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朝鲜“无人机盛会”亮点一览Highlights From North Korea’s Drone-A-Palooza

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朝中社KCNA

朝鲜领导人金正恩周四主持了一场大型无人飞行器(UAV)展览。一款疑似新型大型隐身无人机的模型被显著展示,与日益多样化的侦察无人机、武装无人机、巡飞弹药和小型攻击无人机并列。尽管没有证据表明朝鲜有能力让隐身飞翼无人机飞行,更不用说将其作为具有作战意义的低可探测平台运行,但毫无疑问,该国拥有日益令人印象深刻的无人机武库,其中较小、较低端的型号最为重要。

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un presided over a major exhibition of uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) on Thursday. A mockup of an apparent new large stealth drone was displayed prominently alongside an increasingly diverse collection of reconnaissance drones, armed UAVs, loitering munitions , and small attack drones . While there is no evidence that North Korea is capable of getting a stealthy flying-wing drone flying, let alone operating as a operationally relevant low-observable platform, there are no doubts that the country has an increasingly impressive uncrewed aircraft arsenal , with the smaller, lower-end types being of greatest importance.

无人航空技术发展-2026展览概览,“隐身无人机”占据核心位置。朝中社至于“隐身无人机”,朝鲜官方媒体发布的照片显示了一款无尾飞翼设计的模型。从外观上看,与美国、中国和俄罗斯开发的先进无人作战飞行器(UCAV)有明显相似之处。

An overview of the Unmanned Aeronautical Technology Development-2026 exhibition, with the “stealth drone” in pride of place. KCNA As for the “stealth drone,” photographs released by North Korean state media show a mockup of a tailless flying-wing design. In terms of appearance, there are clear parallels with advanced uncrewed combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) developed by the United States, China, and Russia.

然而,关于该模型在多大程度上属于一个切实可行的计划,仍存在巨大疑问。我们不了解该计划的开发状态和计划性能。平壤能否制造出功能原型机极其存疑。即使能让它飞上天,也没有证据表明其具备掌握有意义隐身技术的能力,更不用说指挥控制功能和其他使其能以战术相关方式运行所需的要素了。

However, huge questions remain as to what degree the mockup is part of a realistic program. We have no details of the program’s development status and planned capabilities. It is highly questionable if Pyongyang is able to produce a functional prototype. Even if it can get it into the air, there is no evidence that it possesses the capabilities to master meaningful stealth technologies, let alone the command-and-control functions and other elements needed for it to operate in a tactically relevant manner.

“无人机技术发展-2026”展览全景,“隐身无人机”占据显要位置。朝中社An overview of the Unmanned Aeronautical Technology Development-2026 exhibition, with the “stealth drone” in pride of place. KCNA

此次名为“无人航空技术发展-2026”的展览于周四举行,执政党机关报《劳动新闻》今日发布了相关图片。金正恩呼吁国家在无人机技术上实现“绝对优势”,并宣布采取未具体说明的措施,加速无人航空系统和军事人工智能的发展。金正恩在展览会上走过一排排四旋翼无人机。《劳动新闻》一款雄心勃勃的新型飞翼设计这款新型飞机的模型被显著地摆放在展厅内,表明平壤至少认为它代表了其更宏大的雄心。

The exhibition, titled Unmanned Aeronautical Technology Development-2026, was held on Thursday, with images published by the ruling Workers’ Party newspaper Rodong Sinmun today. Kim called for the country to achieve “absolute superiority” in drone technology and announced unspecified measures to accelerate the development of uncrewed aviation systems and military artificial intelligence. Kim Jong Un walks past rows of quadcopter drones at the exhibition. Rodong Sinmun An Ambitious New Flying-Wing Design The mockup of the new aircraft was positioned prominently in the exhibition hall, suggesting that Pyongyang considers it at least indicative of its broader ambitions.

根据现有照片,接受 NK News 采访的韩国统一研究院高级研究员洪敏(Hong Min)估计,其翼展约为 56 至 66 英尺(约 17 至 20 米),高度约为 10 至 11.5 英尺(约 3 至 3.5 米)。显著特征包括一个背部进气道、一个融入飞翼内部的相对较大的中央机身段,以及可收放的三点式起落架。朝鲜这款疑似新型隐身无人机的另一视角。

Based on the available photographs, Hong Min, a senior research fellow at the Korea Institute for National Unification, interviewed by NK News , estimated the wingspan at roughly 56 to 66 feet and its height at around 10 to 11.5 feet. Standout features include a dorsal air intake, a relatively large center fuselage section integrated into the flying wing, and retractable tricycle landing gear. Another view of North Korea’s apparent new stealth drone. KCTV

金正恩走过一排排四旋翼无人机。劳动新闻Kim Jong Un walks past rows of quadcopter drones at the exhibition. Rodong Sinmun

朝鲜中央电视台就总体布局而言,它与诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司的 X-47B 相似,后者是美国海军的实验性舰载无人作战飞行器。在外观上,它也与中国的“利剑” GJ-11 和俄罗斯的 S-70“猎人”相似,这两款也是大型飞翼无人作战飞行器设计。X-47B 在航母上作业。美国海军GJ-11“利剑”无人作战飞行器。中国网络图片目前,朝鲜尚未提供关于该飞机动力系统、载荷、预定任务或飞行性能的任何技术信息。

In terms of general arrangement, there are similarities to Northrop Grumman’s X-47B , the U.S. Navy’s experimental carrier-based UCAV. There are also visual similarities with China’s GJ-11 Sharp Sword and Russia’s S-70 Okhotnik , two other large flying-wing UCAV designs. X-47B during carrier operations. U.S. Navy GJ-11 Sharp Sword UCAV. via Chinese internet At this point, North Korea has not provided any technical information about the aircraft’s propulsion system, payload, intended mission, or flight performance.

朝鲜疑似新型隐身无人机的另一视角。朝鲜中央电视台Another view of North Korea’s apparent new stealth drone. KCTV

关键在于,虽然外部形状符合隐身无人作战飞行器的特征,但飞翼构型本身仅是实现真正低雷达特征这一更为复杂拼图中的一块。其他因素包括发动机进排气道布局、吸波材料、表面处理、制造公差、各个边缘和表面的对齐、低截获概率通信等诸多方面。官员们检查这款新型飞翼无人作战飞行器设计。《劳动新闻》伊朗 RQ-170 的前车之鉴总体而言,有许多充分的理由对朝鲜在这一领域的明显雄心保持极度谨慎。

Critically, while the external shape is consistent with a stealthy UCAV, a flying-wing configuration on its own is only one part of a far more complex puzzle in achieving a genuinely low radar signature. Other factors include the engine inlet and exhaust arrangements, radar-absorbing materials, surface treatments, manufacturing tolerances, and the alignment of individual edges and surfaces, low probability of intercept communications and much more. Officials inspect the new flying-wing UCAV design. Rodong Sinmun The Iranian RQ-170 Precedent Overall, there are many good reasons to be extremely cautious about North Korea’s apparent ambitions in this area.

X-47B在航母上进行作业。美国海军X-47B during carrier operations. U.S. Navy
GJ-11“利剑”无人战斗攻击机。来自中国互联网GJ-11 Sharp Sword UCAV. via Chinese internet

伊朗是另一个展示了类似先进西方隐身平台的无人机、但并未真正复制其能力的国家。然而,伊朗确实让一款类似无人作战飞行器(UCAV)的机型飞上了天空。

Iran is another country that has displayed a drone that resembles an advanced Western stealth platform, without actually reproducing its capabilities. It has, however, gotten a UCAV-lookalike into the air.

官员们检查新型飞翼式无人战斗攻击机设计。劳动新闻Officials inspect the new flying-wing UCAV design. Rodong Sinmun

在2011年回收一架坠落在伊朗领土内的美国RQ-170“哨兵”侦察无人机后,德黑兰宣布已成功对该飞机进行了逆向工程。2014年,伊朗当局展示了他们所谓的国产复制版美国无人机,声称即将进行试飞。

After recovering a U.S. RQ-170 Sentinel reconnaissance drone that came down inside Iranian territory in 2011, Tehran announced that it had successfully reverse-engineered the aircraft. In 2014, Iranian authorities displayed what they presented as a domestically produced copy of the American drone, claiming that it would soon undertake a test flight.

伊朗回收并展出的实体RQ-170“哨兵”无人机。伊朗国家媒体外界观察人士质疑展出的飞机是否仅是一个非功能性复制品,指出其制造工艺存在明显缺陷,且使用的部件与复杂的实战飞机不符。

The actual RQ-170 Sentinel Iran recovered on display. Iranian State Media Outside observers questioned whether the displayed aircraft was anything more than a non-functional replica, noting apparent shortcomings in its construction and the use of components inconsistent with a sophisticated operational aircraft.

伊朗回收并展出的实物RQ-170“哨兵”无人机。伊朗国家媒体The actual RQ-170 Sentinel Iran recovered on display. Iranian State Media

随后,伊朗推出了一系列源自RQ-170概念的飞机,包括“沙赫德-171 西莫尔格”和体型较小的“沙赫德-191”。伊朗展示了这些设计的飞行样机,但它们远未达到复制RQ-170实际低可探测特性的程度,更不用说其传感器和航空电子设备了。伊朗自称类似RQ-170的远程无人作战飞行器。美联社至于平壤,俄罗斯提供援助的可能性至少值得考虑。

Iran subsequently presented a family of aircraft derived from the RQ-170 concept, including the Shahed-171 Simorgh and the smaller Shahed-191 . Iran has demonstrated flying examples of these designs, but they fall far short of replicating the RQ-170’s actual low-observable qualities, let alone its sensors and avionics. Iran’s self-proclaimed RQ-170-like long-range UCAVs. AP In the case of Pyongyang, however, the possibility of Russian assistance is at least worth considering.

朝鲜与莫斯科新兴的军事关系,包括朝鲜部署军队支援俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争,可能为双方交换技术知识和莫斯科的实战经验提供机会。俄罗斯已研制并试飞了S-70“猎人”无人作战飞行器,并在乌克兰进行了一些实战试验,可能已将相关信息传递给平壤。一架S-70着陆后滑行。俄罗斯国防部特别是,朝鲜将欢迎俄罗斯在研发和制造推进、飞控、传感器及材料技术方面提供援助。

North Korea’s burgeoning military relationship with Moscow , including the deployment of North Korean troops to support Russia’s war in Ukraine , could provide a chance for the exchange of technical knowledge and operational experience from Moscow. Russia has developed and flown the S-70 Okhotnik UCAV, exposing it to some operational trials in Ukraine , and could have passed related information on to Pyongyang. An S-70 taxiing after landing. Russian Ministry of Defense In particular, North Korea would welcome Russian assistance in developing and manufacturing propulsion, flight control, sensor, and materials technologies.

伊朗自称类似RQ-170的远程无人战斗攻击机。美联社Iran’s self-proclaimed RQ-170-like long-range UCAVs. AP

然而,迄今尚无证据表明俄罗斯进行了技术转让。即便提供了技术,这也远不足以让真正的无人作战飞行器(UCAV)在短期内实现飞行,尽管无法完全排除出现一种能力大幅缩水的伊朗式仿制品。还值得注意的是,俄罗斯自身的无人作战飞行器项目并非一帆风顺、迅速推进至作战状态。

However, there is so far no proof of technology transfer from Russia. Even if it were to be provided, it is far from clear that this would suffice to get a true UCAV into the air anytime soon, although an Iran-style knockoff with far reduced capabilities cannot be ruled out entirely. It’s also worth noting that Russia’s own UCAV program has been anything but a smooth and rapid advancement to an operational state.

S-70“猎人”着陆后滑行。俄罗斯国防部An S-70 taxiing after landing. Russian Ministry of Defense

总体而言,这种新型飞翼概念——至少目前——并不代表一个切合实际的技术工程。极少数国家成功研制并试飞了这一级别的无人机,能将其列装实战部署的国家更是寥寥无几。朝鲜的无人机研发努力这款飞翼飞机只是一场大规模展示中的一部分。据报道,展会上出现了30多种无人机(UAV),反映出朝鲜为实现无人航空能力多样化所做的努力。

Overall, the new flying-wing concept does not represent a realistic technological undertaking — at least for now. Very few countries have managed to develop and fly drones in this class, and fewer still have been able to field them operationally. North Korea’s Drone Development Effort The flying-wing aircraft was only one part of a much larger display. More than 30 types of UAVs reportedly appeared at the exhibition, reflecting North Korea’s efforts to diversify its uncrewed aviation capabilities.

其中一些设计此前已露面,包括“样星-4”和“样星-9”。它们首次亮相于2023年,从外观上看,分别是美国“全球鹰”(RQ-4 Global Hawk)和“死神”(MQ-9 Reaper)的克隆版。金正恩视察武装“样星-9”。《劳动新闻》公开的“样星-9”图像显示,它携带并发射了数种空对地武器。其中包括一种类似“地狱火”的激光制导导弹,以及更小型的火箭弹和其他可能的制导弹药。

Some of these designs had been seen before, including the Saetbyol-4 and Saetbyol-9. These were first displayed in 2023 and are, in terms of appearance, clones of the U.S. RQ-4 Global Hawk and MQ-9 Reaper , respectively. Kim Jong Un inspects an armed Saetbyol-9. Rodong Sinmun Imagery released of the Saetbyol-9 showed it carrying — and firing — several types of air-to-ground weapons. These include a Hellfire-like laser-guided missile, along with smaller rockets and other possible guided munitions.

金正恩视察装备武器的“样星-9”无人机。劳动新闻Kim Jong Un inspects an armed Saetbyol-9. Rodong Sinmun

“样星-9”发射火箭弹或导弹。《劳动新闻》其他展品包括类似以色列“哈洛普”(Harop)和俄罗斯“兰赛特”(Lancet)的徘徊弹药,以及构型类似美制“转折刀”(Switchblade)系列的小型无人机。金正恩视察“转折刀”式徘徊弹药。《劳动新闻》展台上还陈列着数百架小型四旋翼无人机。其中一些似乎携带了与光纤控制系统相关的圆柱形容器,这项技术在俄乌战争中日益突出。

Saetbyol-9 fires a rocket or missile. Rodong Sinmun Other exhibits included loitering munitions resembling Israel’s Harop and Russia’s Lancet , as well as smaller drones with configurations similar to the U.S.-made Switchblade family. Kim Jong Un inspecting Switchblade-style loitering munitions. Rodong Sinmun Hundreds of small quadcopter drones were also displayed on storage racks. Some appeared to carry cylindrical containers associated with fiber-optic control systems , a technology that has become increasingly prominent in the Russia-Ukraine war.

“样星-9”发射火箭弹或导弹。劳动新闻Saetbyol-9 fires a rocket or missile. Rodong Sinmun
金正恩视察“转刃”式游荡弹药。劳动新闻Kim Jong Un inspecting Switchblade-style loitering munitions. Rodong Sinmun

与传统的无线电控制无人机不同,光纤系统在很大程度上不受针对其控制链路的常规射频干扰影响。这些无人机将在跨非军事区冲突中扮演重要角色。

Unlike conventional radio-controlled drones, fiber-optic systems are largely immune to conventional radio-frequency jamming of their control links. These drones would be a major feature in a cross-DMZ conflict.

朝鲜对人工智能的兴趣是另一个反复出现的主题。金正恩呼吁发展智能化程度越来越高的无人武器,尽管没有迹象表明该国现有的自主导航、目标识别或交战系统实际有多先进。

North Korean interest in artificial intelligence was another recurring theme. Kim called for the development of increasingly intelligent uncrewed weapons, although there is no indication of how advanced the country’s existing autonomous navigation, target recognition , or engagement systems actually are.

此次展览还伴随着涉及无人机、巡航导弹和多管火箭炮的实弹演示。朝鲜官方媒体声称,从无人机和其他系统发射的导弹“百分之百准确”地击中了岛屿目标。大口径多管火箭炮发射的一连串火箭弹。《劳动新闻》从雄心到实战能力朝鲜对无人机迅速增长的兴趣,也应结合其老化的有人作战航空机队的短板来看待。相对廉价的无人机为侦察和打击军事基础设施提供了机会,而无需让飞行员暴露在敌方防空火力之下。

The exhibition was accompanied by live-fire demonstrations involving UAVs, cruise missiles, and multiple rocket launchers. North Korean state media claimed that missiles launched from drones and other systems struck an island target “with 100 percent accuracy.”A barrage of rockets fired by a large-caliber multiple rocket launcher. Rodong Sinmun From Ambition To Operational Capabilities North Korea’s rapidly expanding interest in drones should also be seen against the shortcomings of its aging crewed combat aviation fleet. Relatively inexpensive UAVs offer opportunities for reconnaissance and attacks against military infrastructure without exposing pilots to enemy air defenses.

大口径多管火箭炮发射的一轮火箭弹齐射。劳动新闻A barrage of rockets fired by a large-caliber multiple rocket launcher. Rodong Sinmun

与此同时,平壤未能引进新的有人作战飞机来实现空军现代化,其空军能力已被韩国彻底超越。

At the same time, Pyongyang has failed to introduce new crewed combat aircraft to modernize its air force, the capabilities of which are thoroughly outmatched by those of South Korea.

乌克兰战争(以及中东冲突的教训)也为平壤提供了大规模研究无人机使用的机会。部署到俄罗斯的朝鲜军队将获得无人机战争的第一手经验,包括侦察无人机、第一人称视角攻击无人机和电子战系统的整合运用。

The war in Ukraine (as well as lessons from conflicts in the Middle East) also provides Pyongyang with an opportunity to study the use of drones on a large scale. North Korean troops deployed to Russia will have gained first-hand experience of drone warfare, including the integration of reconnaissance UAVs, FPV attack drones , and electronic warfare systems.

这种经验可能有助于加快朝鲜自身无人平台的发展,尤其是那些相对简单、可以大量生产的系统。

That experience could help accelerate the development of North Korea’s own uncrewed platforms, particularly relatively simple systems that can be produced in large quantities.

例如,“沙赫德”/“格兰”级别的攻击无人机可以相对容易地大批量生产(而且在一定程度上很可能已经如此),并可能使韩国防空系统饱和,而韩国防空系统通常是为应对更常规的威胁而量身定制的。朝鲜不需要“沙赫德”/“格兰”通常提供的远航程,因为它的许多主要目标距离近得多。视设计而定,较短的距离可能使无人机更大比例的重量被分配给弹头。

An attack drone in the Shahed/Geran class , for example, could be produced relatively easily in very large numbers (and that is likely already happening to some degree) and could saturate South Korean air defenses, which are generally tailored to address more conventional threats. North Korea doesn’t need the long range that the Shahed/Geran typically provides, since many of its primary targets are much closer. The shorter distances involved could permit a greater proportion of a drone’s weight to be allocated to its warhead, depending on the design.

或者,一架具有“沙赫德”/“格兰”约1000英里航程的无人机可以飞行非常复杂的路线到达南方目标,包括经由海岸接近。至少,朝鲜在这一领域加大投入可能改变半岛的力量平衡,给首尔带来重大的拦截难题,并迫使其开发新的对抗手段,例如定向能武器和廉价拦截弹。

Alternatively, a drone with the roughly 1,000-mile reach of the Shahed/Geran could fly a very complex route to reach targets in the South, including approaching via the coast. At the very least, expanding North Korean efforts in this area could tilt the balance of power on the peninsula, providing Seoul with a major interdiction problem and forcing the development of new countermeasures, such as directed-energy weapons and cheap interceptors. A typical Russian Shahed-136/Geran-2-series kamikaze drone over Ukraine. via X

乌克兰上空典型的俄罗斯“见证者-136”/“格拉尼-2”系列自杀式无人机。来自XA typical Russian Shahed-136/Geran-2-series kamikaze drone over Ukraine. via X

一架典型的俄罗斯“沙赫德-136”/“格兰-2”系列自杀式无人机在乌克兰上空。 。事实上,数万名被派往俄罗斯、为其无人机生产工作提供额外劳动力的朝鲜工人已经在获得这类专业知识。

The possibility of Russian assistance via its own Geran development effort is likely bringing enhanced technologies within reach of North Korea. Indeed, that kind of expertise is already being gained by tens of thousands of North Korean workers who have been sent to Russia as additional labor for its drone-production efforts .

俄罗斯工厂内部一瞥,该厂正在进行伊朗“见证者”系列一次性攻击无人机的授权生产。来自XA look inside a Russian factory where licensed production of Iranian Shahed-series one-way attack drones is taking place. via X

俄罗斯一家工厂内部,伊朗“沙赫德”系列单向攻击无人机的授权生产正在这里进行。 。朝鲜极有可能将继续加大对这些系统的投入,分大批次制造,以形成一种非对称优势——这种优势在全球真实冲突中已被证明难以应对。与此同时,朝鲜还将继续制造外观高科技、实为更先进系统克隆版的装备,这些装备战术或战略影响甚微,但很适合用于宣传目的。联系

A look inside a Russian factory where licensed production of Iranian Shahed-series one-way attack drones is taking place. via X And once again, it’s these one-way attack munitions and smaller drones that can be mass-produced and rapidly iterated upon that pose a real threat to South Korea. It is likely that North Korea will continue to ramp-up its investment in these systems, building them in very large tranches in order to create an asymmetric advantage — one that has proven challenging to counter in real conflicts around the globe. At the same time, they will also continue to build high-tech-looking clones of far more advanced systems which will have little tactical or strategic impact but work well for propaganda purposes. Contact the author: thomas@thewarone.com

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