
今年6月,SpaceX在纳斯达克开始交易,埃隆·马斯克由此成为全球首位万亿富翁。如今,美国中期选举来临,财富税也被摆上了选票。
In June, Elon Musk became the world's first trillionaire when SpaceX began trading on the Nasdaq. Now, the U.S. midterms are here, and wealth taxation is on the ballot.
加州选民将对第40号提案进行投票。该提案将对超过10亿美元的财富一次性征收5%,并将其中九成收入用于资助加州的医疗补助计划(Medicaid)。包括谷歌联合创始人谢尔盖·布林在内的一批硅谷亿万富翁已花费超过3.33亿美元开展反对这项潜在税收的竞选活动,警告称该税将适得其反,迫使富人逃离这个阳光之州。
Californians are set to vote on Proposition 40, which would take 5% of fortunes above $1 billion, once, and send nine-tenths of the revenue to fund California’s Medicaid program. A swarm of Silicon Valley billionaires, including Google co-founder Sergey Brin, has spent more than $333 million campaigning against the potential tax, warning it will backfire and push the wealthy to flee the sunshine state.
这样的反应并不新鲜。就连所得税也曾被视为对财产的侵犯。1895年,最高法院曾裁定一项所得税违宪;直到1913年通过第16修正案,所得税才成为寻常之事。对巨额财富征税或许会走上同样的道路,并在十年之内变得司空见惯。此外,研究表明,最富有家庭的实际税率往往低于为他们工作的人。
Such reactions are not new. Even the income tax once looked like an assault on property. The Supreme Court struck one down as unconstitutional in 1895, and it took the 16th Amendment in 1913 to make it ordinary. Taxes on great fortunes may travel the same road and become unremarkable within a decade. Plus, research indicates that the wealthiest households often pay lower effective tax rates than the people who work for them.
我支持第40号提案。但它在解决当前根本性的经济问题上并不充分。
I support Proposition 40. But it is not sufficient in addressing the underlying economic issues at hand.
像第40号提案这样的财富税,试图在价值被创造、复利增值并得到捍卫很久之后,收回其中一部分。到那时,这些钱已经请好了律师。正因如此,在再分配的前景如此激怒财富持有者之际,这种极端财富的来源才显得至关重要。
A wealth tax like Proposition 40 tries to recover a share of value long after that value has been created, compounded, and defended. By then, the money has lawyers. Which is why the origins of this extreme wealth matter, now that the prospect of redistribution has so agitated the people holding it.
要理解这些体系如何运作,可以想想iPhone。正如我在书中所论述的,iPhone的基础技术来自公共研究:互联网、GPS、触摸屏,以及Siri背后的语音识别技术。20世纪70年代,卡内基梅隆大学、麻省理工学院和斯坦福研究所的语音理解研究由美国国防高级研究计划局(DARPA)资助。随后,研究人员又在语言和学习系统上花费了二十年时间,没有任何公司愿意为此出资,因为回报要在三十年后才会显现。
To understand how these systems work, think of the iPhone. As I argued in my book , the iPhone's foundational technologies came from public research: the internet, GPS, the touchscreen, and the voice recognition behind Siri. Speech understanding research at Carnegie Mellon, MIT, and Stanford Research Institute was funded by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) in the 1970s. Researchers then spent two more decades on language and learning systems no company would finance, because the payoff lay thirty years out.
或者想想谷歌。让布林发家致富的搜索算法,源自斯坦福大学的一个美国国家科学基金会项目。
Or think of Google. The search algorithm that made Brin's fortune grew out of a National Science Foundation project at Stanford.
还有SpaceX,它的上市让马斯克成为万亿富翁,它从美国国家航空航天局拿了3.96亿美元开发猎鹰9号和龙飞船,随后又拿了16亿美元用于向空间站运送货物,26亿美元用于运送宇航员。这位世界首富也是本次选举周期最大的政治捐助者,花费3.66亿美元支持共和党事业。
And then there’s SpaceX, whose listing made Musk a trillionaire, took $396 million from NASA to develop the Falcon 9 and the Dragon capsule, then $1.6 billion to fly cargo to the space station and $2.6 billion to fly astronauts. The world’s richest man was also the biggest political donor this election cycle, spending $366 million supporting Republican causes.
其他人视他们为科技兄弟。我视他们为兄弟寡头。他们借助公共资助的研究攫取巨额租金,并通过我所说的“算法租金”继续从中获利:这些回报来自拥有我们其他人必须经过的平台、数据和模型,以及操纵我们的“注意力”所看到的内容。
Other people see them as tech bros. I see them as a brologarchy. They surfed off publicly financed research to earn enormous rents, and continue to profit off of them through what I call “algorithmic rents”: returns from owning the platforms, data, and models the rest of us must pass through, and manipulating what our “attention” sees.
这一切都无损于这些企业家的成就。把一项研究计划变成可重复使用的火箭是艰难的。在这些技术没有市场、没有买家的那些年里,是公众承担了风险。责任在国家:没有在合同中规定最初投资的条款,也没有为公众承担的风险约定公平的回报份额。
None of this takes anything away from the entrepreneurs. Turning a research program into a reusable rocket is hard. The public carried the risk in the years when these technologies had no market and no buyer. The state carries the blame: for not setting out, in the contracts, the terms of that initial investment and a fair share of the rewards for the risk the public took.
能源部在2009年明确表达了这种不对称,向马斯克的两家公司发出了两项几乎相同的贷款担保:4.65亿美元给特斯拉,5亿美元给Solyndra。Solyndra是一家现已破产的太阳能电池板制造商,两年后倒闭,纳税人承受了损失和政治损害。相比之下,特斯拉成功了。根据其贷款协议,政府持有认股权证,只有在特斯拉未能按期还款时才能行使;特斯拉提前九年还清,认股权证随之失效。公众在一笔交易中承担了下行风险,却在另一笔交易中把自己排除在上行收益之外。
The Department of Energy made the asymmetry explicit in 2009, issuing two near-identical loan guarantees to two of Musk’s companies: $465 million to Tesla and $500 million to Solyndra. Solyndra, a now-bankrupt solar panel manufacturer, collapsed two years later, and the taxpayer absorbed the loss and the political damage. Tesla, by contrast, succeeded. Under its loan agreement, the government held warrants it could exercise only if Tesla failed to repay on schedule; Tesla repaid nine years early and the warrants lapsed. The public took the downside on one deal and wrote itself out of the upside on the other.
经济学家称之为风险社会化、收益私有化。它描述的是一份在没有底气提出任何要求的情况下起草的合同。
Economists call this socializing risk and privatizing reward. It describes a contract drafted without the confidence to ask for anything.
美国国家航空航天局(NASA)曾经拥有那样的信心。20世纪60年代初,它将阿波罗合同从成本加固定费用合同改为激励合同,把承包商的费用与成本、进度和绩效挂钩,设定条款而不是开空白支票。最近,《芯片与科学法案》为527亿美元的半导体资金附加了条件,涵盖工厂建在哪里以及创造什么样的就业岗位。
NASA once had that confidence. In the early 1960s, it moved Apollo contracts from cost-plus-fixed-fee to incentive contracts tying a contractor's fee to cost, schedule, and performance, setting terms rather than writing blank checks. More recently, the CHIPS and Science Act attached conditions to $52.7 billion of semiconductor funding, covering where plants get built and what jobs they create.
我认为那些条件还不够深入。工资标准覆盖的是劳工和技工,而不是所有工人,受影响的社区在决策中没有正式席位。但这一原则是美国的、近期的、两党共同的。公共资金可以附带条件。
I believe those conditions did not go far enough. Wage standards covered laborers and mechanics rather than every worker, and affected communities got no formal seat in the decisions. But the principle is American, recent, and bipartisan. Public money can come with terms.
这被称为“预分配”,即在起点就塑造价值如何被创造和分享,而不是等待税法来修复损害,这是让资本主义为我们所有人服务的关键原则。
This is called “pre-distribution,” shaping how value is created and shared at the outset, rather than waiting for the tax code to repair the damage, and it is a crucial principle for making capitalism work for us all.
但建立这种资本主义要求我们承诺另一项原则:人人享有准入,共享回报。如果公众承担风险,就应当对回报拥有索取权。在实践中,这意味着在依靠公共贷款建立的公司中持有股权,对公共资助研究产生的专利收取特许权使用费,以及设立一个公共基金,将回报循环投入下一轮风险。美国已在其半导体基础设施资金中开始拥抱这一理念。它也可以对我们在人工智能领域的公共投资采取同样的做法,而那些合同仍在起草之中。
But establishing this kind of capitalism requires that we commit to another principle: access for all and reward sharing. If the public carries the risk, it should hold a claim on the reward. In practice, that means equity stakes in companies built on public loans, royalties on patents from publicly funded research, and a public fund that recycles the returns into the next round of risk. The United States has started to embrace this philosophy in its semiconductor infrastructure funding. It could do the same for our public investments in artificial intelligence, and those contracts are still being written.
这些原则针对的是我们更广泛的资本主义体系,并构建了一个不同于“全民基本收入”的框架——许多科技亿万富翁对后者颇为青睐。基本收入不触动他们财富的来源,将财富视为既定事实,仅要求进行转移支付,因此他们可以在不做任何让步的情况下表示支持。而“公民红利”改变了这一逻辑,因为它基于“大众参与创造了最初的价值”这一理由进行发放。这是一笔直接欠下的债务,而非仅通过税法偿还。我们知道这是可行的:阿拉斯加自1982年起便从石油收入中向居民发放红利。
These principles address our broader capitalist system and create a different framing from universal basic income, which many tech billionaires are quite fond of. A basic income leaves the origins of their fortunes untouched, treats wealth as given, and asks only for a transfer, which is why it can be endorsed without conceding anything. A citizens' dividend changes the logic, because it pays out on the grounds that the public helped create the value in the first place. That is a debt owed directly, not only through the tax code. And we know it is possible. Alaska has paid its residents a dividend from oil revenue since 1982.
这绝非反对40号提案的理由。加州的亿万富翁理应缴纳,而该州的医疗体系急需这笔资金。但在事后几十年才征收一次性税款,是以高昂代价追索本可在一开始就写入合同的回报。再分配清算旧账;预分配则能从一开始就重新设计经济,实现更具包容性、可持续的增长。
None of this is an argument for voting against Proposition 40. California's billionaires should pay, and the state's health system needs the money. But a one-time levy collected decades after the fact is a costly way to claim a return that could have been written into the contract at the start. Redistribution settles old accounts. Pre-distribution can redesign an economy from the outset for more inclusive, sustainable growth.
现在采取行动至关重要。下一笔巨额财富正在此时此地形成,建立在公共研究、公共资金之上;我们应确保它造福公共利益。
It matters that we act now. The next fortune is being built right now, on public research, with public money; we should make sure it serves the common good.
经济不是天气,不是无法被不同或更公平地设计的自然现象。它是一套契约,而我们就是撰写者。我们可以撰写契约,打造一个为人、由人设计的经济,在过程中共享知识与回报。共同利益经济提供了实现这一目标的原则。
An economy is not weather, a natural phenomenon that cannot be designed differently or more fairly. It is a set of contracts, and we are the ones who write them. We can write them for an economy designed with people and for them, one that shares the knowledge and the rewards along the way. The common good economy provides the principles through which to achieve this.