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布伦特原油因中东紧张局势维持近五个月高位Brent crude holds near five-month high on Middle East tension

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油价周二上涨,布伦特原油徘徊在五个月高点附近,交易商将胡塞武装对沙特基础设施的袭击以及海湾地区船舶遭袭的报道计入地缘政治风险溢价。

Oil prices advanced on Tuesday, with Brent hovering around a five-month high as traders priced in a geopolitical risk premium from Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure and reports of vessel attacks in the Gulf.

截至格林尼治标准时间03时19分,布伦特原油期货上涨55美分,涨幅0.50%,报每桶110.10美元,此前一交易日曾升至每桶110.70美元,创下自5月20日以来的最高水平。

Brent crude futures climbed 55 cents, or 0.50%, to $110.10 a barrel by 0319 GMT, after rising as high as $110.70 a barrel in the previous session to their highest since May 20.

美国西得克萨斯中质原油(WTI)11月交割合约将于周二到期,上涨0.24%,报103.91美元。更活跃的12月合约上涨39美分,涨幅0.40%,报98.93美元。

US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) contract for November delivery, set to expire on Tuesday, was up 0.24% to $103.91. The more-active December contract rose 39 cents, or 0.40%, to $98.93.

荷兰国际集团(ING)分析师周二在一份报告中表示:“油价仍得到良好支撑……这表明市场正在计入显著的风险溢价,鉴于局势的波动性。”

"Oil prices remain well-supported ... This suggests the market is pricing in a significant risk premium, given the situation's volatility," ING analysts said in a note on Tuesday.

“然而,如果尽管地缘政治环境如何,货物流动继续不受阻碍,风险溢价可能会缓慢侵蚀。显然,目前还没有出现这种迹象。”船舶追踪公司Kpler周一在一份报告中表示,据报道,至少18艘船舶在两周内遭到袭击,这使得风险溢价保持不变。

"However, if flows continue uninhibited despite the geopolitical environment, the risk premium would likely erode slowly. Clearly, there are no signs of this yet." At least 18 vessels were reportedly attacked over two weeks, which keeps the risk premium intact, shiptracker Kpler said in a note on Monday.

胡塞武装声称袭击沙特设施:也门受伊朗支持的胡塞武装周一表示,他们对沙特能源、机场和军事目标发动了多次袭击,包括亚嫩的阿美公司设施、沙伊巴油田、利雅得的哈立德国王国际机场以及阿布哈机场。沙特当局未立即证实这些说法,路透社也无法独立核实。

Houthis claim attacks on Saudi facilities Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis said on Monday they launched several attacks on Saudi energy, airport and military targets, such as an Aramco site in Yanbu, the Shaybah oilfield, Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport and Abha airport. Saudi authorities did not immediately confirm the claims and Reuters could not independently verify them.

周一还有一起事件,胡塞武装对也门沙布瓦省政府安全部队训练营发动袭击,造成58人死亡,200多人受伤。

Also on Monday, a Houthi attack on a training camp for government security forces in Yemen's Shabwa province killed 58 people with more than 200 injured.

新一轮袭击加剧了人们对地区稳定的担忧,并凸显了该地区能源供应面临的持续风险,使油价维持在每桶100美元以上。

The renewed attacks heightened fears about regional stability and underscored continuing risks to energy supply from the region, keeping oil prices above $100 a barrel.

在美国,一项初步路透社调查周一显示,上周原油库存预计将下降,产品库存也将下降。

In the US, crude oil stockpiles were expected to have fallen last week along with product inventories, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

唐纳德·特朗普总统在周五发布的行政命令中,解除了与美国俄罗斯相关的大部分制裁和关税,其中包括对从俄罗斯进口能源产品所征收的关税及罚款。

Friday's executive order by President Donald Trump waived key Russia-related US sanctions and tariffs, including goods duties and penalties for purchases of its energy.

然而,特朗普在周六表示,他尚未就此事作出最终决定;美国国务卿马科·鲁比奥也表示,官员们需要更多时间来评估当前形势。

However, Trump said on Saturday he had yet to announce a final decision on the matter, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio said officials wanted more time to evaluate the situation.

根据国际能源署上周的数据,俄罗斯的原油产量在9月份增加了6.5万桶,达到每天843万桶,但仍比去年同期低约87万桶。

Russia's crude oil production increased by 65,000 barrels per day in September to 8.43 million bpd, but remained about 870,000 bpd below that of a year ago, the International Energy Agency said last week.

“虽然俄罗斯可能增加柴油供应这一消息在理论上会带来一些缓解作用,但交易者们更关注的是海湾地区能源基础设施可能遭受进一步破坏的风险,”KCM Trade的首席分析师蒂姆·沃特勒(Tim Waterer)表示。

"While the prospect of additional Russian diesel supply offers some theoretical relief, traders appear far more focused on the ongoing risk of further damage to energy infrastructure across the Gulf region," said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade chief analyst.

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