
凯西·巴塞维茨 纽约 —— 全球各地的公司在裁员时越来越多地引用人工智能作为理由,加剧了人们的焦虑,即更多工人可能会失去生计,被机器取代。
CATHY BUSSEWITZ NEW YORK — Companies around the world are increasingly citing artificial intelligence when slashing jobs , fueling anxiety that a lot more workers may lose their livelihoods to machines.
微软、巴克莱银行和超市连锁店克罗格是今年宣布与人工智能相关的裁员计划的不断增长的名单中的最新成员,其中包括取消被视为多余的职位,以及裁减职位以腾出资金用于开发和部署该技术。
Microsoft, Barclays Bank and supermarket chain Kroger are among the latest entries on a growing list of companies that have announced AI-related workforce reductions this year, including the elimination of jobs deemed redundant and positions shed to free up money for developing and deploying the technology.
但人工智能时代的裁员影响了数万人,偶尔也会出现“后记”。一些公司在发现人工智能模型、应用和智能体的表现不如预期后,最终重新雇佣被裁员工来填补被取消的职位。
But the job cuts of the AI era , which are affecting tens of thousands of people, occasionally have an epilogue. Some companies, after discovering that AI models, applications and agents don’t perform as well as expected, end up rehiring laid-off workers to fill eliminated positions.
这种逆转有多普遍很难知道,但发生得足够频繁,以至于获得了趋势地位和一个昵称:“人工智能回旋镖”。“两年前,我们会问‘这会发生吗?’,现在我们说‘是的,它正在实时发生’,”总部位于英国的技术公司SHL的全球高级副总裁露西·博蒙特说。该公司开发与就业相关的测试和工具。
How common such reversals are is hard to know, but they are happening often enough to acquire trend status and a nickname: the “AI boomerang.”“Two years ago, we said, ‘Would this happen?’ and now we’re saying, ‘Yes, it is happening in real time,’” said Lucy Beaumont, a global senior vice president at SHL, a U.K.-based technology company that develops employment-related tests and tools.
人力资源和招聘公司Robert Half表示,金融、营销、法律和医疗等行业的招聘经理告诉他们,他们雇佣人员从事在与人工智能相关的裁员中被取消的相同或类似工作,因为这些职位需要人工监督和人际关系管理或质量控制等技能。
Hiring managers in industries such as finance, marketing, legal and healthcare told staffing and placement firm Robert Half they had hired people to do the same or similar work of jobs scrapped during AI-linked cutbacks because the roles required human oversight and skills such as relationship management or quality control.
“当你需要批判性思维、协作能力、创造力、机构知识时,这些都是 AI 根本无法复制的,”Robert Half 高级区域总裁 Bill Driscoll 说。“我认为这就是公司开始意识到的地方:‘哇,我们真的需要人来做这些工作。’”瑞典“先买后付”服务提供商 Klarna 去年重新开始招聘人工客服代表。首席执行官 Sebastian Siemiatkowski 在接受彭博新闻社采访时承认,公司过度依赖 AI 聊天机器人来削减成本,做得太过了。
“When you need critical thinking, collaboration, creativity, institutional knowledge, those are things that AI just can’t replicate,” Bill Driscoll, a senior district president at Robert Half, said. “And I think that’s where companies are starting to realize, ‘Wow, we really do need people to do these jobs.’”Klarna, the Swedish provider of buy now, pay later services, began recruiting human customer service representatives again last year. CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski acknowledged in an interview with Bloomberg News that the company’s reliance on an AI chatbot to cut costs had gone too far.
福特汽车公司在 6 月表示,在部署用于质量控制工作的 AI 工具表现未达预期后,公司已招聘或晋升了 350 名资深工程师。
In June, Ford said it had hired or promoted 350 veteran engineers after AI tools the automaker deployed to do quality control work did not perform at the expected level.
“AI 的应用一直是我们质量提升的重要组成部分,这——加上我们团队深厚的技术专长——是一种强强联合,”福特发言人告诉美联社。
“AI utilization has been an important part of our quality gains and that — along with deep technical expertise of our teams — is a powerful combination,” a Ford spokesperson told The Associated Press.
然而,Beaumont 表示,公司并不总是会公开宣扬他们在将资源或职责从员工转移到 AI 系统上的政策大转弯。
However, companies don’t always broadcast their U-turns on shifting resources or responsibilities from employees to AI systems, Beaumont said.
“也许他们的股东喜欢他们做了这种‘调整规模’的动作……然后他们不得不掉头,灰溜溜地承认他们当时没准备好,或者本不该那么做,”她说。
“Maybe their shareholders love that they did this right-sizing motion .... and then they have to turn around and quietly, with their tail between their legs, admit that they weren’t ready for that or they shouldn’t have done that,” she said.
管理专家分享了关于如何应对这种起伏变化的见解,因为雇主在寻求 AI 带来的生产力提升或裁员带来的成本节约时,偶尔会重新考虑他们的做法。
Management experts shared insights on navigating the ebb and flow as employers seek productivity gains from AI or cost savings from reduced staffing, and occasionally reconsider their approaches.
市场研究和咨询公司 Forrester “未来工作”团队首席分析师 Betsy Summers 表示,当公司用 AI 执行原本由人完成的任务时,往往会忽略员工在正式职位描述之外所做的那些“隐形工作”。
When companies use AI to perform tasks previously done by people, they often miss the invisible work employees do beyond their formal job descriptions, said Betsy Summers, a principal analyst on the Future of Work team at market research and advisory firm Forrester.
Summers 说,这些可能包括感知情绪和心情、召开临时会议,以及在感到受到鼓舞或以其他方式获得激励时付出额外努力。
That might include sensing emotions and moods, holding impromptu meetings and putting in extra effort when feeling inspired or otherwise motivated, Summers said.
“我们并不了解在组织内把事情做好所需的全部工作,”她说。“团队凝聚力、团队建设以及确保团队内部建立信任等组织公民行为,这些都没有被计算在内。因此,当你移除正在做这些工作的人类,却指望智能体能够交付与人类完全相同的成果时,往往会判断失误。”专家表示,另一个使得将更多工作分配给AI驱动工具变得复杂的因素是,公司处理数据处理和簿记等任务的程序并不总是有详细记录。
“We don’t know all the work that’s required to do things well within the organization,” she said. “The citizenship behaviors of team cohesion and team building and making sure that you have trust within your team, none of that is accounted for. So when you rip out humans who are doing that work and then expect agents to be able to then deliver exactly what humans have delivered, they are frequently mistaken.”Another factor that complicates assigning more work to AI-powered tools is that company procedures for tasks such as data processing and bookkeeping are not always well documented, experts said.
“组织没有花足够的时间做前期工作,去真正理解工作流程,以及人类在流程的哪个环节创造价值,”乔治城大学麦克多诺商学院管理学教授布鲁克斯·霍尔特姆说。
“Organizations are not spending enough time doing the up-front work to really truly understand workflows and where humans add value in the process,” said Brooks Holtom, a professor of management at Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business.
霍尔特姆表示,在客户服务等岗位上,AI智能体和聊天机器人经常需要将问题和投诉转交给能够读懂和理解情绪、判断严重程度或复杂度、并在规范范围内灵活应对的员工。
In roles such as customer service, AI agents and chatbots frequently need to refer questions and complaints to a worker who can read and understand emotions, interpret the level of severity or complexity and act creatively but within parameters, Holtom said.
他说:“这种在护栏范围内发挥创造力的结合,对机器来说真的很难弄清楚。”
“It’s that combination of creativity but staying in the guardrail that’s really hard for a machine to figure out,” he said.
霍尔特姆建议,考虑重返将工作外包给AI的公司的人员,可以强化那些难以自动化的技能,例如情商、道德决策和基于经验的判断力。
People considering returning to a company that outsourced work to AI can lean into skills that are hard to automate, such as emotional intelligence, ethical decision-making and judgment based on experience, Holtom said.
霍尔特姆说:“真正要尝试阐述清楚,作为人类你的价值主张是什么?不要害怕拥抱技术,也要理解如何将自己与机器擅长的领域区分开来。拥抱并理解这一点,你就能成为协助实施工作的独特合格人选。”博蒙特表示,同理心是技术尚未完全掌握的另一个人类特质。
“Really try to be able to articulate, what’s your value proposition as a human?”Holtom said. “Don’t be afraid to lean into the technology as well, and understand how to differentiate yourself from what machines do well. Embrace that, understand that, and you can become uniquely qualified to help with implementation.”Empathy is another human quality that technology has not fully mastered, Beaumont said.
“想想一位愤怒的客户。他们想要被倾听,想要被听见,他们真正想要的是电话那头有一个真人,”博蒙特说。“人工智能目前能否以一种让个体感觉有意义的方式取代这一点?也许不能。”据博蒙特称,许多人不想回到裁掉他们的公司。她表示,愿意考虑在围绕人工智能的重组中回归的人,正在要求更多的薪资,并想了解人工智能可能如何影响晋升机会。
“Think about an angry customer. They want to be listened to, they want to be heard, they really want a human on the other end of the line,” Beaumont said. “Can an AI replace that right now in a way that feels meaningful to individuals? Perhaps not.”Many people don’t want to return to a company that laid them off, according to Beaumont. The ones willing to consider going back during a reorganization around artificial intelligence are asking for more money and to know how AI might impact opportunities for promotion, she said.
“回到一家解雇了你、用人工智能取代了你、又请你回去的公司,你的信任没了,你的心理安全感没了,你与雇主的关系也没了,这非常、非常难以重建,”博蒙特说。
“To come back to a business where you’ve been let go, replaced by AI, to be asked back to that business, your trust is gone, your psychological safety there, your relationship with the employer, and that’s very, very difficult to build back,” Beaumont said.
她说,拿到返聘录用的员工可以要求提升技能,并要求明确告知在该公司具体的职业发展前景可能是什么样子。
Workers with rehiring offers can ask to be upskilled and for a clear idea of what career growth at the company might look like for them specifically, she said.
霍尔特姆建议,在接受返聘录用前,应争取一项承诺,例如一份包含买断条款的一年期可续签合同,规定如果工作在不满一年内被终止,公司需支付买断费。
Before accepting an offer to return, seek a commitment such as a one-year renewable contract that includes a buyout clause if the job is terminated in less than a year, Holtom suggested.
沟通你将如何贡献价值,例如成为质量控制的最后一道防线。霍尔特姆举例说,一名零售公司员工可以审核聊天机器人与客户的对话并提出改进建议。
Communicate ways you would contribute value, such as becoming the final line of defense for quality control. For example, a retail company worker could audit a chatbot’s conversations with customers and recommend improvements, Holtom said.
“从某种意义上说,你几乎可以为自己设想一个更高的角色,并创造一个新的职位描述,既利用技术又发挥你的专长。所以也许你在这个过程中能加薪,”他说。
“In some ways, you could almost envision a higher role for yourself and sort of create a new job description that leverages the technology but also your expertise. So maybe you can get a raise in that process,” he said.
萨默斯说,不要低估动力和好奇心这些独特的人类价值,它们让人变得高效且有效。
Don’t discount the distinctly human values of motivation and curiosity, which make people efficient and effective, Summers said.
“在我们的社会中,工作服务的目的不仅仅是为股东、客户或选民创造价值,”她补充道。“工作也服务于人类的目的。它是我们寻找意义和目标的体现。作为人类,我们希望为社区做出贡献。”
“Within our societies, work serves a broader purpose than just creating value for shareholders or customers or constituents,” she added. “Work serves a human purpose as well. It’s the manifestation of our search for meaning and purpose. We want to contribute to our communities as human beings.”
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