
周四,唐纳德·特朗普总统飞往南卡罗来纳州,为他本月第25场中期选举集会站台。据他的一位顾问透露,特朗普和他的政治团队做出了一个决定:本周末不在堪萨斯州举行现场集会——这个红州的共和党人似乎处境不妙——而是通过电话在那里发表他的收官陈述。
Flying on Thursday to South Carolina to headline his 25th midterm rally this month, President Donald Trump and his political team made a decision, according to one of his advisers: Instead of holding an in-person rally this weekend in Kansas — a red state where Republicans appear vulnerable — Trump would deliver his closing argument there over the telephone.
几个小时后,另一场原定周末在艾奥瓦州举行的集会也被同样取消。这是总统收尾阶段策略的一次戏剧性突然转变,此前他的策略一直依赖于在保守派选区进行令人疲惫的密集造势,以激发基本盘的热情。
A few hours later, another weekend rally in Iowa was similarly scrapped. It was a dramatic and sudden shift in the president’s closing-stretch strategy, which had relied on boosting enthusiasm among his base through an exhausting blitz of conservative districts.
特朗普从南卡罗来纳州返回后告诉记者,他并不“觉得自己必须去堪萨斯州”,因为共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔“干得非常好”。这一决定让当地一些政治操盘手松了一口气,他们乐见特朗普参与电话集会,因为这类活动往往更加照本宣科。
When Trump returned from South Carolina, he told reporters he didn’t “feel I have to go to Kansas” because GOP Sen. Roger Marshall was “doing really well.”The decision relieved some political operatives on the ground, who were happy to hear Trump would be engaging in telerallies that tend to be more scripted.
“谢天谢地,”一位共和党高层官员对CNN说,为免疏远白宫他要求匿名。“他在哪里都没能改变局面。”不到24小时后,计划又变了。堪萨斯州和艾奥瓦州的集会重新恢复,两场现在都安排在周日。而白宫官员此前宣称即将结束的疯狂节奏,现在又骤然加速。
“Thank God,” one top Republican official told CNN, speaking on condition of anonymity to avoid alienating the White House. “He hasn’t moved the needle anywhere.”Less than 24 hours later, the plans changed again. The rallies in Kansas and Iowa were back on, both now scheduled for Sunday. And the frenetic pace that White House officials had signaled was abruptly ending was now ramping back up.
官员们表示,日程只是重新安排,以便让特朗普有更多时间拨入虚拟活动。但知情人士向CNN描述了不同的动机。
Officials said the schedule had merely been rearranged to allow more time for Trump to dial into virtual events. But people familiar with the matter described different motivations to CNN.
这些人说,在改变计划之后,特朗普对媒体关于他决定取消最后几场集会的报道越来越恼火。他从南卡罗来纳州返回后,这种恼怒表露无遗,当时一名记者质问他为何取消这些活动,他对其进行了猛烈抨击。
Afterg off on the changes, Trump had grown irked over the media coverage about his decision to cancel his final rallies, those people said. His irritation was apparent when he returned from South Carolina and lashed out at a reporter who questioned why he called off the events.
“你跟了我两周了。我感觉完美,”当被问及感觉如何以及是否厌倦了竞选时,特朗普说道。特勃勃地说,那个提问的记者看起来“糟透了”。知情人士透露,总统要求恢复集会,让刚刚努力将活动从日程表上撤下的工作人员手忙脚乱地又把它们加回去。一份确认这一变动的声明写道:“集会回来了!”
“You’ve been following me for two weeks. I feel perfect,” Trump said when asked how he was feeling and whether he was sick of campaigning. The reporter who asked, Trump seethed, looked “like hell.”The president demanded the rallies be reinstated, the people familiar said, sending staff who had just worked to pull the events off the calendar scrambling to put them back on. “Rallies are BACK ON!” read a statement confirming the change.
这一插曲更加凸显了共和党在中期选举中的前景多么严重地依赖于特朗普的个人心血来潮,从他对心仪候选人的背书——其中一些人现在正陷入困境——到他的标志性集会,这些集会经常偏离许多候选人试图强调的议题和竞选论点。甚至一些共和党候选人也在手忙脚乱地跟进。
The episode only underscored how heavily Republicans’ midterm prospects have relied on Trump’s personal whims, from endorsements of his preferred candidates — some of whom are now struggling — to his signature rallies, which regularly veer away from the issues and talking points many candidates have tried to highlight. Even some Republican candidates have scrambled to keep up.

“我觉得我在民调中表现得这么好,他可能有更好的地方花时间,”马歇尔在周四得知堪萨斯州集会取消的消息后对记者说道。
“I think that I’m doing so well in the polls that he’s got, probably got better places to spend his time,” Marshall told reporters after news of the Kansas cancellation emerged Thursday.
特朗普的顾问们坚称,总统在竞选路上依然备受追捧,他的政治团队继续接到共和党竞选团队的电话,询问他是否会在冲刺周二大选的阶段造访他们的州,一位顾问告诉CNN。
Trump advisers insist the president remains a sought-after presence on the campaign trail, and his political team continues to field calls from GOP campaigns asking if he would visit their states in the sprint to Tuesday’s elections, one adviser told CNN.
特朗普的官员们辩称,取消他本周末活动的最初理由正是如此:通过不参加现场活动,特朗普可以最大化时间,为多个州的候选人举行电话集会。多位熟悉计划的消息人士并未反驳这一理由。
That was what Trump officials argued was the original rationale for canceling his events this weekend: by skipping in-person events, Trump could maximize his time conducting telerallies for candidates across multiple states. Multiple sources familiar with the planning did not contradict that rationale.
到周四晚间,特朗普的超级政治行动委员会“让美国再次伟大公司”(MAGA Inc.)已宣布,总统将主持覆盖19个州的虚拟活动,旨在“激发选民热情、推动投票率、并助力赢得胜利”。部分共和党人对改为虚拟活动并不感到遗憾。在取消线下活动的21小时里,几位关键摇摆州的共和党操盘手私下松了一口气,庆幸特朗普的巡回造势不再来他们的州。
By Thursday evening, Trump’s super PAC, MAGA Inc., had announced the president would headline virtual events in 19 states intended to “energize voters, drive turnout, and help deliver victories.”The switch to virtual events was not unwelcome in some Republican corners. In the 21-hour stretch of time that the in-person events were canceled, several GOP operatives in battleground states quietly expressed a sigh of relief that the Trump roadshow would no longer be coming to their states.
许多人指出,在电话集会上,特朗普不太可能像现在的现场集会那样,把大量时间花在冷门话题上:他声称自己通过的认知测试、白宫舞厅、各位共和党男性的身材。
Many pointed out that Trump is less likely during telerallies to meander into the obscure topics that now consume major chunks of his rallies: the cognitive tests he claims to have aced, the White House ballroom, the bodies of various Republican men.
一位共和党官员表示,在本该由共和党活动家敲门拉票、走访选民、开展其他动员投票活动的关键时期,特朗普的集会过于耗时。
One Republican official said the Trump rallies were too time-consuming during a peak period when GOP activists would otherwise be door-knocking, canvassing and doing other get-out-the-vote activities.
据与特朗普交谈过的人透露,特朗普有时曾敦促助手在竞选收官周安排更多行程,他在深红选区遇到的狂热人群让他备受鼓舞,朋友和顾问也告诉他,他的露面直接提振了共和党热情。
Trump has pressed his aides at times to schedule more travel in the campaign’s closing weeks, people who have spoken with him said, invigorated by the adoring crowds he’s encountered in deep-red districts and encouraged by friends and advisers who have told him his presence is directly boosting Republican enthusiasm.
然而,这些人说,在这长达一个月的密集巡回中,他也曾抱怨行程过于紧凑,几乎每天奔赴一个新城镇——往往是在大学体育馆或市民中心造势,与他自己竞选时座无虚席的大型体育场相比,这些场地显得小得可怜。特朗普还私下抱怨,且越来越多地公开抱怨,为一场并非他自己的竞选活动在冲刺阶段如此辛劳。
Yet at other moments during the monthlong barnstorming, those people said, he’s bemoaned the breakneck nature of a tour that has taken him to a new town nearly every day — oftentimes to rally voters in college arenas or civic centers that appear downright miniature compared with the sold-out stadiums he played during his own campaigns. Trump has also griped privately, and increasingly in public, about how hard he’s having to work down the stretch for a campaign that’s not his own.
“我得跟你们透个小秘密,”特朗普10月23日在佛罗里达州一个可容纳不足5000人的竞技场举行集会时说。“外面聚集的人群大约是这里的两三倍,我愤怒地看着我的工作人员。我说,你们难道弄不到个比这大的场馆吗?”随后,当特朗普吹嘘经济成绩时,他开玩笑说自己在“浪费时间”发表演讲,不如回家让政绩自己说话——这段梗他在后来的集会上又重复了多次。
“I have to tell you a little secret,” Trump said during an October 23 rally in a Florida arena that sat fewer than 5,000 people. “Outside, there’s a crowd about two or three times this size, and I looked at my people with anger. I said, couldn’t you have gotten us a larger arena than this?”Later, as Trump boasted about the economy, he joked that he was “wasting my time” with the speeches and should just go home and let his accomplishments speak for themselves — a bit that he repeated at subsequent rallies.

除了缅因州,总统几乎走遍了参议院竞选的所有关键战场州——许多州不止去过一次。白宫最初决定取消周末的中西部行程引起了巨大轰动,但党内骨干鲜有抱怨。“想见总统的人都见到了,”这位共和党二号官员说。
The president has visited nearly every state on the Senate battleground map aside from Maine — many more than once. The initial White House decision to cancel the weekend Midwest appearances caused tremendous buzz, but few complaints among party stalwarts. “Everyone has seen the president who wants to see him,” the second GOP official said.
特朗普将于周五前往佛罗里达州代托纳比奇,为参议员和州长的共和党候选人举行集会,预计周末部分时间将留在海湖庄园,那里计划举办一年一度的万圣节派对。
Trump will travel Friday to Daytona Beach, Florida, for a rally with Republican candidates for Senate and governor, and he is expected to spend part of the weekend at Mar-a-Lago, where an annual Halloween party is planned.
算上周日的活动,自10月初以来,特朗普已主持了28场集会。他自己也承认日程安排极其繁重,嗓子也受了累。
Including Sunday’s events, Trump will have headlined 28 rallies since the start of October. Even he has acknowledged the schedule is a grind and that it has taken a toll on his voice.
“我本不必这么做。但我必须这么做,因为如果(民主党人)赢了中期选举,突然间你们会看到滑坡,以及我们谈论的所有那些烂摊子,”他本月早些时候在肯塔基州对现场观众说。“这就是为什么我在这儿拼命为你们干活。”
“I don’t need to do this. But I have to because if (Democrats) win the midterms, all of a sudden you’re gonna see a slide and all of the crap that we talk about,” he told a crowd in Kentucky this month. “That’s why I’m here working my ass off for you.”