
“交易员将继续关注中东石油流向以及美军及其盟友可能采取的升级行动,”BOK Financial高级副总裁、交易主管丹尼斯·基斯勒表示。
"Traders will remain focused on oil flows out of the Middle East and the likely escalation by US and allied forces," said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.
休斯敦:周五(10月30日)油价上涨至4月底以来的最高水平,有望实现连续第四个月上涨,因为交易员为美国中期选举后伊朗战争可能升级做准备,霍尔木兹海峡一艘油轮遭袭凸显了供应风险。
HOUSTON: Oil prices rose on Friday (Oct 30) to their highest levels since the end of April, putting them on track for a fourth straight month of gains, as traders braced for a potential escalation in the Iran war after the US midterm elections, with an attack on a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz highlighting supply risks.
截至美国东部时间下午1:07,12月布伦特原油期货LCOc1(周五到期)上涨2.287美元,涨幅2.5%,报每桶117.75美元,盘中曾触及118美元高点。交投更活跃的1月合约LCOc2上涨3.23美元,报114.03美元。
Brent crude futures for December LCOc1, which expire on Friday, were up US$2.287, or 2.5 per cent, at US$117.75 a barrel as of 1:07pm EDT, after touching a high of US$118. The more active January contract LCOc2 gained US$3.23 to $114.03.
美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货CLc1上涨2.74美元,涨幅2.7%,报104.79美元。
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 climbed US$2.74, or 2.7 per cent, to US$104.79.
就本月而言,布伦特原油有望上涨13%,而WTI原油有望上涨15%。
For the month, Brent was on course to finish 13 per cent higher, while WTI was heading for a 15 per cent jump.
周五,英国海事贸易行动办公室(UKMTO)——英国海上安全机构——表示,一艘在霍尔木兹海峡(海湾原油和燃料供应的关键海上出口)的油轮被一艘小艇安装的爆炸装置击中。袭击者身份暂时不明。
On Friday, a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz - the key sea outlet for Gulf crude and fuel supplies - was hit by explosive devices attached by a small boat, said the UKMTO, the British maritime security service. It was not immediately clear who was behind the attack.
海事消息人士称,自2月美以与伊朗战争爆发以来,这是该水道首次已知的成功使用吸附性水雷(从小艇吸附在船体上的炸药)袭击事件。
It was the first known successful strike using limpet mines, explosives that are attached to a ship's hull from a small boat, in the waterway since the US-Israeli war with Iran began in February, maritime sources said.
MST Marquee能源研究主索尔·卡沃尼克表示:“在外交途径可行性存疑之际,霍尔木兹海峡周围持续的军事行动使油价居高不下,市场预期冲突将在未来几周升级。”
"Continued kinetic action around the Strait of Hormuz amidst doubts of a viable diplomatic pathway is keeping oil prices elevated in expectation of an escalation of the conflict in coming weeks," said Saul Kavonic, head of energy research at MST Marquee.
与此同时,利比亚国家石油公司表示,周五一武装团体关闭了主要哈马达原油管道上的一处阀门,该管道连接哈马达油田和扎维亚炼油厂。该公司称,关闭阀门已导致约1.5万桶/日的原油输送中断。“升级可能性增加”一位知情官员告诉路透社,卡塔尔调解人周五返回德黑兰,作为协调努力的一部分,旨在促成美国与伊朗达成协议。
Meanwhile, Libya's National Oil Corporation said an armed group shut a valve on Friday on the main Hamada crude oil pipeline, which links the Hamada field to the Zawiya refinery. It said the closure of the valve had halted the flow of about 15,000 barrels per day. "HIGHER LIKELIHOOD OF AN ESCALATION" Qatari mediators returned to Tehran on Friday as part of coordinated efforts to reach a deal between the US and Iran, an official briefed on the talks told Reuters.
尽管如此,也门伊朗支持的胡塞武装周四表示,他们袭击了沙特阿拉伯的多个地点,包括大型拉斯塔努拉炼油厂、拉比格炼油厂以及沙特国家石油公司阿美石油公司位于阿布盖格的生产设施。
Still, Yemen's Iranian-backed Houthi militants said on Thursday they had attacked several sites in Saudi Arabia, including the large Ras Tanura oil refinery, the Rabigh refinery and a production facility in Abqaiq owned by state oil company Saudi Aramco.
沙特领导的联盟也表示,拦截了胡塞武装向该王国西部地区发射的一枚巡航导弹。三家船舶跟踪公司中的两家表示,尽管伊朗在海湾地区袭击船只,且也门伊朗结盟的胡塞武装声称袭击了沙特石油设施,但沙特阿拉伯10月的原油出口较9月有所增加。
A Saudi-led coalition also said it had intercepted a cruise missile launched by the Houthis towards the kingdom's western region. Saudi Arabia's crude exports have risen in October compared with September, two of three ship-tracking companies said, despite Iranian attacks on shipping in the Gulf and claims by Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis of attacks on Saudi oil facilities.
美国总统特朗普周四表示,副总统万斯已联系伊朗,帮助该国获取医疗物资,此前美国媒体报道万斯曾致信德黑兰最高安全官员以重启和谈。
US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that Vice President JD Vance had reached out to Iran to help the country get medical supplies, after US media reported Vance had written to Tehran's top security official to revive peace talks.
伊朗半官方塔斯尼姆通讯社报道,伊朗已收到万斯的信函,但尚未作出回应,并补充称德黑兰希望美国满足其条件,“任何与这一框架相矛盾的立场都是不可接受的。”丹麦盛宝银行周四在新加坡的简报会上表示,由于以色列近期大选以及11月3日美国中期选举,油价在未来几周可能变得更加波动。
Iran has received a letter from Vance, but it has not responded to it yet, Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency reported, adding that Tehran wants the US to meet its conditions and "any position that contradicts this framework is unacceptable." Oil prices could become even more volatile in the next couple of weeks due to Israel's recent elections and the US midterm elections on Nov 3, according to a Saxo Bank briefing in Singapore on Thursday.
该丹麦银行表示,不确定性加剧使得价格预测变得困难,但补充称,即使冲突结束,原油预计仍将在每桶70美元至90美元的较高区间交易,而战前区间为每桶60美元至70美元。
The Danish bank said heightened uncertainty makes it difficult to forecast prices, but added that crude is expected to trade in a higher range of US$70 to US$90 a barrel even after the conflict ends, compared with a pre-war range of US$60 to US$70.
美国石油钻机数量——未来产量的一个指标——增加了两座。美国能源信息署(EIA)周五在其《石油供应月报》中表示,美国原油产量在8月份增加,而原油和石油产品的需求则有所下降。
The US oil rig count, an indicator of future output, rose by two. US crude oil output increased in August, while demand for crude oil and petroleum products declined, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its Petroleum Supply Monthly report on Friday.