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布伦特原油因中东和乌克兰冲突维持在110美元附近Brent Crude Holds Near $110 on Mideast and Ukraine Conflicts

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油价在周五大幅上涨后趋于稳定,因为中东和乌克兰的冲突升级削弱了原油供应恢复正常的前景。

Oil steadied after jumping on Friday, as flareups in fighting in the Middle East and Ukraine dimmed the prospect of a return to normal crude flows.

布伦特原油在周五触及自5月以来首次突破110美元/桶的里程碑后,交易价格跌至110美元/桶以下;西德州中质原油接近101美元/桶;欧洲天然气价格一度上涨多达2%。在中东,一架沙特直升机在也门边境附近坠毁,胡塞武装袭击了重要的出口枢纽亚努布;英国海上行动部门表示,有两艘油轮报告在波斯湾被击中。

Brent traded below $110 a barrel after Friday hitting the milestone for the first time since May, West Texas Intermediate was near $101 and European natural gas jumped as much as 2%. In the Middle East, a Saudi helicopter crashed near the border with Yemen and Houthi rebels targeted Yanbu, a crucial export hub, while UK maritime operations said two tankers reported being hit in the Persian Gulf.

与此同时,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示,他与俄罗斯达成了柴油出口协议,并推迟对其实施进一步制裁,以维持与乌克兰的和平谈判。美国立法者周五提出一项法案,旨在阻止该协议,该协议也遭到共和党人的批评。莫斯科和基辅在能源基础设施方面进行了针锋相对的攻击。

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said he cut a diesel export deal with Russia and delayed imposing further sanctions to preserve peace talks with Ukraine. US lawmakers introduced a bill on Friday to block the deal, which has also been criticized by Republicans. Moscow and Kyiv traded tit-for-tat attacks on energy infrastructure.

布伦特原油今年已上涨约80%,因为两地区的冲突加剧重新引发了人们对供应的担忧。实物市场继续传递供应紧张的信号,柴油等精炼产品涨幅更大,欧洲柴油期货价格今年已翻倍以上。

Brent has surged about 80% this year as the widening hostilities in the two regions revived concerns over supply. Physical markets continue to signal tightness and refined products such as diesel have rallied even harder, with European futures for the commodity more than doubling this year.

“能源基础设施和船舶遭受的攻击日益增加,正在削弱人们对石油流动持续复苏的希望,”Rystad Energy地缘政治分析主管Jorge Leon表示。“市场越来越将更长时间的中断计入价格,随着一周的到来,价格上行风险在增加。”不过,石油似乎确实正在从波斯湾流出。美国表示,其军队在上周末帮助护送了超过1亿桶石油通过霍尔木兹海峡,时间为前一周。

“Mounting attacks on energy infrastructure and vessels are eroding hopes of a sustained recovery in oil flows,” said Jorge Leon, head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy. “The market is increasingly pricing in a longer disruption, with risks to prices tilted to the upside heading into the week.”Nevertheless, barrels do seem to be exiting the Persian Gulf. The US said over the weekend that its forces helped escort more than 100 million barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz over the prior week.

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