said Stijn van Kessel, professor of comparative politics at Queen Mary University of London.
他表示：“极右翼政党和政治家喜欢庆祝彼此的胜利，因为这能让他们将自己描绘成成功全球运动的一部分。”他补充说，当国家利益冲突，外部伙伴在国内选民眼中变得有毒时，这种关系很快会恶化。
"Far-right parties and politicians like to celebrate each others' victories as it allows them to portray themselves as part of a successful global movement," he said, adding that those relationships can sour quickly when national interests collide and the foreign partner turns toxic in the eyes of the domestic electorate.
范·凯塞尔指出，今年早些时候特朗普与意大利总理乔尔吉亚·梅洛尼的关系破裂，原因是意大利拒绝允许美国飞机使用北约的一个空军基地进行对伊朗的行动。
Van Kessel pointed to the fallout between Trump and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni earlier this year, which stemmed from Italy's refusal to allow U.S. aircraft to use one of the NATO airbases for its war on Iran.
随后，特朗普声称梅洛尼在七国集团峰会上“恳求”他拍照，这一说法引发了梅洛尼的否认。右翼势力仍然强大尽管如此，右翼运动在全球许多地方仍然强劲。在法国，玛丽娜·勒庞目前是继任总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙的领跑者，依据《政治家》对民调的汇总。然而，她往往在一众有志者中起步，随后支持逐渐集中在更温和的候选人身上。
Trump later claimed that Meloni "begged" him for a photo at the G7 summit, a claim that sparked a denial from Meloni. Right wing strength Still, right-wing movements remain strong in numerous places globally. In France, Marine Le Pen is currently the frontrunner to succeed President Emmanuel Macron, according to a compilation of polls by Politico. However, historically she has often started out leading a crowded field of hopefuls before support consolidates around a more moderate candidate.
在德国，极右翼“德国选择”党（AfD）在2025年2月的联邦选举中获得20.8%的选票，成为该国最大的反对党。特朗普盟友哈维尔·米莱伊领导阿根廷，哥伦比亚新总统阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉则以极右翼平台当选。
In Germany, the far-right Alternative fur Deutschland, or AfD party won 20.8% of the vote in the country's February 2025 federal election, making it the country's largest opposition party. Trump ally Javier Milei leads Argentina, and Colombia's new President Abelardo de la Espriella was elected on a far-right platform.
然而，穆德指出，大多数极右翼领袖在特朗普在其国家变得更不受欢迎时会与其划清界限。即使在美国，特朗普的民调数字在伊朗战争和生活成本等议题上仍接近历史低点，能源价格飙升也未能改变这一趋势。
Still, Mudde noted that most far-right leaders disassociate themselves from Trump when he becomes more unpopular in their country. Trump's poll numbers remain near a record low even in the U.S. over issues including the Iran war and the cost of living as energy prices soar.
华盛顿特区美利坚大学政府学教授戴维·巴克表示：“当选民在经济上感到沮丧时，他们愿意给任何人一个机会，但当这些尝试失败后，他们就会转向别的选择。”就目前而言，特朗普“削弱了其盟友维持支持的能力”。
"Voters are willing to give anyone a shot when they are economically frustrated, but when those experiments fail, they move on to something else," said David Barker, a professor of government at American University in Washington, D.C. At this point, Trump "undermines his allies' ability to maintain support."